United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

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2020 US Senate election in North Carolina

Thom Tillis (Republican) beat Cal Cunningham (Democrat) in North Carolina in 2020, 48.7% to 46.9%, a margin of 1.7 points and 95,633 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 2014, when Thom Tillis also won.

Republicans led in 76 of the 100 counties and Democrats in 24. The largest, Wake, cast 627,229 votes and went to the Democrat by 21.6 points. The closest was Martin, where 61 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Thom Tillis won Republican 2,665,598 48.7%
Cal Cunningham Democratic 2,569,965 46.9%
All other candidates 239,389 4.4%
Total5,474,952

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wake 367,718 58.6% 232,388 37.0% 27,123 627,229 D+21.6
Mecklenburg 350,775 62.3% 186,693 33.2% 25,204 562,672 D+29.2
Guilford 165,823 58.8% 104,908 37.2% 11,406 282,137 D+21.6
Forsyth 107,277 53.8% 83,228 41.7% 9,004 199,509 D+12.1
Durham 138,429 77.4% 34,152 19.1% 6,265 178,846 D+58.3
Buncombe 92,664 57.9% 60,688 37.9% 6,690 160,042 D+20.0
Cumberland 81,001 55.6% 57,121 39.2% 7,597 145,719 D+16.4
New Hanover 61,702 47.3% 61,415 47.1% 7,201 130,318 D+0.2
Union 45,096 34.7% 79,645 61.3% 5,103 129,844 R+26.6
Cabarrus 48,886 42.1% 61,231 52.7% 5,985 116,102 R+10.6
Gaston 39,595 34.7% 69,398 60.8% 5,208 114,201 R+26.1
Johnston 39,771 36.1% 64,822 58.8% 5,620 110,213 R+22.7
Iredell 31,893 31.5% 64,319 63.4% 5,174 101,386 R+32.0
Brunswick 32,180 36.1% 52,971 59.4% 4,051 89,202 R+23.3
Davidson 23,660 26.8% 60,686 68.8% 3,842 88,188 R+42.0
Pitt 45,598 52.5% 37,947 43.7% 3,356 86,901 D+8.8
Alamance 38,038 44.5% 44,246 51.7% 3,224 85,508 R+7.3
Orange 61,214 72.4% 20,862 24.7% 2,449 84,525 D+47.7
Catawba 24,845 30.0% 54,004 65.2% 4,034 82,883 R+35.2
Rowan 22,615 31.1% 46,446 63.8% 3,687 72,748 R+32.8
Randolph 15,973 22.0% 53,357 73.5% 3,240 72,570 R+51.5
Onslow 23,344 32.8% 42,868 60.2% 4,990 71,202 R+27.4
Henderson 25,782 38.0% 39,359 58.0% 2,732 67,873 R+20.0
Harnett 21,523 37.2% 33,321 57.6% 3,039 57,883 R+20.4
Moore 19,633 34.0% 35,682 61.7% 2,508 57,823 R+27.8
Wayne 23,528 42.8% 29,174 53.1% 2,242 54,944 R+10.3
Craven 20,416 38.9% 29,542 56.2% 2,563 52,521 R+17.4
Nash 25,474 49.1% 24,719 47.6% 1,702 51,895 D+1.5
Cleveland 16,752 33.0% 32,022 63.1% 2,003 50,777 R+30.1
Lincoln 12,858 25.8% 34,673 69.7% 2,245 49,776 R+43.8
Chatham 25,697 53.2% 21,039 43.5% 1,602 48,338 D+9.6
Rockingham 16,189 34.2% 28,971 61.2% 2,153 47,313 R+27.0
Robeson 19,135 41.6% 25,211 54.9% 1,603 45,949 R+13.2
Burke 13,108 29.7% 28,934 65.5% 2,128 44,170 R+35.8
Caldwell 10,288 24.3% 29,971 70.8% 2,098 42,357 R+46.5
Carteret 11,823 28.0% 28,492 67.5% 1,913 42,228 R+39.5
Wilson 20,445 50.6% 18,642 46.1% 1,324 40,411 D+4.5
Franklin 15,659 42.2% 19,654 52.9% 1,811 37,124 R+10.8
Surry 9,267 25.5% 25,475 70.2% 1,561 36,303 R+44.6
Haywood 13,113 36.1% 21,502 59.3% 1,668 36,283 R+23.1
Wilkes 8,074 23.0% 25,488 72.7% 1,511 35,073 R+49.7
Rutherford 9,136 26.8% 23,596 69.3% 1,335 34,067 R+42.4
Pender 11,272 33.4% 20,660 61.2% 1,827 33,759 R+27.8
Stanly 8,045 24.0% 23,891 71.2% 1,635 33,571 R+47.2
Watauga 16,193 50.8% 14,216 44.6% 1,469 31,878 D+6.2
Granville 14,368 45.8% 15,687 50.0% 1,304 31,359 R+4.2
Lee 11,851 41.3% 15,419 53.7% 1,444 28,714 R+12.4
Sampson 10,818 38.1% 16,521 58.3% 1,021 28,360 R+20.1
Lenoir 13,284 47.2% 13,898 49.4% 937 28,119 R+2.2
Columbus 9,599 36.8% 15,563 59.6% 940 26,102 R+22.8
Beaufort 9,439 36.2% 15,448 59.3% 1,159 26,046 R+23.1
Halifax 15,438 60.4% 9,446 36.9% 693 25,577 D+23.4
Stokes 5,611 22.0% 18,599 73.0% 1,270 25,480 R+51.0
Edgecombe 15,952 63.0% 8,582 33.9% 784 25,318 D+29.1
Davie 6,570 26.1% 17,415 69.2% 1,177 25,162 R+43.1
Dare 9,284 39.0% 13,581 57.0% 970 23,835 R+18.0
McDowell 5,934 26.1% 15,894 69.9% 919 22,747 R+43.8
Duplin 8,689 38.7% 12,954 57.7% 789 22,432 R+19.0
Person 8,475 39.3% 12,192 56.5% 915 21,582 R+17.2
Hoke 11,466 53.6% 8,638 40.4% 1,279 21,383 D+13.2
Jackson 9,382 44.2% 10,763 50.7% 1,094 21,239 R+6.5
Vance 12,247 58.8% 7,876 37.8% 692 20,815 D+21.0
Macon 6,248 30.5% 13,408 65.4% 861 20,517 R+34.9
Richmond 8,510 41.7% 11,002 53.9% 918 20,430 R+12.2
Transylvania 8,158 40.4% 11,209 55.5% 838 20,205 R+15.1
Alexander 4,287 21.4% 14,739 73.5% 1,018 20,044 R+52.1
Yadkin 4,036 20.4% 14,798 74.9% 934 19,768 R+54.4
Pasquotank 9,421 47.9% 9,491 48.3% 736 19,648 R+0.4
Bladen 7,280 43.1% 8,967 53.1% 634 16,881 R+10.0
Cherokee 3,589 22.0% 12,048 74.0% 649 16,286 R+51.9
Currituck 3,849 24.1% 11,368 71.3% 729 15,946 R+47.2
Ashe 4,279 27.4% 10,619 67.9% 738 15,636 R+40.5
Scotland 6,850 47.4% 7,066 48.9% 545 14,461 R+1.5
Madison 4,987 38.5% 7,399 57.2% 557 12,943 R+18.6
Montgomery 4,379 34.5% 7,741 61.0% 580 12,700 R+26.5
Martin 5,973 48.1% 6,034 48.6% 417 12,424 R+0.5
Polk 4,436 36.2% 7,394 60.3% 422 12,252 R+24.1
Caswell 4,916 41.1% 6,643 55.5% 402 11,961 R+14.4
Yancey 3,833 34.0% 7,038 62.4% 409 11,280 R+28.4
Anson 5,756 51.8% 4,981 44.8% 371 11,108 D+7.0
Hertford 6,815 65.6% 3,305 31.8% 272 10,392 D+33.8
Warren 6,437 62.7% 3,520 34.3% 306 10,263 D+28.4
Northampton 6,005 60.0% 3,720 37.2% 286 10,011 D+22.8
Bertie 5,825 60.1% 3,597 37.1% 272 9,694 D+23.0
Avery 2,079 22.3% 6,865 73.7% 377 9,321 R+51.3
Mitchell 1,919 21.5% 6,735 75.3% 288 8,942 R+53.9
Greene 3,842 44.2% 4,591 52.8% 266 8,699 R+8.6
Chowan 3,124 40.6% 4,353 56.6% 212 7,689 R+16.0
Pamlico 2,681 35.4% 4,589 60.5% 311 7,581 R+25.2
Perquimans 2,382 32.1% 4,817 64.9% 227 7,426 R+32.8
Swain 2,696 38.7% 3,846 55.2% 429 6,971 R+16.5
Clay 1,676 24.6% 4,897 71.9% 238 6,811 R+47.3
Washington 3,329 54.2% 2,584 42.1% 232 6,145 D+12.1
Alleghany 1,587 26.4% 4,082 68.0% 338 6,007 R+41.5
Gates 2,474 42.0% 3,205 54.5% 206 5,885 R+12.4
Camden 1,403 24.0% 4,181 71.6% 254 5,838 R+47.6
Jones 2,124 38.9% 3,046 55.8% 284 5,454 R+16.9
Graham 1,013 22.3% 3,355 73.8% 181 4,549 R+51.5
Hyde 1,075 43.5% 1,315 53.3% 79 2,469 R+9.7
Tyrrell 778 43.6% 945 53.0% 61 1,784 R+9.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

North Carolina Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2022 Ted Budd (R) R+3.2
2020 Thom Tillis (R) R+1.7
2016 Richard Burr (R) R+5.7
2014 Thom Tillis (R) R+1.6
2010 Richard Burr (R) R+11.8
2008 Kay Hagan (D) D+8.5
2004 Richard Burr (R) R+4.6
2002 Elizabeth H. Dole (R) R+8.6
1998 John Edwards (D) D+4.1
1996 Jesse Helms (R) R+6.7
1992 Lauch Faircloth (R) R+4.0
1990 Jesse Helms (R) R+5.1
1986 Terry Sanford (D) D+3.5
1984 Jesse Helms (R) R+3.9
1980 John P. East (R) R+0.6
1978 Jesse Helms (R) R+9.0
1974 Robert B. Morgan (D) D+24.0
1972 Jesse Helms (R) R+8.0
1968 Sam J. Ervin (D) D+21.1
1966 B. Everett Jordan (D) D+11.2
1962 Sam J. Ervin (D) D+20.9
1960 B. Everett Jordan (D) D+22.9
1956 Sam J. Ervin (D) D+33.1
1954 W. Kerr Scott (D) D+31.8
1950 Clyde R. Hoey (D) D+37.3
1948 J. Melville Broughton (D) D+42.2
1944 Clyde R. Hoey (D) D+40.5
1942 Josiah W. Bailey (D) D+31.8
1938 Robert R. Reynolds (D) D+27.6
1936 Josiah W. Bailey (D) D+41.5
1932 Robert R. Reynolds (D) D+37.2
1930 Josiah W. Bailey (D) D+21.2
1926 Lee S. Overman (D) D+21.0
1924 Furnifold Simmons (D) D+23.1
1920 Lee S. Overman (D) D+15.0
1918 Furnifold Simmons (D) D+21.0
1914 Lee S. Overman (D) D+16.4