United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1978 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1978 US Senate election in Virginia

John William Warner (Republican) beat Andrew P. Miller (Democrat) in Virginia in 1978, 50.2% to 49.8%, a margin of 0.4 points and 4,721 votes.

The Republican hold continued from 1972, when William Lloyd Scott won.

Democrats led in 78 of the 136 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 58. The largest, Fairfax, cast 134,532 votes and went to the Democrat by 1.1 points. The closest was Lunenburg, where 1 vote separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Senate

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John William Warner won Republican 613,232 50.2%
Andrew P. Miller Democratic 608,511 49.8%
All other candidates 513 0.0%
Total1,222,256

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Fairfax 67,956 50.5% 66,539 49.5% 37 134,532 D+1.1
Richmond 31,503 53.1% 27,743 46.8% 89 59,335 D+6.3
Henrico 18,056 33.5% 35,748 66.4% 28 53,832 R+32.9
Norfolk 28,984 57.4% 21,527 42.6% 7 50,518 D+14.8
Virginia Beach 21,063 43.1% 27,836 56.9% 9 48,908 R+13.8
Arlington 23,772 55.6% 18,938 44.3% 16 42,726 D+11.3
Newport News 18,052 54.0% 15,402 46.0% 4 33,458 D+7.9
Chesterfield 10,206 30.8% 22,934 69.2% 21 33,161 R+38.4
Hampton 14,238 54.9% 11,697 45.1% 5 25,940 D+9.8
Portsmouth 15,965 61.6% 9,958 38.4% 6 25,929 D+23.2
Roanoke 12,978 53.6% 11,194 46.2% 40 24,212 D+7.4
Chesapeake 13,445 55.7% 10,698 44.3% 4 24,147 D+11.4
Alexandria 12,863 58.5% 9,105 41.4% 8 21,976 D+17.1
Prince William 9,658 49.8% 9,727 50.2% 4 19,389 R+0.4
Roanoke 8,455 43.9% 10,784 56.0% 29 19,268 R+12.1
Lynchburg 6,596 37.6% 10,919 62.3% 24 17,539 R+24.6
Hanover 4,876 33.9% 9,485 66.0% 3 14,364 R+32.1
Rockingham 5,963 46.8% 6,778 53.2% 7 12,748 R+6.4
Pittsylvania 5,732 45.5% 6,868 54.5% 1 12,601 R+9.0
Suffolk 7,319 58.8% 5,118 41.1% 4 12,441 D+17.7
Danville 4,564 37.0% 7,764 63.0% 1 12,329 R+26.0
Albemarle 6,190 51.1% 5,903 48.8% 10 12,103 D+2.4
Loudoun 5,592 46.7% 6,383 53.3% 10 11,985 R+6.6
Montgomery 5,632 49.0% 5,854 50.9% 14 11,500 R+1.9
Augusta 4,742 41.7% 6,619 58.2% 3 11,364 R+16.5
Henry 6,056 58.8% 4,246 41.2% 2 10,304 D+17.6
Washington 5,344 52.5% 4,827 47.5% 10,171 D+5.1
Charlottesville 5,915 59.5% 4,021 40.4% 10 9,946 D+19.0
Petersburg 5,438 57.6% 3,998 42.3% 5 9,441 D+15.3
Campbell 3,482 37.0% 5,908 62.9% 10 9,400 R+25.8
Tazewell 4,728 53.3% 4,148 46.7% 8,876 D+6.5
Buchanan 4,792 56.3% 3,720 43.7% 8,512 D+12.6
York 4,124 49.1% 4,271 50.9% 3 8,398 R+1.8
Smyth 4,153 49.5% 4,237 50.5% 8,390 R+1.0
Wise 4,789 57.9% 3,482 42.1% 8,271 D+15.8
Shenandoah 3,158 40.4% 4,649 59.5% 1 7,808 R+19.1
Franklin 4,592 59.5% 3,127 40.5% 1 7,720 D+19.0
Pulaski 3,825 50.1% 3,804 49.8% 5 7,634 D+0.3
Bedford 3,650 49.0% 3,792 50.9% 6 7,448 R+1.9
Stafford 3,644 49.9% 3,664 50.1% 1 7,309 R+0.3
Accomack 3,454 47.6% 3,800 52.4% 7,254 R+4.8
Russell 4,022 56.0% 3,157 44.0% 7,179 D+12.0
Halifax 3,699 54.5% 3,086 45.5% 1 6,786 D+9.0
Fauquier 3,168 47.1% 3,549 52.8% 3 6,720 R+5.7
Frederick 3,008 45.9% 3,540 54.1% 6,548 R+8.1
Carroll 2,673 41.4% 3,783 58.6% 6,456 R+17.2
Mecklenburg 3,100 48.5% 3,292 51.5% 2 6,394 R+3.0
Scott 2,972 46.8% 3,382 53.2% 6,354 R+6.5
Salem 2,896 45.8% 3,418 54.0% 13 6,327 R+8.3
Wythe 3,021 47.8% 3,293 52.2% 6,314 R+4.3
Staunton 2,552 41.3% 3,632 58.7% 6,184 R+17.5
Hopewell 2,663 43.6% 3,439 56.4% 6,102 R+12.7
Amherst 2,786 46.5% 3,207 53.5% 3 5,996 R+7.0
Lee 2,953 49.6% 3,002 50.4% 5,955 R+0.8
Botetourt 2,826 49.6% 2,871 50.4% 4 5,701 R+0.8
Dickenson 2,909 51.5% 2,740 48.5% 1 5,650 D+3.0
Spotsylvania 3,086 55.4% 2,484 44.6% 5,570 D+10.8
Isle Of Wight 3,407 62.8% 2,017 37.2% 5,424 D+25.6
Colonial Hts. 1,766 33.2% 3,558 66.8% 3 5,327 R+33.6
Gloucester 2,755 52.3% 2,510 47.7% 2 5,267 D+4.7
Culpeper 2,560 51.7% 2,387 48.2% 2 4,949 D+3.5
Fairfax 2,446 49.6% 2,482 50.4% 4,928 R+0.7
Martinsville 2,560 52.1% 2,353 47.9% 4,913 D+4.2
James City 2,519 51.6% 2,363 48.4% 4 4,886 D+3.2
Winchester 2,185 45.5% 2,616 54.5% 2 4,803 R+9.0
Dinwiddie 2,634 54.9% 2,155 45.0% 5 4,794 D+10.0
Giles 2,557 54.1% 2,169 45.9% 4,726 D+8.2
Page 2,294 50.0% 2,292 50.0% 4,586 level
Warren 2,440 53.4% 2,128 46.6% 1 4,569 D+6.8
Southampton 2,738 60.4% 1,794 39.6% 4,532 D+20.8
Bristol 2,372 53.9% 2,030 46.1% 2 4,404 D+7.8
Waynesboro 1,778 40.8% 2,578 59.2% 4,356 R+18.4
Grayson 2,141 50.3% 2,116 49.7% 4,257 D+0.6
Rockbridge 2,174 51.7% 2,029 48.2% 5 4,208 D+3.4
Prince Edward 2,062 50.3% 2,037 49.7% 4,099 D+0.6
Nottoway 1,929 47.3% 2,150 52.7% 1 4,080 R+5.4
Brunswick 2,267 56.2% 1,770 43.8% 4,037 D+12.3
Orange 1,911 48.4% 2,034 51.6% 3,945 R+3.1
Harrisonburg 1,729 44.0% 2,195 55.9% 4 3,928 R+11.9
Louisa 2,142 55.3% 1,727 44.6% 3 3,872 D+10.7
Fredericksburg 2,029 55.2% 1,647 44.8% 3,676 D+10.4
Prince George 1,732 47.8% 1,894 52.2% 3,626 R+4.5
Westmoreland 2,020 56.4% 1,559 43.6% 3,579 D+12.9
Goochland 1,957 54.8% 1,616 45.2% 3,573 D+9.5
Northampton 1,923 53.9% 1,642 46.1% 3,565 D+7.9
Lancaster 1,585 45.6% 1,891 54.4% 3,476 R+8.8
Caroline 2,148 62.1% 1,312 37.9% 3,460 D+24.2
Charlotte 1,907 55.3% 1,541 44.7% 2 3,450 D+10.6
Sussex 2,083 62.0% 1,275 38.0% 3,358 D+24.1
Falls Church 1,745 53.0% 1,547 47.0% 1 3,293 D+6.0
Alleghany 2,063 63.5% 1,183 36.4% 2 3,248 D+27.1
Lunenburg 1,616 50.0% 1,615 50.0% 3,231 level
Patrick 1,691 52.5% 1,530 47.5% 3,221 D+5.0
Radford 1,726 53.8% 1,482 46.2% 3,208 D+7.6
Northumberland 1,464 46.2% 1,702 53.8% 3,166 R+7.5
Appomattox 1,695 55.6% 1,355 44.4% 3,050 D+11.1
Buckingham 1,873 62.0% 1,150 38.0% 3,023 D+23.9
Nelson 1,761 61.9% 1,081 38.0% 1 2,843 D+23.9
King William 1,248 45.6% 1,490 54.4% 1 2,739 R+8.8
Middlesex 1,227 45.1% 1,495 54.9% 2,722 R+9.8
Powhatan 1,094 40.3% 1,624 59.7% 2,718 R+19.5
Greensville 1,713 64.4% 945 35.6% 2,658 D+28.9
Floyd 1,136 43.8% 1,459 56.2% 2,595 R+12.4
Madison 1,318 50.9% 1,271 49.1% 1 2,590 D+1.8
Mathews 1,317 51.2% 1,256 48.8% 1 2,574 D+2.4
Amelia 1,216 48.8% 1,276 51.2% 2,492 R+2.4
Manassas 1,140 46.2% 1,325 53.8% 2,465 R+7.5
Essex 1,171 48.6% 1,236 51.4% 2,407 R+2.7
Covington 1,559 65.5% 822 34.5% 2,381 D+31.0
Clarke 1,085 47.7% 1,189 52.3% 1 2,275 R+4.6
King George 1,151 51.7% 1,073 48.2% 1 2,225 D+3.5
Fluvanna 1,155 53.8% 992 46.2% 1 2,148 D+7.6
Poquoson 880 41.2% 1,255 58.8% 2,135 R+17.6
Cumberland 1,158 54.8% 956 45.2% 2,114 D+9.6
Williamsburg 1,168 55.4% 940 44.6% 2,108 D+10.8
South Boston 938 44.7% 1,160 55.3% 2,098 R+10.6
Surry 1,340 65.0% 723 35.0% 2,063 D+29.9
New Kent 920 45.5% 1,100 54.4% 1 2,021 R+8.9
Richmond 935 48.2% 1,004 51.8% 1,939 R+3.6
Bedford 1,020 54.3% 859 45.7% 1,879 D+8.6
Galax 907 50.1% 904 49.9% 1,811 D+0.2
Lexington 890 51.7% 831 48.3% 1,721 D+3.4
Bland 831 49.3% 854 50.7% 1,685 R+1.4
Franklin 960 58.1% 691 41.9% 1,651 D+16.3
Rappahannock 904 57.0% 679 42.8% 2 1,585 D+14.2
Emporia 739 47.6% 815 52.4% 1,554 R+4.9
Greene 687 44.8% 845 55.1% 2 1,534 R+10.3
Buena Vista 773 52.1% 709 47.8% 1 1,483 D+4.3
King And Queen 858 59.4% 586 40.6% 1,444 D+18.8
Clifton Forge 966 67.5% 465 32.5% 1,431 D+35.0
Charles City 964 71.4% 386 28.6% 1,350 D+42.8
Bath 725 54.1% 612 45.7% 3 1,340 D+8.4
Craig 693 56.8% 525 43.1% 1 1,219 D+13.8
Highland 445 46.6% 508 53.2% 2 955 R+6.6
Norton 552 59.4% 377 40.6% 929 D+18.8
Manassas Park 466 54.2% 393 45.8% 859 D+8.5

Counties as they stood in 1978; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Virginia Senate elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+8.9
2020 Mark Robert Warner (D) D+12.1
2018 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+16.0
2014 Mark R. Warner (D) D+0.8
2012 Timothy M. Kaine (D) D+5.9
2008 Mark Warner (D) D+31.3
2006 Jim Webb (D) D+0.4
2002 John Warner (R) R+82.6
2000 George F. Allen (R) R+4.6
1996 John W. Warner (R) R+5.1
1994 Chuck Robb (D) D+2.7
1990 John Warner (R) R+80.9
1988 Charles S. Robb (D) D+42.6
1984 John Warner (R) R+40.1
1982 Paul Trible (R) R+2.4
1978 John William Warner (R) R+0.4
1976 Harry F. Byrd Jr. (other)
1972 William Lloyd Scott (R) R+5.3
1970 Harry F. Byrd Jr. (other)
1966 William B. Spong Jr. (D) D+25.1
1964 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+44.8
1960 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+81.3
1958 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+69.3
1954 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+79.9
1952 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+73.4
1948 A. Willis Robertson (D) D+34.8
1946 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+34.4
1942 Carter Glass (D) D+91.1
1940 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+93.3
1936 Carter Glass (D) D+86.9
1934 Harry F. Byrd Sr. (D) D+55.0
1930 Carter Glass (D) D+76.7
1928 Claude Swanson (D) D+99.8
1924 Carter Glass (D) D+48.9
1922 Claude Swanson (D) D+45.4
1918 Thomas S. Martin (D) D+99.7
1916 Claude Swanson (D) D+99.9