United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1992 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1992 presidential election in Kentucky

Bill Clinton (Democrat) beat George H. W. Bush (Republican) in Kentucky in 1992, 44.6% to 41.3%, a margin of 3.2 points and 47,926 votes.

Kentucky changed party: in 1988 it went Republican, for George H. W. Bush.

Democrats led in 72 of the 120 counties and Republicans in 48. The largest, Jefferson, cast 309,793 votes and went to the Democrat by 11.7 points. The closest was Metcalfe, where 20 votes separated the two parties.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Bill Clinton won Democratic 665,104 44.6%
George H. W. Bush Republican 617,178 41.3%
Ross Perot Independent 203,944 13.7%
All other candidates 6,674 0.4%
Total1,492,900

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 152,728 49.3% 116,566 37.6% 40,499 309,793 D+11.7
Fayette 38,306 40.1% 41,908 43.9% 15,320 95,534 R+3.8
Kenton 16,344 30.8% 27,261 51.3% 9,530 53,135 R+20.5
Daviess 16,592 44.9% 14,936 40.4% 5,401 36,929 D+4.5
Campbell 10,673 32.5% 16,382 49.9% 5,785 32,840 R+17.4
Warren 11,529 38.6% 14,748 49.3% 3,619 29,896 R+10.8
Pike 17,358 61.8% 8,212 29.2% 2,512 28,082 D+32.6
McCracken 13,341 49.1% 10,657 39.2% 3,155 27,153 D+9.9
Hardin 9,417 36.3% 12,299 47.4% 4,242 25,958 R+11.1
Boone 6,514 27.6% 12,306 52.2% 4,755 23,575 R+24.6
Boyd 10,496 49.6% 7,387 34.9% 3,264 21,147 D+14.7
Franklin 9,896 47.1% 7,591 36.1% 3,544 21,031 D+11.0
Madison 8,005 40.3% 8,719 43.9% 3,117 19,841 R+3.6
Pulaski 5,465 28.1% 11,423 58.8% 2,526 19,414 R+30.7
Bullitt 7,830 41.3% 7,745 40.8% 3,394 18,969 D+0.4
Floyd 13,351 71.5% 3,540 19.0% 1,783 18,674 D+52.5
Hopkins 8,881 50.7% 6,032 34.4% 2,618 17,531 D+16.3
Oldham 5,457 32.8% 8,263 49.7% 2,919 16,639 R+16.9
Christian 6,709 41.2% 7,737 47.5% 1,842 16,288 R+6.3
Henderson 8,270 51.3% 5,125 31.8% 2,731 16,126 D+19.5
Graves 8,001 52.2% 5,311 34.6% 2,029 15,341 D+17.5
Laurel 4,560 30.3% 8,583 57.0% 1,907 15,050 R+26.7
Greenup 7,214 50.0% 4,975 34.5% 2,225 14,414 D+15.5
Muhlenberg 7,901 60.2% 3,551 27.1% 1,662 13,114 D+33.2
Barren 5,688 43.8% 5,467 42.1% 1,818 12,973 D+1.7
Marshall 6,576 51.6% 4,368 34.3% 1,805 12,749 D+17.3
Calloway 6,181 48.5% 4,654 36.5% 1,905 12,740 D+12.0
Jessamine 3,764 30.5% 6,474 52.5% 2,101 12,339 R+22.0
Harlan 6,796 55.7% 3,970 32.5% 1,437 12,203 D+23.2
Whitley 4,600 37.8% 5,998 49.3% 1,569 12,167 R+11.5
Perry 6,619 54.7% 4,128 34.1% 1,356 12,103 D+20.6
Nelson 5,437 46.6% 4,495 38.5% 1,740 11,672 D+8.1
Bell 5,745 49.6% 4,501 38.9% 1,329 11,575 D+10.7
Clark 4,892 42.5% 4,625 40.2% 2,000 11,517 D+2.3
Shelby 4,398 42.1% 4,550 43.6% 1,497 10,445 R+1.5
Letcher 5,817 57.7% 3,011 29.8% 1,262 10,090 D+27.8
Knox 3,787 38.5% 5,011 51.0% 1,027 9,825 R+12.5
Boyle 3,894 42.0% 4,019 43.3% 1,365 9,278 R+1.3
Scott 3,639 39.2% 3,810 41.1% 1,824 9,273 R+1.8
Taylor 3,518 39.4% 4,319 48.4% 1,083 8,920 R+9.0
Ohio 4,022 45.4% 3,385 38.2% 1,458 8,865 D+7.2
Logan 4,064 45.9% 3,710 41.9% 1,075 8,849 D+4.0
Woodford 3,161 36.2% 3,992 45.8% 1,572 8,725 R+9.5
Carter 4,224 49.3% 3,305 38.6% 1,031 8,560 D+10.7
Grayson 2,909 34.2% 4,533 53.3% 1,065 8,507 R+19.1
Johnson 3,669 43.5% 3,614 42.8% 1,153 8,436 D+0.7
Mercer 3,010 39.3% 3,211 42.0% 1,432 7,653 R+2.6
Montgomery 3,686 48.4% 2,590 34.0% 1,335 7,611 D+14.4
Clay 2,012 27.1% 4,747 63.9% 668 7,427 R+36.8
Meade 3,387 46.0% 2,641 35.9% 1,337 7,365 D+10.1
Knott 5,500 75.1% 1,243 17.0% 585 7,328 D+58.1
Russell 1,950 26.8% 4,641 63.7% 694 7,285 R+36.9
Rowan 3,558 48.9% 2,469 33.9% 1,247 7,274 D+15.0
Breckinridge 3,113 44.4% 2,941 41.9% 959 7,013 D+2.5
Bourbon 2,895 41.8% 2,707 39.1% 1,318 6,920 D+2.7
Wayne 2,516 38.7% 3,412 52.4% 579 6,507 R+13.8
Anderson 2,491 38.5% 2,731 42.2% 1,250 6,472 R+3.7
Adair 2,044 31.8% 3,740 58.2% 640 6,424 R+26.4
Marion 3,403 53.8% 2,091 33.1% 830 6,324 D+20.7
McCreary 1,934 31.1% 3,588 57.8% 688 6,210 R+26.6
Harrison 2,795 45.2% 2,148 34.7% 1,246 6,189 D+10.5
Mason 2,657 44.1% 2,432 40.3% 940 6,029 D+3.7
Lincoln 2,532 42.6% 2,624 44.1% 790 5,946 R+1.5
Hart 2,852 48.7% 2,401 41.0% 605 5,858 D+7.7
Simpson 2,834 48.5% 2,280 39.0% 726 5,840 D+9.5
Monroe 1,515 26.1% 3,776 65.1% 512 5,803 R+39.0
Union 3,325 57.9% 1,605 28.0% 809 5,739 D+30.0
Magoffin 3,261 57.1% 1,992 34.9% 458 5,711 D+22.2
Webster 3,380 59.7% 1,408 24.9% 877 5,665 D+34.8
Caldwell 3,000 53.1% 1,966 34.8% 685 5,651 D+18.3
Allen 2,040 37.7% 2,747 50.7% 628 5,415 R+13.1
Grant 2,097 38.9% 2,128 39.4% 1,170 5,395 R+0.6
Breathitt 3,496 65.5% 1,303 24.4% 537 5,336 D+41.1
Casey 1,409 26.6% 3,317 62.6% 576 5,302 R+36.0
Henry 2,838 54.4% 1,640 31.4% 741 5,219 D+23.0
Fleming 2,257 44.0% 2,045 39.8% 833 5,135 D+4.1
Lawrence 2,400 47.5% 2,084 41.2% 573 5,057 D+6.2
Powell 2,323 46.1% 1,809 35.9% 909 5,041 D+10.2
Estill 1,837 36.5% 2,453 48.7% 749 5,039 R+12.2
Green 1,760 35.3% 2,709 54.3% 517 4,986 R+19.0
Leslie 1,591 32.2% 2,879 58.3% 466 4,936 R+26.1
Larue 2,190 44.4% 2,154 43.7% 586 4,930 D+0.7
Lewis 1,713 34.9% 2,493 50.8% 698 4,904 R+15.9
Rockcastle 1,144 23.4% 3,287 67.1% 466 4,897 R+43.8
Trigg 2,438 50.2% 1,820 37.5% 597 4,855 D+12.7
Butler 1,468 30.5% 2,729 56.8% 609 4,806 R+26.2
Garrard 1,730 36.1% 2,359 49.2% 708 4,797 R+13.1
Washington 2,008 42.8% 2,098 44.7% 589 4,695 R+1.9
Pendleton 1,740 37.3% 1,810 38.8% 1,119 4,669 R+1.5
Edmonson 1,653 36.1% 2,486 54.2% 446 4,585 R+18.2
Jackson 776 17.1% 3,398 75.0% 359 4,533 R+57.8
Clinton 1,241 28.0% 2,830 63.8% 365 4,436 R+35.8
Morgan 2,655 60.2% 1,239 28.1% 517 4,411 D+32.1
Livingston 2,386 55.3% 1,339 31.1% 587 4,312 D+24.3
Bath 2,229 53.0% 1,259 29.9% 716 4,204 D+23.1
Todd 1,858 44.2% 1,691 40.2% 653 4,202 D+4.0
McLean 2,223 53.8% 1,355 32.8% 551 4,129 D+21.0
Martin 1,715 41.9% 1,961 47.9% 419 4,095 R+6.0
Ballard 2,268 58.5% 1,108 28.6% 504 3,880 D+29.9
Crittenden 1,740 45.5% 1,576 41.3% 504 3,820 D+4.3
Metcalfe 1,703 44.7% 1,683 44.1% 427 3,813 D+0.5
Carroll 2,119 56.6% 1,046 27.9% 581 3,746 D+28.6
Hancock 1,714 47.5% 1,261 35.0% 630 3,605 D+12.6
Owen 1,830 51.3% 1,108 31.0% 631 3,569 D+20.2
Fulton 1,813 56.6% 1,073 33.5% 318 3,204 D+23.1
Spencer 1,383 43.7% 1,305 41.2% 479 3,167 D+2.5
Lee 1,170 37.0% 1,617 51.2% 371 3,158 R+14.2
Cumberland 917 30.0% 1,866 61.0% 278 3,061 R+31.0
Bracken 1,259 42.9% 1,162 39.6% 511 2,932 D+3.3
Nicholas 1,341 48.1% 894 32.1% 554 2,789 D+16.0
Lyon 1,583 58.6% 820 30.3% 300 2,703 D+28.2
Wolfe 1,674 62.4% 697 26.0% 313 2,684 D+36.4
Trimble 1,413 53.7% 789 30.0% 429 2,631 D+23.7
Carlisle 1,383 54.3% 844 33.2% 318 2,545 D+21.2
Elliott 1,796 71.1% 444 17.6% 285 2,525 D+53.5
Hickman 1,296 52.7% 861 35.0% 300 2,457 D+17.7
Owsley 678 28.9% 1,437 61.4% 227 2,342 R+32.4
Gallatin 1,171 50.3% 699 30.0% 459 2,329 D+20.3
Menifee 1,311 61.1% 557 26.0% 277 2,145 D+35.2
Robertson 439 46.5% 329 34.8% 177 945 D+11.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4