United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

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2020 US Senate election in Kentucky

Mitch McConnell (Republican) beat Amy McGrath (Democrat) in Kentucky in 2020, 57.8% to 38.2%, a margin of 19.5 points and 417,013 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2014, when Mich McConnell also won.

Republicans led in 117 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Jefferson, cast 386,961 votes and went to the Democrat by 22.0 points. The closest was Robertson, where 508 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Mitch McConnell won Republican 1,233,055 57.8%
Amy McGrath Democratic 816,042 38.2%
All other candidates 85,349 4.0%
Total2,134,446

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 230,679 59.6% 145,525 37.6% 10,757 386,961 D+22.0
Fayette 90,104 58.8% 58,905 38.5% 4,141 153,150 D+20.4
Kenton 34,455 41.9% 44,694 54.4% 3,030 82,179 R+12.5
Boone 22,446 33.5% 41,726 62.3% 2,778 66,950 R+28.8
Warren 23,345 42.1% 29,718 53.6% 2,367 55,430 R+11.5
Daviess 18,380 37.3% 28,085 57.0% 2,819 49,284 R+19.7
Hardin 19,221 39.3% 27,448 56.1% 2,280 48,949 R+16.8
Campbell 20,599 42.1% 26,327 53.9% 1,954 48,880 R+11.7
Madison 16,267 37.0% 26,065 59.2% 1,683 44,015 R+22.3
Bullitt 11,894 28.4% 28,040 67.0% 1,946 41,880 R+38.6
Oldham 14,713 38.7% 22,023 57.9% 1,330 38,066 R+19.2
McCracken 11,623 34.6% 20,883 62.2% 1,051 33,557 R+27.6
Pulaski 6,118 19.4% 23,899 75.8% 1,496 31,513 R+56.4
Scott 11,248 38.8% 16,405 56.6% 1,314 28,967 R+17.8
Laurel 4,882 17.4% 22,037 78.3% 1,217 28,136 R+61.0
Jessamine 8,861 33.7% 16,488 62.6% 977 26,326 R+29.0
Franklin 13,089 50.1% 11,990 45.9% 1,034 26,113 D+4.2
Pike 6,013 23.8% 18,362 72.7% 883 25,258 R+48.9
Christian 9,130 38.4% 13,523 56.8% 1,136 23,789 R+18.5
Shelby 8,332 35.3% 14,111 59.8% 1,148 23,591 R+24.5
Nelson 7,943 34.2% 14,219 61.3% 1,042 23,204 R+27.0
Boyd 7,915 36.4% 12,909 59.3% 931 21,755 R+23.0
Hopkins 6,066 28.3% 14,247 66.4% 1,155 21,468 R+38.1
Henderson 8,256 39.9% 11,510 55.6% 917 20,683 R+15.7
Barren 5,600 28.0% 13,341 66.6% 1,081 20,022 R+38.7
Greenup 5,673 31.3% 11,622 64.1% 841 18,136 R+32.8
Clark 6,312 34.8% 11,120 61.3% 695 18,127 R+26.5
Marshall 4,532 25.7% 12,384 70.3% 691 17,607 R+44.6
Calloway 6,177 35.3% 10,634 60.9% 664 17,475 R+25.5
Graves 3,938 23.2% 12,334 72.7% 690 16,962 R+49.5
Floyd 4,924 30.2% 10,737 65.9% 623 16,284 R+35.7
Whitley 2,887 18.9% 11,634 76.0% 777 15,298 R+57.2
Woodford 6,612 43.4% 8,119 53.2% 518 15,249 R+9.9
Boyle 5,445 37.6% 8,418 58.2% 603 14,466 R+20.6
Muhlenberg 4,174 29.5% 9,221 65.1% 763 14,158 R+35.6
Meade 4,225 30.0% 9,069 64.5% 771 14,065 R+34.4
Knox 2,413 18.2% 10,291 77.7% 536 13,240 R+59.5
Anderson 3,661 27.7% 9,017 68.2% 551 13,229 R+40.5
Montgomery 3,983 31.1% 8,345 65.1% 488 12,816 R+34.0
Taylor 3,277 26.2% 8,637 69.1% 582 12,496 R+42.9
Logan 3,503 28.4% 8,180 66.4% 640 12,323 R+38.0
Grayson 2,633 22.0% 8,571 71.7% 758 11,962 R+49.6
Mercer 3,247 27.7% 7,956 68.0% 501 11,704 R+40.2
Carter 3,253 28.2% 7,725 66.9% 570 11,548 R+38.7
Spencer 2,827 24.8% 8,026 70.4% 554 11,407 R+45.6
Grant 2,544 23.0% 7,957 71.8% 581 11,082 R+48.8
Ohio 2,765 25.0% 7,619 68.8% 694 11,078 R+43.8
Harlan 1,892 17.3% 8,637 79.1% 393 10,922 R+61.8
Lincoln 2,521 23.1% 7,820 71.8% 552 10,893 R+48.6
Perry 2,781 26.4% 7,381 70.1% 371 10,533 R+43.7
Breckinridge 2,764 27.1% 6,937 68.0% 497 10,198 R+40.9
Johnson 1,868 18.4% 7,898 77.8% 386 10,152 R+59.4
Rowan 4,175 41.6% 5,403 53.8% 464 10,042 R+12.2
Bell 2,159 21.7% 7,346 73.9% 442 9,947 R+52.1
Bourbon 3,477 36.0% 5,807 60.2% 364 9,648 R+24.2
Allen 1,919 20.6% 6,948 74.7% 433 9,300 R+54.1
Wayne 1,978 21.6% 6,689 73.1% 483 9,150 R+51.5
Letcher 2,245 24.7% 6,441 71.0% 391 9,077 R+46.2
Russell 1,548 17.4% 6,911 77.5% 457 8,916 R+60.2
Marion 3,144 35.4% 5,274 59.3% 474 8,892 R+24.0
Harrison 2,565 29.0% 5,911 66.8% 368 8,844 R+37.8
Adair 1,623 18.6% 6,753 77.4% 348 8,724 R+58.8
Simpson 2,976 34.2% 5,302 60.9% 421 8,699 R+26.7
Garrard 1,959 22.5% 6,371 73.3% 363 8,693 R+50.8
Hart 2,123 25.4% 5,805 69.5% 420 8,348 R+44.1
Henry 2,431 30.0% 5,259 65.0% 402 8,092 R+34.9
Mason 2,601 32.8% 4,999 63.0% 329 7,929 R+30.2
Rockcastle 1,225 15.8% 6,194 79.9% 336 7,755 R+64.1
Clay 1,016 13.4% 6,242 82.5% 310 7,568 R+69.1
Trigg 2,034 27.6% 5,000 67.9% 334 7,368 R+40.3
Larue 1,747 24.0% 5,137 70.5% 407 7,291 R+46.5
Casey 1,027 14.4% 5,775 80.7% 350 7,152 R+66.4
Fleming 1,743 24.8% 5,041 71.6% 255 7,039 R+46.9
Lawrence 1,520 22.0% 5,089 73.5% 313 6,922 R+51.6
Pendleton 1,570 22.7% 4,993 72.2% 350 6,913 R+49.5
Union 1,803 27.5% 4,351 66.4% 399 6,553 R+38.9
Estill 1,515 23.2% 4,783 73.2% 239 6,537 R+50.0
Caldwell 1,675 26.1% 4,452 69.3% 298 6,425 R+43.2
McCreary 889 13.9% 5,179 81.0% 322 6,390 R+67.1
Knott 1,664 26.8% 4,330 69.8% 206 6,200 R+43.0
Washington 1,769 28.6% 4,107 66.3% 317 6,193 R+37.8
Edmonson 1,383 22.6% 4,408 72.0% 332 6,123 R+49.4
Butler 1,238 20.2% 4,471 73.0% 413 6,122 R+52.8
Jackson 689 11.3% 5,168 84.9% 229 6,086 R+73.6
Webster 1,600 26.8% 4,029 67.4% 347 5,976 R+40.6
Lewis 991 16.9% 4,500 76.8% 366 5,857 R+59.9
Green 1,074 18.5% 4,472 77.1% 252 5,798 R+58.6
Breathitt 1,652 29.4% 3,738 66.6% 223 5,613 R+37.2
Bath 1,827 32.6% 3,537 63.0% 246 5,610 R+30.5
Morgan 1,375 24.9% 3,915 70.9% 228 5,518 R+46.0
Powell 1,591 29.0% 3,642 66.3% 260 5,493 R+37.3
Owen 1,235 22.7% 3,958 72.7% 253 5,446 R+50.0
Magoffin 1,392 25.7% 3,857 71.1% 177 5,426 R+45.4
Todd 1,460 27.4% 3,565 66.9% 307 5,332 R+39.5
Monroe 763 14.5% 4,320 81.9% 191 5,274 R+67.4
Livingston 1,110 22.2% 3,701 74.1% 186 4,997 R+51.9
Metcalfe 1,129 22.7% 3,538 71.2% 302 4,969 R+48.5
Clinton 729 14.9% 3,969 81.0% 204 4,902 R+66.1
Leslie 562 11.7% 4,061 84.7% 169 4,792 R+73.0
McLean 1,241 26.0% 3,211 67.2% 323 4,775 R+41.3
Hancock 1,580 34.5% 2,729 59.6% 269 4,578 R+25.1
Trimble 1,183 27.5% 2,889 67.2% 230 4,302 R+39.7
Crittenden 869 20.5% 3,163 74.7% 204 4,236 R+54.2
Bracken 987 23.3% 3,042 71.9% 203 4,232 R+48.6
Lyon 1,204 28.5% 2,884 68.2% 141 4,229 R+39.7
Ballard 936 22.1% 3,155 74.6% 136 4,227 R+52.5
Carroll 1,299 31.6% 2,560 62.2% 256 4,115 R+30.6
Martin 497 12.7% 3,348 85.3% 80 3,925 R+72.6
Gallatin 974 25.3% 2,653 69.0% 217 3,844 R+43.7
Nicholas 1,088 32.1% 2,151 63.5% 149 3,388 R+31.4
Cumberland 610 18.6% 2,446 74.6% 221 3,277 R+56.0
Menifee 882 28.7% 2,071 67.3% 123 3,076 R+38.7
Wolfe 945 31.7% 1,912 64.1% 124 2,981 R+32.4
Elliott 868 29.3% 1,958 66.0% 140 2,966 R+36.7
Carlisle 541 20.5% 2,009 76.0% 92 2,642 R+55.6
Lee 520 20.3% 1,954 76.2% 90 2,564 R+55.9
Fulton 808 33.6% 1,488 61.9% 109 2,405 R+28.3
Hickman 512 23.4% 1,610 73.4% 70 2,192 R+50.1
Owsley 280 14.9% 1,516 80.8% 80 1,876 R+65.9
Robertson 288 25.3% 796 69.9% 55 1,139 R+44.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2022 Rand Paul (R) R+23.6
2020 Mitch McConnell (R) R+19.5
2016 Rand Paul (R) R+14.5
2014 Mich McConnell (R) R+15.5
2010 Rand Paul (R) R+11.5
2008 Mitch McConnell (R) R+5.9
2004 Jim Bunning (R) R+1.3
2002 Mitch McConnell (R) R+29.4
1998 Jim Bunning (R) R+0.6
1996 Mitch McConnell (R) R+12.6
1992 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+27.1
1990 Mitch McConnell (R) R+4.4
1986 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+48.8
1984 Mitch McConnell (R) R+0.4
1980 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+30.3
1978 Walter D. Huddleston (D) D+24.1
1974 Wendell Ford (D) D+9.4
1972 Walter D. Huddleston (D) D+3.3
1968 Marlow W. Cook (R) R+3.7
1966 John Sherman Cooper (R) R+29.1
1962 Thruston B. Morton (R) R+5.5
1960 John Sherman Cooper (R) R+18.4
1956 Thruston B. Morton (R) R+0.7
1954 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+8.9
1950 Earle C. Clements (D) D+9.1
1948 Virgil Chapman (D) D+3.1
1944 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+9.9
1942 Happy Chandler (D) D+10.7
1938 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+24.1
1936 Marvel M. Logan (D) D+19.0
1932 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+18.6
1930 Marvel M. Logan (D) D+4.3
1926 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+3.7
1924 Frederic M. Sackett (R) R+3.1
1920 Richard P. Ernst (R) R+0.6
1918 Augustus Owsley Stanley (D) D+1.5
1914 John C.W. Beckham (D) D+9.4