United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
Closest results
Election 1992 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1992 presidential election in Iowa

Bill Clinton (Democrat) beat George H. W. Bush (Republican) in Iowa in 1992, 43.3% to 37.3%, a margin of 6.0 points and 81,462 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 1988, when Michael Dukakis won.

Democrats led in 65 of the 99 counties and Republicans in 33 and other candidates in 1. The largest, Polk, cast 167,258 votes and went to the Democrat by 8.9 points. The closest was Calhoun, where 29 votes separated the top two.

United States
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Bill Clinton won Democratic 586,353 43.3%
George H. W. Bush Republican 504,891 37.3%
Ross Perot Independent 253,468 18.7%
All other candidates 9,895 0.7%
Total1,354,607

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Polk 78,585 47.0% 63,708 38.1% 24,965 167,258 D+8.9
Linn 38,567 43.4% 30,215 34.0% 20,103 88,885 D+9.4
Scott 33,765 45.2% 28,844 38.6% 12,053 74,662 D+6.6
Black Hawk 29,584 48.1% 21,398 34.8% 10,568 61,550 D+13.3
Johnson 28,656 55.3% 14,041 27.1% 9,077 51,774 D+28.2
Dubuque 20,539 47.8% 14,007 32.6% 8,422 42,968 D+15.2
Woodbury 17,398 40.6% 18,148 42.3% 7,318 42,864 R+1.7
Pottawattamie 13,228 35.6% 15,671 42.2% 8,216 37,115 R+6.6
Story 17,118 47.1% 12,702 35.0% 6,491 36,311 D+12.2
Clinton 11,683 46.8% 8,746 35.0% 4,531 24,960 D+11.8
Cerro Gordo 11,415 47.0% 8,250 34.0% 4,628 24,293 D+13.0
Des Moines 11,309 53.4% 6,378 30.1% 3,503 21,190 D+23.3
Warren 8,612 45.0% 7,242 37.8% 3,303 19,157 D+7.2
Webster 8,562 45.3% 6,992 37.0% 3,367 18,921 D+8.3
Marshall 8,303 45.4% 6,784 37.1% 3,202 18,289 D+8.3
Jasper 8,120 45.1% 6,866 38.1% 3,026 18,012 D+7.0
Lee 9,366 54.6% 4,777 27.9% 3,009 17,152 D+26.8
Muscatine 7,089 42.0% 6,087 36.1% 3,688 16,864 D+5.9
Wapello 8,670 53.9% 4,852 30.2% 2,561 16,083 D+23.7
Dallas 6,554 44.1% 5,587 37.6% 2,720 14,861 D+6.5
Sioux 2,226 15.1% 10,637 72.2% 1,867 14,730 R+57.1
Marion 5,531 40.9% 6,062 44.8% 1,940 13,533 R+3.9
Boone 5,913 48.4% 4,148 33.9% 2,158 12,219 D+14.4
Bremer 4,774 40.8% 4,482 38.3% 2,458 11,714 D+2.5
Fayette 4,412 40.6% 3,879 35.7% 2,570 10,861 D+4.9
Plymouth 3,171 30.2% 5,196 49.6% 2,117 10,484 R+19.3
Benton 4,467 42.8% 3,469 33.2% 2,503 10,439 D+9.6
Mahaska 3,714 36.2% 4,953 48.3% 1,580 10,247 R+12.1
Buchanan 4,166 43.2% 3,313 34.3% 2,175 9,654 D+8.8
Winneshiek 3,791 39.4% 3,331 34.6% 2,502 9,624 D+4.8
Carroll 3,800 40.1% 3,439 36.3% 2,236 9,475 D+3.8
Jackson 4,421 47.5% 2,673 28.7% 2,211 9,305 D+18.8
Buena Vista 3,374 36.4% 3,863 41.7% 2,020 9,257 R+5.3
Clayton 3,742 40.7% 3,044 33.1% 2,404 9,190 D+7.6
Kossuth 3,660 40.4% 3,464 38.2% 1,935 9,059 D+2.2
Poweshiek 4,056 44.8% 3,245 35.9% 1,746 9,047 D+9.0
Washington 3,384 37.5% 3,576 39.7% 2,058 9,018 R+2.1
Hardin 3,792 42.2% 3,590 40.0% 1,597 8,979 D+2.2
Jones 3,508 39.4% 3,071 34.5% 2,321 8,900 D+4.9
Henry 3,544 41.1% 3,435 39.8% 1,649 8,628 D+1.3
Delaware 3,093 36.4% 3,195 37.6% 2,204 8,492 R+1.2
Clay 3,346 39.9% 3,011 35.9% 2,023 8,380 D+4.0
Jefferson 2,562 30.7% 2,541 30.5% 3,238 8,341 Others
Tama 3,573 42.9% 2,948 35.4% 1,809 8,330 D+7.5
Dickinson 3,106 37.4% 3,196 38.5% 2,002 8,304 R+1.1
Cedar 3,296 40.0% 2,965 36.0% 1,979 8,240 D+4.0
Floyd 3,688 47.6% 2,404 31.0% 1,658 7,750 D+16.6
Hamilton 3,262 42.5% 3,031 39.5% 1,388 7,681 D+3.0
Crawford 3,004 39.2% 2,693 35.1% 1,975 7,672 D+4.1
O'Brien 2,122 28.0% 3,869 51.1% 1,587 7,578 R+23.1
Page 1,951 26.7% 3,670 50.2% 1,689 7,310 R+23.5
Butler 2,548 35.7% 3,209 45.0% 1,380 7,137 R+9.3
Cass 2,231 31.6% 3,176 45.0% 1,651 7,058 R+13.4
Iowa 2,560 36.8% 2,656 38.1% 1,749 6,965 R+1.4
Cherokee 2,590 37.6% 2,768 40.2% 1,535 6,893 R+2.6
Harrison 2,349 34.2% 2,763 40.2% 1,756 6,868 R+6.0
Allamakee 2,362 35.4% 2,627 39.3% 1,690 6,679 R+4.0
Wright 2,776 41.7% 2,708 40.6% 1,181 6,665 D+1.0
Chickasaw 2,913 43.9% 2,129 32.1% 1,598 6,640 D+11.8
Shelby 2,094 32.0% 2,809 42.9% 1,641 6,544 R+10.9
Appanoose 2,810 44.1% 2,346 36.8% 1,217 6,373 D+7.3
Mills 1,798 29.2% 2,699 43.8% 1,669 6,166 R+14.6
Grundy 1,895 30.8% 3,160 51.3% 1,101 6,156 R+20.5
Madison 2,525 41.1% 2,421 39.4% 1,203 6,149 D+1.7
Union 2,565 42.0% 2,224 36.4% 1,313 6,102 D+5.6
Winnebago 2,322 38.2% 2,407 39.6% 1,349 6,078 R+1.4
Hancock 2,175 37.5% 2,428 41.8% 1,203 5,806 R+4.4
Lyon 1,331 23.2% 3,272 57.1% 1,123 5,726 R+33.9
Keokuk 2,329 41.8% 1,981 35.5% 1,267 5,577 D+6.2
Guthrie 2,234 41.0% 1,962 36.0% 1,257 5,453 D+5.0
Palo Alto 2,374 44.1% 1,789 33.3% 1,216 5,379 D+10.9
Montgomery 1,599 29.8% 2,404 44.8% 1,366 5,369 R+15.0
Greene 2,422 45.2% 1,952 36.5% 979 5,353 D+8.8
Mitchell 2,177 40.7% 1,933 36.2% 1,237 5,347 D+4.6
Calhoun 2,140 40.6% 2,169 41.1% 965 5,274 R+0.5
Franklin 2,049 38.9% 2,137 40.6% 1,080 5,266 R+1.7
Sac 1,896 36.4% 2,138 41.0% 1,181 5,215 R+4.6
Humboldt 1,765 34.0% 2,299 44.3% 1,121 5,185 R+10.3
Emmet 2,239 44.5% 1,749 34.8% 1,044 5,032 D+9.7
Howard 2,099 43.2% 1,516 31.2% 1,247 4,862 D+12.0
Monona 1,939 40.0% 1,660 34.2% 1,250 4,849 D+5.8
Louisa 2,091 43.2% 1,691 34.9% 1,062 4,844 D+8.3
Lucas 2,072 44.3% 1,734 37.1% 868 4,674 D+7.2
Pocahontas 1,919 41.1% 1,743 37.3% 1,007 4,669 D+3.8
Worth 2,009 45.2% 1,382 31.1% 1,057 4,448 D+14.1
Clarke 1,921 45.1% 1,417 33.3% 922 4,260 D+11.8
Ida 1,449 34.2% 1,714 40.4% 1,076 4,239 R+6.3
Adair 1,655 39.5% 1,713 40.8% 826 4,194 R+1.4
Davis 1,962 48.6% 1,344 33.3% 735 4,041 D+15.3
Decatur 1,866 46.8% 1,316 33.0% 804 3,986 D+13.8
Fremont 1,422 36.4% 1,459 37.3% 1,030 3,911 R+0.9
Audubon 1,589 41.0% 1,373 35.5% 911 3,873 D+5.6
Monroe 1,829 48.4% 1,323 35.0% 630 3,782 D+13.4
Van Buren 1,464 39.5% 1,418 38.2% 828 3,710 D+1.2
Osceola 990 27.5% 1,756 48.8% 854 3,600 R+21.3
Wayne 1,632 45.5% 1,299 36.2% 653 3,584 D+9.3
Taylor 1,430 40.3% 1,200 33.8% 921 3,551 D+6.5
Ringgold 1,341 46.7% 967 33.7% 561 2,869 D+13.0
Adams 1,034 39.8% 863 33.2% 699 2,596 D+6.6

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Iowa in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+8.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+9.4
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.8
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.0
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+10.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+12.7
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+17.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.2
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+24.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+13.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+18.4
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+28.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+2.7
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.5
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+4.4
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+11.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+24.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+38.4
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+45.4
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+12.0
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.3
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+15.0
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+32.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+18.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+12.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+5.3
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+7.8
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+5.2
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+24.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+20.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+23.1
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+23.8