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United States · Election results history · 2010 Senate · Kentucky
Election 2010 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2010 US Senate election in Kentucky

Rand Paul (Republican) beat Jack Conway (Democrat) in Kentucky in 2010, 55.7% to 44.2%, a margin of 11.5 points and 155,654 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2004, when Jim Bunning won.

Republicans led in 93 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 26. The largest, Jefferson, cast 258,663 votes and went to the Democrat by 11.2 points. The closest was Union, where 3 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Rand Paul won Republican 755,706 55.7%
Jack Conway Democratic 600,052 44.2%
All other candidates 338 0.0%
Total1,356,096

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 143,385 55.4% 114,435 44.2% 843 258,663 D+11.2
Fayette 44,591 50.7% 43,313 49.3% 17 87,921 D+1.5
Kenton 14,582 33.2% 29,372 66.8% 2 43,956 R+33.6
Boone 8,364 25.6% 24,332 74.4% 2 32,698 R+48.8
Daviess 13,858 45.0% 16,930 55.0% 30,788 R+10.0
Warren 11,686 38.5% 18,651 61.5% 1 30,338 R+23.0
Campbell 9,948 35.1% 18,386 64.9% 1 28,335 R+29.8
Hardin 11,271 41.2% 16,064 58.7% 8 27,343 R+17.5
Madison 10,401 42.9% 13,737 56.6% 117 24,255 R+13.8
Bullitt 8,608 37.2% 14,547 62.8% 1 23,156 R+25.6
McCracken 8,601 38.7% 13,629 61.3% 12 22,242 R+22.6
Oldham 7,248 32.7% 14,932 67.3% 8 22,188 R+34.6
Pulaski 5,001 26.0% 14,209 73.9% 11 19,221 R+47.9
Franklin 10,654 57.3% 7,912 42.6% 13 18,579 D+14.8
Jessamine 5,468 34.9% 10,197 65.1% 2 15,667 R+30.2
Laurel 3,927 25.5% 11,472 74.5% 2 15,401 R+49.0
Hopkins 6,274 40.9% 9,051 59.1% 2 15,327 R+18.1
Pike 7,470 49.4% 7,663 50.6% 1 15,134 R+1.3
Scott 6,250 42.1% 8,577 57.8% 1 14,828 R+15.7
Shelby 5,609 39.1% 8,734 60.9% 2 14,345 R+21.8
Christian 5,410 38.0% 8,832 62.0% 2 14,244 R+24.0
Nelson 6,502 45.8% 7,706 54.2% 14,208 R+8.5
Boyd 7,140 50.4% 7,039 49.6% 14,179 D+0.7
Henderson 6,885 50.8% 6,650 49.1% 6 13,541 D+1.7
Barren 5,385 41.9% 7,458 58.1% 12,843 R+16.1
Graves 5,169 43.1% 6,818 56.9% 4 11,991 R+13.8
Marshall 5,254 44.0% 6,689 56.0% 5 11,948 R+12.0
Greenup 5,750 49.5% 5,862 50.5% 4 11,616 R+1.0
Floyd 6,360 57.0% 4,794 43.0% 11,154 D+14.0
Clark 4,485 41.6% 6,287 58.4% 10,772 R+16.7
Calloway 4,386 41.7% 6,134 58.3% 1 10,521 R+16.6
Woodford 4,520 45.7% 5,344 54.1% 19 9,883 R+8.3
Taylor 3,977 41.7% 5,539 58.1% 16 9,532 R+16.4
Meade 4,269 46.1% 4,984 53.9% 1 9,254 R+7.7
Whitley 2,594 28.6% 6,469 71.4% 9,063 R+42.8
Muhlenberg 4,945 55.2% 4,019 44.8% 8,964 D+10.3
Knox 3,267 36.6% 5,664 63.4% 3 8,934 R+26.8
Boyle 3,880 43.9% 4,960 56.1% 1 8,841 R+12.2
Perry 3,833 44.2% 4,834 55.8% 8,667 R+11.5
Grayson 3,133 36.5% 5,443 63.4% 10 8,586 R+26.9
Ohio 4,021 47.2% 4,498 52.8% 1 8,520 R+5.6
Bell 3,236 38.0% 5,269 62.0% 8,505 R+23.9
Harlan 3,455 41.2% 4,934 58.8% 8,389 R+17.6
Carter 4,475 54.1% 3,797 45.9% 8,272 D+8.2
Logan 3,087 37.9% 5,061 62.1% 4 8,152 R+24.2
Anderson 3,523 43.5% 4,572 56.5% 4 8,099 R+13.0
Johnson 2,692 34.0% 5,216 65.9% 7 7,915 R+31.9
Montgomery 3,986 50.8% 3,864 49.2% 7,850 D+1.6
Mercer 3,125 40.9% 4,502 59.0% 8 7,635 R+18.0
Letcher 3,540 47.9% 3,856 52.1% 7,396 R+4.3
Lincoln 3,169 43.8% 4,072 56.2% 7,241 R+12.5
Spencer 2,562 37.4% 4,295 62.6% 6,857 R+25.3
Wayne 2,835 42.3% 3,868 57.7% 6,703 R+15.4
Rowan 3,752 56.5% 2,883 43.5% 6,635 D+13.1
Adair 2,032 31.1% 4,498 68.9% 6,530 R+37.8
Breckinridge 2,757 42.8% 3,686 57.2% 6,443 R+14.4
Allen 2,115 33.1% 4,277 66.9% 2 6,394 R+33.8
Russell 1,786 28.7% 4,443 71.3% 1 6,230 R+42.6
Grant 2,147 35.6% 3,882 64.4% 6,029 R+28.8
Bourbon 2,818 48.2% 3,026 51.8% 1 5,845 R+3.6
Knott 3,067 52.9% 2,720 46.9% 8 5,795 D+6.0
Magoffin 3,143 55.7% 2,504 44.3% 5,647 D+11.3
Harrison 2,596 46.1% 3,035 53.9% 4 5,635 R+7.8
Trigg 2,254 40.6% 3,301 59.4% 5,555 R+18.8
Henry 2,551 46.0% 2,992 53.9% 3 5,546 R+8.0
Marion 3,029 56.2% 2,349 43.6% 15 5,393 D+12.6
Garrard 1,693 31.9% 3,617 68.1% 5,310 R+36.2
Fleming 2,627 51.8% 2,445 48.2% 5,072 D+3.6
Union 2,516 50.0% 2,513 50.0% 5,029 D+0.1
Hart 2,268 45.2% 2,748 54.8% 1 5,017 R+9.6
Mason 2,282 45.6% 2,724 54.4% 1 5,007 R+8.8
Clay 1,270 25.5% 3,712 74.5% 4,982 R+49.0
Simpson 2,065 42.0% 2,846 58.0% 4,911 R+15.9
Lawrence 2,207 45.1% 2,685 54.9% 4,892 R+9.8
McCreary 1,375 28.7% 3,417 71.3% 4,792 R+42.6
Caldwell 2,114 45.4% 2,544 54.6% 4,658 R+9.2
Larue 1,865 40.6% 2,729 59.4% 4,594 R+18.8
Monroe 1,098 23.9% 3,488 76.1% 4,586 R+52.1
Green 1,622 35.7% 2,926 64.3% 4,548 R+28.7
Estill 1,901 42.2% 2,607 57.8% 4,508 R+15.7
Breathitt 2,464 54.9% 2,023 45.1% 4,487 D+9.8
Rockcastle 1,301 29.0% 3,182 71.0% 4,483 R+42.0
Leslie 916 20.6% 3,530 79.3% 7 4,453 R+58.7
Jackson 1,015 22.9% 3,421 77.1% 4,436 R+54.2
Edmonson 1,730 39.4% 2,656 60.5% 1 4,387 R+21.1
Washington 1,904 43.4% 2,480 56.6% 1 4,385 R+13.1
Casey 1,135 26.1% 3,207 73.9% 4,342 R+47.7
Webster 1,909 46.5% 2,195 53.5% 4,104 R+7.0
Morgan 2,334 57.4% 1,733 42.6% 4,067 D+14.8
Pendleton 1,472 36.8% 2,525 63.2% 3,997 R+26.3
Butler 1,283 32.2% 2,699 67.8% 3,982 R+35.6
Metcalfe 1,783 45.8% 2,112 54.2% 1 3,896 R+8.4
Livingston 1,792 46.1% 2,090 53.8% 4 3,886 R+7.7
Powell 2,116 54.6% 1,758 45.4% 3,874 D+9.2
Todd 1,545 40.4% 2,283 59.6% 3,828 R+19.3
Clinton 884 23.7% 2,844 76.3% 3,728 R+52.6
Martin 1,226 33.3% 2,453 66.6% 3 3,682 R+33.3
McLean 1,826 51.3% 1,731 48.6% 4 3,561 D+2.7
Lewis 1,080 30.7% 2,436 69.3% 3,516 R+38.6
Owen 1,458 42.6% 1,968 57.4% 3,426 R+14.9
Bath 1,981 58.4% 1,409 41.6% 3,390 D+16.9
Crittenden 1,316 39.0% 2,053 60.8% 6 3,375 R+21.8
Carroll 1,807 54.5% 1,509 45.5% 3,316 D+9.0
Lyon 1,475 46.0% 1,727 53.9% 3 3,205 R+7.9
Hancock 1,719 54.3% 1,444 45.7% 3,163 D+8.7
Bracken 1,392 44.1% 1,765 55.9% 3,157 R+11.8
Ballard 1,362 45.3% 1,647 54.7% 3,009 R+9.5
Gallatin 1,167 41.9% 1,619 58.1% 2,786 R+16.2
Trimble 1,291 47.3% 1,432 52.5% 6 2,729 R+5.2
Lee 1,040 38.8% 1,639 61.2% 2,679 R+22.4
Cumberland 686 25.8% 1,978 74.2% 2,664 R+48.5
Menifee 1,520 63.6% 869 36.4% 2,389 D+27.2
Carlisle 969 43.7% 1,249 56.3% 2,218 R+12.6
Fulton 1,009 49.1% 1,045 50.9% 2,054 R+1.8
Nicholas 1,087 55.2% 882 44.8% 1,969 D+10.4
Wolfe 1,122 60.4% 737 39.6% 1,859 D+20.7
Owsley 634 34.6% 1,199 65.4% 1,833 R+30.8
Hickman 733 43.6% 947 56.4% 1,680 R+12.7
Elliott 991 66.8% 493 33.2% 1,484 D+33.6
Robertson 373 50.0% 373 50.0% 746 level

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2022 Rand Paul (R) R+23.6
2020 Mitch McConnell (R) R+19.5
2016 Rand Paul (R) R+14.5
2014 Mich McConnell (R) R+15.5
2010 Rand Paul (R) R+11.5
2008 Mitch McConnell (R) R+5.9
2004 Jim Bunning (R) R+1.3
2002 Mitch McConnell (R) R+29.4
1998 Jim Bunning (R) R+0.6
1996 Mitch McConnell (R) R+12.6
1992 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+27.1
1990 Mitch McConnell (R) R+4.4
1986 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+48.8
1984 Mitch McConnell (R) R+0.4
1980 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+30.3
1978 Walter D. Huddleston (D) D+24.1
1974 Wendell Ford (D) D+9.4
1972 Walter D. Huddleston (D) D+3.3
1968 Marlow W. Cook (R) R+3.7
1966 John Sherman Cooper (R) R+29.1
1962 Thruston B. Morton (R) R+5.5
1960 John Sherman Cooper (R) R+18.4
1956 Thruston B. Morton (R) R+0.7
1954 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+8.9
1950 Earle C. Clements (D) D+9.1
1948 Virgil Chapman (D) D+3.1
1944 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+9.9
1942 Happy Chandler (D) D+10.7
1938 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+24.1
1936 Marvel M. Logan (D) D+19.0
1932 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+18.6
1930 Marvel M. Logan (D) D+4.3
1926 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+3.7
1924 Frederic M. Sackett (R) R+3.1
1920 Richard P. Ernst (R) R+0.6
1918 Augustus Owsley Stanley (D) D+1.5
1914 John C.W. Beckham (D) D+9.4