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United States · Election results history · 2020 president · Kentucky
Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Kentucky

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Joe Biden (Democrat) in Kentucky in 2020, 62.1% to 36.2%, a margin of 25.9 points and 554,172 votes.

Kentucky voted 30.4 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2016, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 118 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 2. The largest, Jefferson, cast 386,196 votes and went to the Democrat by 20.1 points. The closest was Franklin, where 248 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,326,646 62.1%
Joe Biden Democratic 772,474 36.2%
All other candidates 37,648 1.8%
Total2,136,768

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 228,358 59.1% 150,646 39.0% 7,192 386,196 D+20.1
Fayette 90,600 59.3% 58,865 38.5% 3,254 152,719 D+20.8
Kenton 32,267 39.3% 48,123 58.6% 1,721 82,111 R+19.3
Boone 20,899 31.2% 44,810 66.9% 1,245 66,954 R+35.7
Warren 22,476 40.6% 31,788 57.4% 1,084 55,348 R+16.8
Daviess 17,282 35.1% 31,018 63.0% 934 49,234 R+27.9
Hardin 18,096 37.0% 29,828 61.0% 1,007 48,931 R+24.0
Campbell 19,377 39.7% 28,486 58.3% 978 48,841 R+18.7
Madison 15,578 35.5% 27,352 62.3% 973 43,903 R+26.8
Bullitt 10,551 25.1% 30,702 73.2% 706 41,959 R+48.0
Oldham 14,502 38.2% 22,650 59.7% 781 37,933 R+21.5
McCracken 11,194 33.4% 21,820 65.1% 511 33,525 R+31.7
Pulaski 5,665 18.0% 25,437 80.7% 432 31,534 R+62.7
Scott 10,567 36.5% 17,765 61.4% 622 28,954 R+24.9
Laurel 4,473 15.9% 23,226 82.7% 388 28,087 R+66.8
Jessamine 8,561 32.6% 17,084 65.1% 588 26,233 R+32.5
Franklin 12,652 48.5% 12,900 49.5% 509 26,061 R+1.0
Pike 4,866 19.2% 20,283 79.9% 227 25,376 R+60.8
Christian 8,293 34.8% 15,075 63.2% 487 23,855 R+28.4
Shelby 8,078 34.3% 15,056 63.9% 413 23,547 R+29.6
Nelson 7,188 30.9% 15,705 67.6% 353 23,246 R+36.6
Boyd 7,083 32.6% 14,295 65.8% 362 21,740 R+33.2
Hopkins 5,438 25.3% 15,754 73.3% 313 21,505 R+48.0
Henderson 7,639 36.9% 12,729 61.5% 319 20,687 R+24.6
Barren 5,127 25.6% 14,654 73.1% 274 20,055 R+47.5
Greenup 4,872 26.8% 13,062 71.9% 238 18,172 R+45.1
Clark 6,005 33.1% 11,810 65.1% 313 18,128 R+32.0
Marshall 4,071 23.1% 13,296 75.5% 232 17,599 R+52.4
Calloway 5,797 33.2% 11,353 65.1% 298 17,448 R+31.8
Graves 3,560 20.9% 13,204 77.6% 252 17,016 R+56.7
Floyd 3,883 23.8% 12,248 74.9% 217 16,348 R+51.2
Whitley 2,552 16.6% 12,567 81.9% 228 15,347 R+65.3
Woodford 6,529 42.9% 8,364 55.0% 318 15,211 R+12.1
Boyle 5,297 36.6% 8,870 61.3% 297 14,464 R+24.7
Muhlenberg 3,545 24.9% 10,496 73.8% 189 14,230 R+48.8
Meade 3,631 25.7% 10,183 72.2% 294 14,108 R+46.4
Knox 2,114 15.9% 11,012 83.0% 147 13,273 R+67.0
Anderson 3,348 25.3% 9,658 72.9% 238 13,244 R+47.6
Montgomery 3,630 28.3% 8,993 70.1% 214 12,837 R+41.8
Taylor 2,962 23.7% 9,374 74.9% 173 12,509 R+51.3
Logan 3,095 25.1% 9,068 73.4% 185 12,348 R+48.4
Grayson 2,403 20.0% 9,457 78.9% 130 11,990 R+58.8
Mercer 3,034 25.8% 8,507 72.5% 196 11,737 R+46.6
Carter 2,642 22.8% 8,773 75.7% 167 11,582 R+52.9
Spencer 2,530 22.1% 8,738 76.4% 162 11,430 R+54.3
Ohio 2,405 21.6% 8,584 77.1% 142 11,131 R+55.5
Grant 2,206 19.9% 8,726 78.6% 175 11,107 R+58.7
Harlan 1,494 13.6% 9,366 85.4% 110 10,970 R+71.8
Lincoln 2,254 20.7% 8,489 77.8% 170 10,913 R+57.1
Perry 2,354 22.2% 8,123 76.5% 141 10,618 R+54.3
Breckinridge 2,352 23.1% 7,705 75.5% 146 10,203 R+52.5
Johnson 1,608 15.8% 8,450 82.9% 135 10,193 R+67.1
Rowan 3,878 38.6% 5,992 59.6% 184 10,054 R+21.0
Bell 1,789 17.8% 8,140 81.0% 115 10,044 R+63.2
Bourbon 3,295 34.2% 6,188 64.2% 158 9,641 R+30.0
Allen 1,642 17.5% 7,587 81.0% 136 9,365 R+63.5
Wayne 1,700 18.4% 7,430 80.4% 110 9,240 R+62.0
Letcher 1,799 19.7% 7,227 79.1% 110 9,136 R+59.4
Russell 1,331 14.9% 7,520 84.0% 104 8,955 R+69.1
Marion 2,722 30.5% 6,114 68.5% 93 8,929 R+38.0
Harrison 2,400 27.1% 6,334 71.5% 119 8,853 R+44.4
Adair 1,392 15.9% 7,275 83.0% 95 8,762 R+67.1
Simpson 2,680 30.7% 5,887 67.4% 163 8,730 R+36.7
Garrard 1,834 21.0% 6,760 77.6% 120 8,714 R+56.5
Hart 1,908 22.8% 6,344 75.8% 116 8,368 R+53.0
Henry 2,142 26.4% 5,842 72.1% 122 8,106 R+45.6
Mason 2,362 29.7% 5,477 68.8% 118 7,957 R+39.1
Rockcastle 1,135 14.6% 6,584 84.5% 73 7,792 R+69.9
Clay 832 11.0% 6,682 88.0% 82 7,596 R+77.0
Trigg 1,791 24.3% 5,487 74.4% 97 7,375 R+50.1
Larue 1,507 20.6% 5,689 77.8% 112 7,308 R+57.2
Casey 919 12.8% 6,180 86.2% 74 7,173 R+73.3
Fleming 1,474 20.9% 5,534 78.3% 58 7,066 R+57.5
Lawrence 1,238 17.8% 5,634 81.0% 84 6,956 R+63.2
Pendleton 1,323 19.1% 5,515 79.6% 88 6,926 R+60.5
Union 1,529 23.3% 4,965 75.5% 82 6,576 R+52.3
Estill 1,357 20.7% 5,103 78.0% 83 6,543 R+57.3
McCreary 726 11.3% 5,667 88.0% 46 6,439 R+76.7
Caldwell 1,434 22.3% 4,909 76.3% 89 6,432 R+54.0
Knott 1,412 22.6% 4,782 76.5% 60 6,254 R+53.9
Washington 1,645 26.4% 4,484 72.0% 96 6,225 R+45.6
Butler 1,082 17.7% 4,965 81.0% 83 6,130 R+63.3
Edmonson 1,227 20.0% 4,827 78.7% 76 6,130 R+58.7
Jackson 605 9.9% 5,454 89.2% 55 6,114 R+79.3
Webster 1,412 23.6% 4,506 75.2% 74 5,992 R+51.6
Lewis 824 14.0% 4,988 84.7% 75 5,887 R+70.7
Green 920 15.8% 4,838 83.2% 54 5,812 R+67.4
Breathitt 1,301 23.0% 4,266 75.3% 95 5,662 R+52.4
Bath 1,575 28.0% 3,989 70.8% 68 5,632 R+42.9
Morgan 1,176 21.2% 4,302 77.6% 65 5,543 R+56.4
Powell 1,368 24.8% 4,042 73.4% 96 5,506 R+48.6
Owen 1,099 20.1% 4,295 78.7% 66 5,460 R+58.5
Magoffin 1,214 22.3% 4,174 76.6% 59 5,447 R+54.3
Todd 1,207 22.5% 4,066 75.8% 91 5,364 R+53.3
Monroe 657 12.3% 4,627 86.8% 45 5,329 R+74.5
Metcalfe 975 19.4% 3,960 79.0% 78 5,013 R+59.5
Livingston 940 18.8% 4,012 80.1% 54 5,006 R+61.4
Clinton 603 12.2% 4,282 86.8% 49 4,934 R+74.6
Leslie 447 9.3% 4,324 89.8% 44 4,815 R+80.5
McLean 1,074 22.5% 3,633 76.0% 75 4,782 R+53.5
Hancock 1,354 29.5% 3,149 68.5% 91 4,594 R+39.1
Trimble 1,013 23.4% 3,229 74.7% 80 4,322 R+51.3
Bracken 800 18.8% 3,398 80.0% 47 4,245 R+61.2
Crittenden 732 17.2% 3,452 81.3% 60 4,244 R+64.1
Lyon 1,092 25.8% 3,101 73.3% 36 4,229 R+47.5
Ballard 825 19.5% 3,356 79.4% 44 4,225 R+59.9
Carroll 1,116 27.0% 2,954 71.4% 65 4,135 R+44.4
Martin 403 10.3% 3,497 89.0% 31 3,931 R+78.7
Gallatin 823 21.4% 2,957 76.8% 71 3,851 R+55.4
Nicholas 956 28.1% 2,410 70.9% 33 3,399 R+42.8
Cumberland 508 15.4% 2,769 83.7% 32 3,309 R+68.3
Menifee 751 24.2% 2,312 74.5% 40 3,103 R+50.3
Elliott 713 23.8% 2,248 75.0% 37 2,998 R+51.2
Wolfe 839 28.2% 2,097 70.4% 43 2,979 R+42.2
Lee 481 17.2% 2,273 81.1% 47 2,801 R+64.0
Carlisle 463 17.5% 2,159 81.8% 17 2,639 R+64.3
Fulton 794 32.7% 1,606 66.2% 25 2,425 R+33.5
Hickman 458 20.8% 1,714 77.9% 28 2,200 R+57.1
Owsley 216 11.4% 1,672 88.1% 9 1,897 R+76.8
Robertson 253 22.1% 885 77.2% 9 1,147 R+55.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4