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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 US Senate election in Arizona

John McCain (Republican) beat Stuart Starky (Democrat) in Arizona in 2004, 76.7% to 20.6%, a margin of 56.1 points and 1,100,865 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 1998, when John McCain also won.

Republicans led in 15 of the 15 counties. The largest, Maricopa, cast 1,163,420 votes and went to the Republican by 60.3 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 1,420 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John McCain won Republican 1,505,372 76.7%
Stuart Starky Democratic 404,507 20.6%
All other candidates 51,798 2.6%
Total1,961,677

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 216,124 18.6% 917,527 78.9% 29,769 1,163,420 R+60.3
Pima 89,483 25.2% 258,010 72.6% 7,980 355,473 R+47.4
Yavapai 14,852 17.4% 67,312 78.9% 3,160 85,324 R+61.5
Pinal 13,595 21.4% 48,094 75.9% 1,692 63,381 R+54.4
Mohave 10,423 18.4% 44,402 78.6% 1,686 56,511 R+60.1
Coconino 13,520 26.6% 35,849 70.5% 1,504 50,873 R+43.9
Cochise 9,555 21.8% 32,879 75.0% 1,394 43,828 R+53.2
Yuma 8,348 22.3% 28,069 74.9% 1,056 37,473 R+52.6
Navajo 7,434 23.4% 23,091 72.7% 1,222 31,747 R+49.3
Apache 9,588 40.9% 12,923 55.2% 905 23,416 R+14.2
Gila 4,291 21.0% 15,551 76.0% 632 20,474 R+55.0
Santa Cruz 3,583 31.6% 7,502 66.2% 252 11,337 R+34.6
Graham 2,000 19.1% 8,171 77.9% 322 10,493 R+58.8
La Paz 965 19.5% 3,826 77.3% 156 4,947 R+57.8
Greenlee 746 25.0% 2,166 72.7% 68 2,980 R+47.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Ruben Gallego (D) D+2.4
2022 Mark Kelly (D) D+4.9
2018 Kyrsten Sinema (D) D+2.3
2016 John McCain (R) R+13.0
2012 Jeff Flake (R) R+3.0
2010 John McCain (R) R+24.2
2006 Jon Kyl (R) R+9.8
2004 John McCain (R) R+56.1
2000 Jon Kyl (R) R+79.3
1998 John McCain (R) R+41.6
1994 Jon Kyl (R) R+14.2
1992 John McCain (R) R+24.2
1988 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+15.7
1986 John McCain (R) R+21.0
1982 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+16.6
1980 Barry Goldwater (R) R+1.1
1976 Dennis Deconcini (D) D+10.7
1974 Barry Goldwater (R) R+16.5
1970 Paul Fannin (R) R+12.0
1968 Barry Goldwater (R) R+14.4
1964 Paul Fannin (R) R+2.9
1962 Carl Hayden (D) D+9.9
1958 Barry Goldwater (R) R+12.1
1956 Carl Hayden (D) D+22.8
1952 Barry Goldwater (R) R+2.6
1950 Carl Hayden (D) D+25.6
1946 Ernest McFarland (D) D+39.1
1944 Carl Hayden (D) D+38.7
1940 Ernest McFarland (D) D+43.6
1938 Carl Hayden (D) D+53.0
1934 Henry Ashurst (D) D+46.4
1932 Carl Hayden (D) D+34.6
1928 Henry Ashurst (D) D+8.5
1926 Carl Hayden (D) D+16.7
1922 Henry Ashurst (D) D+30.1
1920 Ralph H. Cameron (R) R+10.3
1916 Henry Ashurst (D) D+16.0
1914 Marcus A. Smith (D) D+34.3