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United States · Election results history · 2004 Senate · Kentucky
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 US Senate election in Kentucky

Jim Bunning (Republican) beat Daniel Mongiardo (Democrat) in Kentucky in 2004, 50.7% to 49.3%, a margin of 1.3 points and 22,652 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 1998, when Jim Bunning also won.

Republicans led in 73 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 47. The largest, Jefferson, cast 333,240 votes and went to the Democrat by 19.2 points. The closest was Caldwell, where 9 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Jim Bunning won Republican 873,507 50.7%
Daniel Mongiardo Democratic 850,855 49.3%
Total1,724,362

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 198,541 59.6% 134,699 40.4% 333,240 D+19.2
Fayette 70,798 58.5% 50,209 41.5% 121,007 D+17.0
Kenton 22,759 35.1% 42,158 64.9% 64,917 R+29.9
Boone 12,543 28.7% 31,162 71.3% 43,705 R+42.6
Daviess 19,739 49.5% 20,148 50.5% 39,887 R+1.0
Campbell 14,079 36.4% 24,603 63.6% 38,682 R+27.2
Warren 16,457 43.6% 21,258 56.4% 37,715 R+12.7
Hardin 14,910 42.8% 19,916 57.2% 34,826 R+14.4
Madison 14,790 50.1% 14,743 49.9% 29,533 D+0.2
McCracken 13,940 48.3% 14,934 51.7% 28,874 R+3.4
Bullitt 11,913 43.2% 15,675 56.8% 27,588 R+13.6
Oldham 10,731 40.5% 15,751 59.5% 26,482 R+19.0
Pike 15,293 61.3% 9,672 38.7% 24,965 D+22.5
Pulaski 7,848 32.8% 16,053 67.2% 23,901 R+34.3
Franklin 15,324 65.7% 7,998 34.3% 23,322 D+31.4
Laurel 7,014 32.7% 14,427 67.3% 21,441 R+34.6
Boyd 10,713 51.3% 10,181 48.7% 20,894 D+2.5
Christian 7,304 37.2% 12,331 62.8% 19,635 R+25.6
Hopkins 7,930 43.8% 10,161 56.2% 18,091 R+12.3
Henderson 9,490 53.0% 8,419 47.0% 17,909 D+6.0
Jessamine 7,730 43.6% 10,002 56.4% 17,732 R+12.8
Floyd 12,092 70.7% 5,015 29.3% 17,107 D+41.4
Scott 8,364 50.7% 8,126 49.3% 16,490 D+1.4
Nelson 8,300 51.7% 7,754 48.3% 16,054 D+3.4
Shelby 7,269 46.0% 8,544 54.0% 15,813 R+8.1
Greenup 7,874 50.2% 7,804 49.8% 15,678 D+0.4
Graves 8,036 51.9% 7,448 48.1% 15,484 D+3.8
Barren 6,459 42.5% 8,749 57.5% 15,208 R+15.1
Marshall 7,937 52.5% 7,191 47.5% 15,128 D+4.9
Clark 7,559 51.8% 7,047 48.2% 14,606 D+3.5
Calloway 7,063 48.6% 7,456 51.4% 14,519 R+2.7
Muhlenberg 7,178 56.2% 5,604 43.8% 12,782 D+12.3
Whitley 4,620 36.4% 8,082 63.6% 12,702 R+27.3
Boyle 5,806 48.4% 6,179 51.6% 11,985 R+3.1
Perry 8,659 76.8% 2,620 23.2% 11,279 D+53.5
Knox 4,591 40.7% 6,685 59.3% 11,276 R+18.6
Woodford 6,196 55.9% 4,887 44.1% 11,083 D+11.8
Harlan 7,265 68.5% 3,340 31.5% 10,605 D+37.0
Meade 5,000 47.3% 5,574 52.7% 10,574 R+5.4
Carter 5,754 54.6% 4,794 45.4% 10,548 D+9.1
Bell 5,646 56.0% 4,442 44.0% 10,088 D+11.9
Logan 4,099 41.2% 5,847 58.8% 9,946 R+17.6
Taylor 3,643 37.3% 6,119 62.7% 9,762 R+25.4
Montgomery 5,558 57.4% 4,130 42.6% 9,688 D+14.7
Ohio 4,202 43.9% 5,371 56.1% 9,573 R+12.2
Mercer 4,534 47.5% 5,019 52.5% 9,553 R+5.1
Grayson 3,618 38.0% 5,894 62.0% 9,512 R+23.9
Anderson 4,540 49.3% 4,676 50.7% 9,216 R+1.5
Johnson 3,711 41.4% 5,242 58.6% 8,953 R+17.1
Letcher 5,884 68.1% 2,751 31.9% 8,635 D+36.3
Lincoln 3,695 43.1% 4,870 56.9% 8,565 R+13.7
Grant 3,007 35.4% 5,497 64.6% 8,504 R+29.3
Rowan 5,032 59.8% 3,388 40.2% 8,420 D+19.5
Breckinridge 3,550 43.4% 4,633 56.6% 8,183 R+13.2
Bourbon 4,250 54.0% 3,614 46.0% 7,864 D+8.1
Harrison 3,702 49.8% 3,738 50.2% 7,440 R+0.5
Russell 2,242 30.6% 5,092 69.4% 7,334 R+38.9
Knott 5,811 81.2% 1,345 18.8% 7,156 D+62.4
Adair 2,151 30.7% 4,857 69.3% 7,008 R+38.6
Wayne 2,783 39.8% 4,214 60.2% 6,997 R+20.5
Marion 4,112 58.8% 2,881 41.2% 6,993 D+17.6
Clay 2,643 37.9% 4,336 62.1% 6,979 R+24.3
Allen 2,030 30.4% 4,640 69.6% 6,670 R+39.1
Mason 2,748 41.4% 3,884 58.6% 6,632 R+17.1
Spencer 2,821 42.6% 3,799 57.4% 6,620 R+14.8
Simpson 2,938 44.5% 3,665 55.5% 6,603 R+11.0
Garrard 2,556 40.4% 3,767 59.6% 6,323 R+19.2
Hart 2,785 44.2% 3,518 55.8% 6,303 R+11.6
Henry 3,024 48.1% 3,266 51.9% 6,290 R+3.8
Lawrence 2,790 45.6% 3,322 54.4% 6,112 R+8.7
Caldwell 3,034 50.1% 3,025 49.9% 6,059 D+0.1
Casey 1,476 24.8% 4,483 75.2% 5,959 R+50.5
Fleming 2,815 47.8% 3,080 52.2% 5,895 R+4.5
Pendleton 2,042 34.8% 3,824 65.2% 5,866 R+30.4
Trigg 2,457 42.3% 3,354 57.7% 5,811 R+15.4
Breathitt 4,201 72.3% 1,607 27.7% 5,808 D+44.7
Rockcastle 1,812 31.4% 3,956 68.6% 5,768 R+37.2
Union 2,880 50.8% 2,791 49.2% 5,671 D+1.6
Larue 2,241 39.5% 3,429 60.5% 5,670 R+21.0
Estill 2,414 45.5% 2,892 54.5% 5,306 R+9.0
Butler 1,601 30.4% 3,665 69.6% 5,266 R+39.2
Webster 2,738 52.4% 2,490 47.6% 5,228 D+4.7
Edmonson 1,942 38.0% 3,165 62.0% 5,107 R+23.9
McCreary 1,501 29.4% 3,603 70.6% 5,104 R+41.2
Monroe 1,156 22.7% 3,940 77.3% 5,096 R+54.6
Lewis 1,509 29.8% 3,562 70.2% 5,071 R+40.5
Magoffin 2,816 57.3% 2,100 42.7% 4,916 D+14.6
Washington 2,146 43.7% 2,761 56.3% 4,907 R+12.5
Green 1,556 31.9% 3,324 68.1% 4,880 R+36.2
Jackson 1,070 22.2% 3,755 77.8% 4,825 R+55.6
Leslie 2,339 49.0% 2,438 51.0% 4,777 R+2.1
Powell 2,806 58.9% 1,961 41.1% 4,767 D+17.7
Bath 2,910 63.5% 1,673 36.5% 4,583 D+27.0
Morgan 2,758 60.5% 1,800 39.5% 4,558 D+21.0
Owen 1,909 42.0% 2,637 58.0% 4,546 R+16.0
Livingston 2,520 55.4% 2,025 44.6% 4,545 D+10.9
McLean 2,179 51.2% 2,078 48.8% 4,257 D+2.4
Todd 1,550 36.5% 2,696 63.5% 4,246 R+27.0
Martin 1,497 35.3% 2,744 64.7% 4,241 R+29.4
Ballard 2,331 57.1% 1,752 42.9% 4,083 D+14.2
Clinton 937 23.2% 3,094 76.8% 4,031 R+53.5
Crittenden 1,813 45.0% 2,214 55.0% 4,027 R+10.0
Metcalfe 1,608 41.6% 2,260 58.4% 3,868 R+16.9
Hancock 2,010 52.3% 1,834 47.7% 3,844 D+4.6
Lyon 2,082 55.3% 1,680 44.7% 3,762 D+10.7
Carroll 1,971 52.4% 1,788 47.6% 3,759 D+4.9
Trimble 1,852 49.8% 1,865 50.2% 3,717 R+0.3
Bracken 1,183 34.5% 2,249 65.5% 3,432 R+31.1
Gallatin 1,184 40.5% 1,736 59.5% 2,920 R+18.9
Cumberland 782 27.1% 2,103 72.9% 2,885 R+45.8
Nicholas 1,638 57.0% 1,236 43.0% 2,874 D+14.0
Elliott 2,025 71.7% 801 28.3% 2,826 D+43.3
Wolfe 1,856 67.1% 911 32.9% 2,767 D+34.2
Carlisle 1,412 51.6% 1,327 48.4% 2,739 D+3.1
Lee 1,126 41.2% 1,606 58.8% 2,732 R+17.6
Fulton 1,426 53.5% 1,237 46.5% 2,663 D+7.1
Menifee 1,484 61.1% 946 38.9% 2,430 D+22.1
Hickman 1,159 51.5% 1,093 48.5% 2,252 D+2.9
Owsley 660 36.6% 1,142 63.4% 1,802 R+26.7
Robertson 468 45.6% 559 54.4% 1,027 R+8.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2022 Rand Paul (R) R+23.6
2020 Mitch McConnell (R) R+19.5
2016 Rand Paul (R) R+14.5
2014 Mich McConnell (R) R+15.5
2010 Rand Paul (R) R+11.5
2008 Mitch McConnell (R) R+5.9
2004 Jim Bunning (R) R+1.3
2002 Mitch McConnell (R) R+29.4
1998 Jim Bunning (R) R+0.6
1996 Mitch McConnell (R) R+12.6
1992 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+27.1
1990 Mitch McConnell (R) R+4.4
1986 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+48.8
1984 Mitch McConnell (R) R+0.4
1980 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+30.3
1978 Walter D. Huddleston (D) D+24.1
1974 Wendell Ford (D) D+9.4
1972 Walter D. Huddleston (D) D+3.3
1968 Marlow W. Cook (R) R+3.7
1966 John Sherman Cooper (R) R+29.1
1962 Thruston B. Morton (R) R+5.5
1960 John Sherman Cooper (R) R+18.4
1956 Thruston B. Morton (R) R+0.7
1954 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+8.9
1950 Earle C. Clements (D) D+9.1
1948 Virgil Chapman (D) D+3.1
1944 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+9.9
1942 Happy Chandler (D) D+10.7
1938 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+24.1
1936 Marvel M. Logan (D) D+19.0
1932 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+18.6
1930 Marvel M. Logan (D) D+4.3
1926 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+3.7
1924 Frederic M. Sackett (R) R+3.1
1920 Richard P. Ernst (R) R+0.6
1918 Augustus Owsley Stanley (D) D+1.5
1914 John C.W. Beckham (D) D+9.4