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United States · Election results history · 2020 Senate · Virginia
Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 US Senate election in Virginia

Mark Robert Warner (Democrat) beat Daniel Mac Arthur Gade (Republican) in Virginia in 2020, 56.0% to 43.9%, a margin of 12.1 points and 532,301 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 2014, when Mark R. Warner also won.

Republicans led in 84 of the 133 counties and Democrats in 49. The largest, Fairfax, cast 595,270 votes and went to the Democrat by 39.9 points. The closest was Waynesboro city, where 49 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Mark Robert Warner won Democratic 2,466,500 56.0%
Daniel Mac Arthur Gade Republican 1,934,199 43.9%
All other candidates 5,415 0.1%
Total4,406,114

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 415,791 69.8% 178,395 30.0% 1,084 595,270 D+39.9
Prince William 144,162 64.2% 80,070 35.7% 258 224,490 D+28.6
Virginia Beach city 120,753 53.9% 103,037 46.0% 320 224,110 D+7.9
Loudoun 137,814 61.8% 84,991 38.1% 239 223,044 D+23.7
Chesterfield 107,568 53.7% 92,658 46.2% 238 200,464 D+7.4
Henrico 117,199 65.1% 62,686 34.8% 211 180,096 D+30.3
Arlington 102,880 79.4% 26,590 20.5% 164 129,634 D+58.9
Chesapeake city 68,129 53.9% 58,154 46.0% 153 126,436 D+7.9
Richmond city 91,222 83.3% 18,205 16.6% 126 109,553 D+66.6
Norfolk city 66,152 74.0% 23,084 25.8% 160 89,396 D+48.2
Alexandria city 65,071 79.4% 16,802 20.5% 110 81,983 D+58.9
Newport News city 53,265 67.6% 25,428 32.3% 137 78,830 D+35.3
Stafford 40,566 52.0% 37,389 47.9% 101 78,056 D+4.1
Spotsylvania 35,485 47.5% 39,120 52.4% 98 74,703 R+4.9
Hanover 25,864 37.0% 43,893 62.8% 86 69,843 R+25.8
Hampton city 46,627 72.3% 17,777 27.6% 107 64,511 D+44.7
Albemarle 42,730 67.3% 20,700 32.6% 55 63,485 D+34.7
Roanoke 24,043 42.4% 32,642 57.5% 53 56,738 R+15.2
James City 25,685 52.1% 23,600 47.8% 44 49,329 D+4.2
Suffolk city 29,275 59.4% 19,955 40.5% 45 49,275 D+18.9
Bedford 13,872 28.7% 34,407 71.2% 39 48,318 R+42.5
Frederick 17,962 37.5% 29,940 62.4% 51 47,953 R+25.0
Montgomery 24,589 55.1% 19,992 44.8% 52 44,633 D+10.3
Portsmouth city 31,520 72.0% 12,241 27.9% 42 43,803 D+44.0
Rockingham 13,739 31.6% 29,700 68.3% 33 43,472 R+36.7
Roanoke city 28,345 66.1% 14,499 33.8% 50 42,894 D+32.3
Fauquier 17,468 41.1% 24,937 58.7% 52 42,457 R+17.6
Augusta 12,224 29.1% 29,794 70.9% 26 42,044 R+41.8
York 18,025 46.7% 20,524 53.2% 21 38,570 R+6.5
Lynchburg city 18,587 51.8% 17,208 48.0% 53 35,848 D+3.8
Pittsylvania 11,509 34.3% 21,993 65.6% 24 33,526 R+31.3
Campbell 9,278 31.3% 20,337 68.6% 34 29,649 R+37.3
Franklin 9,907 33.7% 19,505 66.3% 27 29,439 R+32.6
Washington 7,744 27.2% 20,656 72.7% 29 28,429 R+45.4
Culpeper 11,123 41.6% 15,590 58.3% 16 26,729 R+16.7
Henry 10,616 41.3% 15,051 58.6% 27 25,694 R+17.3
Charlottesville city 20,672 85.8% 3,409 14.1% 25 24,106 D+71.6
Shenandoah 7,313 31.1% 16,223 68.9% 12 23,548 R+37.8
Isle of Wight 9,821 42.0% 13,546 57.9% 23 23,390 R+15.9
Gloucester 7,521 34.0% 14,605 66.0% 18 22,144 R+32.0
Louisa 8,700 40.0% 13,039 59.9% 21 21,760 R+19.9
Warren 7,075 33.7% 13,874 66.1% 26 20,975 R+32.4
Botetourt 6,512 31.4% 14,190 68.5% 20 20,722 R+37.1
Orange 8,392 40.8% 12,170 59.1% 23 20,585 R+18.4
Powhatan 5,660 28.8% 13,972 71.1% 8 19,640 R+42.3
Tazewell 4,504 23.0% 15,033 76.8% 30 19,567 R+53.8
Danville city 12,519 65.1% 6,680 34.7% 25 19,224 D+30.4
Halifax 8,258 45.7% 9,824 54.3% 6 18,088 R+8.7
Pulaski 5,941 34.6% 11,203 65.3% 18 17,162 R+30.7
Prince George 7,199 42.2% 9,842 57.7% 14 17,055 R+15.5
Amherst 6,273 37.1% 10,624 62.9% 6 16,903 R+25.7
Accomack 7,939 47.2% 8,863 52.7% 9 16,811 R+5.5
Manassas city 10,547 62.8% 6,227 37.1% 19 16,793 D+25.7
Harrisonburg city 11,116 66.3% 5,634 33.6% 25 16,775 D+32.7
Goochland 6,730 40.3% 9,972 59.6% 17 16,719 R+19.4
Wise 4,128 25.4% 12,096 74.5% 21 16,245 R+49.0
Caroline 8,124 50.2% 8,036 49.7% 14 16,174 D+0.5
Mecklenburg 7,004 44.1% 8,871 55.8% 13 15,888 R+11.8
Fluvanna 7,830 49.8% 7,880 50.1% 10 15,720 R+0.3
Carroll 3,591 23.6% 11,610 76.3% 18 15,219 R+52.7
Dinwiddie 6,445 43.3% 8,414 56.6% 13 14,872 R+13.2
Wythe 4,043 27.2% 10,787 72.7% 13 14,843 R+45.4
New Kent 4,764 33.5% 9,449 66.4% 16 14,229 R+32.9
King George 5,758 40.7% 8,384 59.2% 19 14,161 R+18.5
Smyth 3,973 28.4% 10,013 71.5% 15 14,001 R+43.1
Petersburg city 12,413 89.1% 1,505 10.8% 16 13,934 D+78.3
Fairfax city 9,179 68.9% 4,134 31.0% 14 13,327 D+37.9
Russell 3,288 24.8% 9,962 75.1% 13 13,263 R+50.3
Salem city 5,697 44.0% 7,235 55.9% 11 12,943 R+11.9
Staunton city 7,289 56.7% 5,546 43.2% 15 12,850 D+13.6
Fredericksburg city 8,495 67.4% 4,080 32.4% 21 12,596 D+35.1
Page 3,420 27.6% 8,968 72.3% 15 12,403 R+44.7
Rockbridge 4,631 37.7% 7,637 62.2% 6 12,274 R+24.5
Winchester city 6,898 57.5% 5,076 42.3% 19 11,993 D+15.2
Greene 4,529 40.4% 6,661 59.5% 7 11,197 R+19.0
Scott 2,191 20.4% 8,543 79.5% 17 10,751 R+59.1
Waynesboro city 5,275 49.7% 5,324 50.2% 12 10,611 R+0.5
King William 3,447 32.7% 7,079 67.2% 10 10,536 R+34.5
Lee 2,240 22.7% 7,600 77.1% 11 9,851 R+54.4
Westmoreland 4,821 49.0% 5,009 50.9% 9 9,839 R+1.9
Buchanan 2,522 25.9% 7,202 74.0% 12 9,736 R+48.1
Southampton 4,123 42.9% 5,492 57.1% 9,615 R+14.2
Hopewell city 5,695 59.6% 3,847 40.2% 21 9,563 D+19.3
Prince Edward 5,195 54.6% 4,291 45.1% 20 9,506 D+9.5
Floyd 3,407 36.5% 5,908 63.3% 14 9,329 R+26.8
Clarke 4,052 43.7% 5,214 56.2% 8 9,274 R+12.5
Nelson 4,673 50.7% 4,526 49.1% 11 9,210 D+1.6
Patrick 2,310 25.1% 6,875 74.7% 13 9,198 R+49.6
Appomattox 2,741 30.2% 6,306 69.6% 18 9,065 R+39.3
Giles 2,713 30.1% 6,306 69.9% 6 9,025 R+39.8
Colonial Heights city 3,143 35.1% 5,788 64.7% 14 8,945 R+29.6
Falls Church city 7,016 79.9% 1,750 19.9% 10 8,776 D+60.0
Madison 2,925 36.2% 5,156 63.7% 7 8,088 R+27.6
Buckingham 3,656 45.4% 4,392 54.5% 4 8,052 R+9.1
Alleghany 2,822 35.3% 5,159 64.5% 14 7,995 R+29.2
Grayson 1,946 24.6% 5,972 75.4% 7 7,925 R+50.8
Brunswick 4,727 59.7% 3,192 40.3% 2 7,921 D+19.4
Amelia 2,559 32.7% 5,266 67.2% 8 7,833 R+34.6
Poquoson city 2,212 28.3% 5,594 71.6% 7 7,813 R+43.3
Northumberland 3,386 44.0% 4,306 56.0% 4 7,696 R+12.0
Bristol city 2,787 36.2% 4,892 63.6% 14 7,693 R+27.4
Dickenson 2,052 28.5% 5,142 71.4% 9 7,203 R+42.9
Lancaster 3,457 48.6% 3,648 51.3% 6 7,111 R+2.7
Nottoway 3,136 44.7% 3,869 55.2% 8 7,013 R+10.5
Williamsburg city 4,811 70.3% 2,020 29.5% 11 6,842 D+40.8
Middlesex 2,658 39.4% 4,080 60.5% 2 6,740 R+21.1
Northampton 3,889 58.2% 2,795 41.8% 3 6,687 D+16.4
Radford city 3,551 56.8% 2,690 43.0% 9 6,250 D+13.8
Charlotte 2,522 41.0% 3,633 59.0% 3 6,158 R+18.0
Essex 3,194 52.2% 2,917 47.7% 2 6,113 D+4.5
Manassas Park city 4,084 67.9% 1,929 32.1% 5 6,018 D+35.8
Lunenburg 2,531 42.9% 3,362 57.0% 5 5,898 R+14.1
Martinsville city 3,957 67.7% 1,881 32.2% 11 5,849 D+35.5
Mathews 1,943 33.5% 3,856 66.4% 7 5,806 R+32.9
Cumberland 2,317 44.0% 2,947 56.0% 3 5,267 R+12.0
Sussex 2,924 57.6% 2,146 42.3% 5 5,075 D+15.3
Rappahannock 2,219 44.8% 2,734 55.2% 4 4,957 R+10.4
Greensville 2,716 59.8% 1,822 40.1% 4 4,542 D+19.7
Charles City 2,700 61.3% 1,704 38.7% 1 4,405 D+22.6
Surry 2,439 55.4% 1,958 44.5% 3 4,400 D+10.9
King and Queen 1,705 41.7% 2,372 58.1% 8 4,085 R+16.3
Richmond 1,687 41.8% 2,347 58.1% 3 4,037 R+16.3
Franklin city 2,549 64.3% 1,410 35.6% 3 3,962 D+28.7
Bland 732 21.6% 2,651 78.3% 3 3,386 R+56.7
Craig 757 24.1% 2,381 75.8% 5 3,143 R+51.7
Lexington city 1,853 67.4% 895 32.5% 3 2,751 D+34.8
Buena Vista city 1,020 37.1% 1,724 62.8% 3 2,747 R+25.6
Galax city 919 35.4% 1,679 64.6% 1 2,599 R+29.2
Covington city 1,157 45.5% 1,386 54.5% 2 2,545 R+9.0
Bath 744 30.6% 1,688 69.4% 2 2,434 R+38.8
Emporia city 1,618 69.4% 712 30.5% 3 2,333 D+38.8
Norton city 591 37.3% 988 62.4% 5 1,584 R+25.1
Highland 504 33.0% 1,020 66.9% 1 1,525 R+33.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+8.9
2020 Mark Robert Warner (D) D+12.1
2018 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+16.0
2014 Mark R. Warner (D) D+0.8
2012 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+5.9
2008 Mark Warner (D) D+31.3
2006 Jim Webb (D) D+0.4
2002 John Warner (R) R+82.6
2000 George F. Allen (R) R+4.6
1996 John W. Warner (R) R+5.1
1994 Chuck Robb (D) D+2.7
1990 John Warner (R) R+80.9
1988 Charles S. Robb (D) D+42.6
1984 John Warner (R) R+40.1
1982 Paul Trible (R) R+2.4
1978 John William Warner (R) R+0.4
1976 Harry F. Byrd Jr. (other)
1972 William Lloyd Scott (R) R+5.3
1970 Harry F. Byrd Jr. (other)
1966 William B. Spong Jr. (D) D+25.1
1964 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+44.8
1960 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+81.3
1958 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+69.3
1954 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+79.9
1952 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+73.4
1948 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+34.8
1946 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+34.4
1942 Carter Glass (D) D+91.1
1940 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+93.3
1936 Carter Glass (D) D+86.9
1934 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+55.0
1930 Carter Glass (D) D+76.7
1928 Claude Swanson (D) D+99.8
1924 Carter Glass (D) D+48.9
1922 Claude Swanson (D) D+45.4
1918 Thomas S. Martin (D) D+99.7
1916 Claude Swanson (D) D+99.9