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Closest results
Election 1930 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1930 US Senate election in Kentucky

Marvel M. Logan (Democrat) beat John M. Robsion (Republican) in Kentucky in 1930, 52.1% to 47.9%, a margin of 4.3 points and 27,568 votes.

Ben M. Williamson (Democrat) beat John M. Robsion (Republican) in Kentucky in 1930, 52.3% to 47.7%, a margin of 4.7 points and 29,213 votes. (This was a special election.)

Kentucky changed party: in 1924 it went Republican, for Frederic M. Sackett.

Democrats led in 75 of the 120 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 45. The largest, Jefferson, cast 103,479 votes and went to the Republican by 14.2 points. The closest was Caldwell, where 16 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Marvel M. Logan won Democratic 336,748 52.1%
John M. Robsion Republican 309,180 47.9%
Total645,928

Special election

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Ben M. Williamson won Democratic 326,723 52.3%
John M. Robsion Republican 297,510 47.7%
Total624,233

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 44,379 42.9% 59,100 57.1% 103,479 R+14.2
Kenton 12,708 60.6% 8,247 39.4% 20,955 D+21.3
Campbell 9,897 52.4% 9,006 47.6% 18,903 D+4.7
Fayette 8,315 51.1% 7,956 48.9% 16,271 D+2.2
Pike 7,188 55.6% 5,747 44.4% 12,935 D+11.1
Harlan 4,960 41.0% 7,139 59.0% 12,099 R+18.0
Pulaski 3,839 39.1% 5,982 60.9% 9,821 R+21.8
Warren 6,134 63.2% 3,578 36.8% 9,712 D+26.3
Boyd 4,998 52.6% 4,498 47.4% 9,496 D+5.3
Madison 4,339 53.4% 3,786 46.6% 8,125 D+6.8
Muhlenberg 3,500 44.1% 4,445 55.9% 7,945 R+11.9
Christian 3,619 47.6% 3,983 52.4% 7,602 R+4.8
Hopkins 4,499 59.9% 3,014 40.1% 7,513 D+19.8
Daviess 4,705 63.6% 2,697 36.4% 7,402 D+27.1
Whitley 1,646 23.4% 5,376 76.6% 7,022 R+53.1
Bell 2,441 35.4% 4,463 64.6% 6,904 R+29.3
Perry 3,205 47.4% 3,553 52.6% 6,758 R+5.1
Graves 5,371 80.1% 1,337 19.9% 6,708 D+60.1
Floyd 3,995 59.8% 2,686 40.2% 6,681 D+19.6
Barren 4,013 60.6% 2,608 39.4% 6,621 D+21.2
Franklin 4,463 69.1% 1,992 30.9% 6,455 D+38.3
Hardin 3,795 59.8% 2,552 40.2% 6,347 D+19.6
McCracken 3,955 63.2% 2,301 36.8% 6,256 D+26.4
Ohio 2,727 44.6% 3,384 55.4% 6,111 R+10.8
Carter 2,435 40.4% 3,596 59.6% 6,031 R+19.3
Knox 1,845 30.6% 4,180 69.4% 6,025 R+38.8
Nelson 3,958 67.0% 1,949 33.0% 5,907 D+34.0
Breckinridge 2,542 43.7% 3,269 56.3% 5,811 R+12.5
Letcher 2,602 46.0% 3,052 54.0% 5,654 R+8.0
Logan 3,429 61.3% 2,168 38.7% 5,597 D+22.5
Hart 2,812 50.5% 2,755 49.5% 5,567 D+1.0
Laurel 1,940 35.1% 3,583 64.9% 5,523 R+29.7
Bourbon 3,314 60.3% 2,184 39.7% 5,498 D+20.6
Grayson 2,445 45.9% 2,885 54.1% 5,330 R+8.3
Greenup 2,604 48.9% 2,720 51.1% 5,324 R+2.2
Harrison 3,528 73.6% 1,265 26.4% 4,793 D+47.2
Johnson 1,628 34.7% 3,063 65.3% 4,691 R+30.6
Boyle 2,971 63.6% 1,702 36.4% 4,673 D+27.2
Mason 2,879 61.8% 1,778 38.2% 4,657 D+23.6
Shelby 3,172 68.2% 1,478 31.8% 4,650 D+36.4
Clark 2,818 61.1% 1,792 38.9% 4,610 D+22.3
Lincoln 2,510 55.1% 2,045 44.9% 4,555 D+10.2
Fleming 2,269 50.7% 2,208 49.3% 4,477 D+1.4
Marion 3,162 70.9% 1,295 29.1% 4,457 D+41.9
Lawrence 2,306 52.5% 2,083 47.5% 4,389 D+5.1
Clay 1,366 31.5% 2,977 68.5% 4,343 R+37.1
Magoffin 1,794 41.9% 2,492 58.1% 4,286 R+16.3
Estill 1,981 46.5% 2,281 53.5% 4,262 R+7.0
Calloway 3,523 83.0% 722 17.0% 4,245 D+66.0
Webster 2,207 52.7% 1,981 47.3% 4,188 D+5.4
Henry 2,836 68.6% 1,297 31.4% 4,133 D+37.2
Adair 1,908 46.3% 2,215 53.7% 4,123 R+7.4
Taylor 2,009 48.9% 2,099 51.1% 4,108 R+2.2
Wayne 1,852 45.3% 2,239 54.7% 4,091 R+9.5
Washington 2,199 54.5% 1,834 45.5% 4,033 D+9.1
Casey 1,547 38.4% 2,483 61.6% 4,030 R+23.2
Scott 2,569 63.9% 1,452 36.1% 4,021 D+27.8
Green 1,743 44.4% 2,187 55.6% 3,930 R+11.3
Mercer 2,421 61.8% 1,498 38.2% 3,919 D+23.6
Rockcastle 1,218 31.4% 2,658 68.6% 3,876 R+37.2
Breathitt 2,562 66.4% 1,297 33.6% 3,859 D+32.8
Fulton 2,927 77.8% 836 22.2% 3,763 D+55.6
Henderson 2,468 65.8% 1,282 34.2% 3,750 D+31.6
Morgan 2,476 66.8% 1,230 33.2% 3,706 D+33.6
Edmonson 1,742 47.2% 1,945 52.8% 3,687 R+5.5
Lewis 1,243 34.3% 2,382 65.7% 3,625 R+31.4
Russell 1,171 32.4% 2,439 67.6% 3,610 R+35.1
Allen 1,691 46.9% 1,916 53.1% 3,607 R+6.2
Woodford 2,032 58.7% 1,431 41.3% 3,463 D+17.4
Trigg 1,894 55.3% 1,528 44.7% 3,422 D+10.7
Garrard 1,599 46.8% 1,821 53.2% 3,420 R+6.5
Jessamine 2,058 61.5% 1,290 38.5% 3,348 D+22.9
Owen 2,648 81.2% 612 18.8% 3,260 D+62.5
Monroe 872 27.0% 2,356 73.0% 3,228 R+46.0
Butler 947 30.5% 2,154 69.5% 3,101 R+38.9
Grant 1,988 65.2% 1,062 34.8% 3,050 D+30.4
McCreary 771 25.3% 2,273 74.7% 3,044 R+49.3
Todd 1,959 65.7% 1,023 34.3% 2,982 D+31.4
Montgomery 1,795 60.3% 1,183 39.7% 2,978 D+20.6
Boone 1,993 67.4% 966 32.6% 2,959 D+34.7
Bath 1,876 63.8% 1,064 36.2% 2,940 D+27.6
Larue 1,762 60.4% 1,153 39.6% 2,915 D+20.9
Simpson 2,206 76.2% 690 23.8% 2,896 D+52.3
Caldwell 1,435 49.7% 1,451 50.3% 2,886 R+0.6
Nicholas 1,724 62.3% 1,042 37.7% 2,766 D+24.7
Rowan 1,430 51.9% 1,326 48.1% 2,756 D+3.8
Cumberland 750 27.2% 2,003 72.8% 2,753 R+45.5
Marshall 1,950 71.2% 787 28.8% 2,737 D+42.5
McLean 1,705 62.4% 1,029 37.6% 2,734 D+24.7
Bullitt 1,989 73.1% 732 26.9% 2,721 D+46.2
Carroll 2,053 76.4% 633 23.6% 2,686 D+52.9
Crittenden 1,138 42.9% 1,515 57.1% 2,653 R+14.2
Union 2,052 78.0% 579 22.0% 2,631 D+56.0
Clinton 587 22.5% 2,024 77.5% 2,611 R+55.0
Knott 1,902 73.6% 683 26.4% 2,585 D+47.2
Ballard 2,188 85.0% 387 15.0% 2,575 D+69.9
Anderson 1,671 65.0% 900 35.0% 2,571 D+30.0
Metcalfe 1,208 47.4% 1,343 52.6% 2,551 R+5.3
Jackson 316 12.4% 2,230 87.6% 2,546 R+75.2
Pendleton 1,508 59.3% 1,037 40.7% 2,545 D+18.5
Meade 1,608 65.2% 858 34.8% 2,466 D+30.4
Bracken 1,400 57.3% 1,044 42.7% 2,444 D+14.6
Hickman 1,938 80.0% 483 20.0% 2,421 D+60.1
Leslie 408 17.2% 1,968 82.8% 2,376 R+65.7
Lee 1,052 44.9% 1,289 55.1% 2,341 R+10.1
Wolfe 1,413 61.4% 887 38.6% 2,300 D+22.9
Oldham 1,368 68.6% 625 31.4% 1,993 D+37.3
Lyon 1,277 65.0% 687 35.0% 1,964 D+30.0
Carlisle 1,680 88.7% 214 11.3% 1,894 D+77.4
Livingston 1,146 60.7% 743 39.3% 1,889 D+21.3
Elliott 1,358 75.5% 441 24.5% 1,799 D+51.0
Owsley 234 14.3% 1,408 85.7% 1,642 R+71.5
Trimble 1,317 89.3% 157 10.7% 1,474 D+78.7
Powell 783 53.6% 678 46.4% 1,461 D+7.2
Spencer 1,047 72.6% 396 27.4% 1,443 D+45.1
Hancock 635 46.0% 744 54.0% 1,379 R+7.9
Martin 358 27.3% 954 72.7% 1,312 R+45.4
Menifee 794 63.5% 457 36.5% 1,251 D+26.9
Gallatin 923 75.3% 302 24.7% 1,225 D+50.7
Robertson 690 68.6% 316 31.4% 1,006 D+37.2

Counties as they stood in 1930; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2022 Rand Paul (R) R+23.6
2020 Mitch McConnell (R) R+19.5
2016 Rand Paul (R) R+14.5
2014 Mich McConnell (R) R+15.5
2010 Rand Paul (R) R+11.5
2008 Mitch McConnell (R) R+5.9
2004 Jim Bunning (R) R+1.3
2002 Mitch McConnell (R) R+29.4
1998 Jim Bunning (R) R+0.6
1996 Mitch McConnell (R) R+12.6
1992 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+27.1
1990 Mitch McConnell (R) R+4.4
1986 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+48.8
1984 Mitch McConnell (R) R+0.4
1980 Wendell H. Ford (D) D+30.3
1978 Walter D. Huddleston (D) D+24.1
1974 Wendell Ford (D) D+9.4
1972 Walter D. Huddleston (D) D+3.3
1968 Marlow W. Cook (R) R+3.7
1966 John Sherman Cooper (R) R+29.1
1962 Thruston B. Morton (R) R+5.5
1960 John Sherman Cooper (R) R+18.4
1956 Thruston B. Morton (R) R+0.7
1954 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+8.9
1950 Earle C. Clements (D) D+9.1
1948 Virgil Chapman (D) D+3.1
1944 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+9.9
1942 Happy Chandler (D) D+10.7
1938 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+24.1
1936 Marvel M. Logan (D) D+19.0
1932 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+18.6
1930 Marvel M. Logan (D) D+4.3
1926 Alben W. Barkley (D) D+3.7
1924 Frederic M. Sackett (R) R+3.1
1920 Richard P. Ernst (R) R+0.6
1918 Augustus Owsley Stanley (D) D+1.5
1914 John C.W. Beckham (D) D+9.4