United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 1876 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1876 presidential election in Iowa

Rutherford B. Hayes (Republican) beat Samuel J. Tilden (Democrat) in Iowa in 1876, 58.5% to 38.3%, a margin of 20.2 points and 59,204 votes.

Iowa voted 23.2 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.0.

The Republican hold continued from 1872, when Ulysses S. Grant won.

Republicans led in 93 of the 99 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 6. The largest, Dubuque, cast 7,814 votes and went to the Democrat by 27.9 points. The closest was Palo Alto, where 10 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Rutherford B. Hayes won Republican 171,325 58.5%
Samuel J. Tilden Democratic 112,121 38.3%
All other candidates 9,528 3.3%
Total292,974

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Dubuque 4,977 63.7% 2,798 35.8% 39 7,814 D+27.9
Linn 2,917 40.1% 4,331 59.5% 25 7,273 R+19.4
Polk 2,382 33.1% 4,324 60.2% 482 7,188 R+27.0
Clinton 3,398 47.9% 3,655 51.6% 37 7,090 R+3.6
Lee 3,682 53.9% 3,132 45.8% 20 6,834 D+8.0
Scott 2,853 42.6% 3,819 57.0% 28 6,700 R+14.4
Des Moines 2,917 46.7% 3,324 53.3% 6,241 R+6.5
Clayton 2,621 49.4% 2,661 50.1% 26 5,308 R+0.8
Marion 2,304 43.4% 2,736 51.6% 263 5,303 R+8.1
Jasper 1,804 34.1% 3,375 63.7% 118 5,297 R+29.7
Mahaska 1,701 32.4% 3,218 61.2% 338 5,257 R+28.9
Wapello 2,412 47.7% 2,580 51.1% 60 5,052 R+3.3
Pottawattamie 2,414 48.1% 2,565 51.1% 42 5,021 R+3.0
Johnson 2,563 52.1% 2,347 47.7% 7 4,917 D+4.4
Fayette 1,709 35.9% 3,029 63.6% 26 4,764 R+27.7
Jackson 2,485 52.7% 2,126 45.1% 101 4,712 D+7.6
Muscatine 2,075 44.9% 2,524 54.6% 23 4,622 R+9.7
Black Hawk 1,592 34.5% 2,980 64.6% 40 4,612 R+30.1
Benton 1,356 30.0% 2,901 64.1% 270 4,527 R+34.1
Winneshiek 1,617 36.0% 2,759 61.4% 120 4,496 R+25.4
Henry 1,485 33.5% 2,806 63.3% 144 4,435 R+29.8
Marshall 1,189 27.2% 3,056 69.8% 133 4,378 R+42.6
Jones 1,763 40.5% 2,591 59.5% 4 4,358 R+19.0
Keokuk 1,862 43.0% 2,363 54.6% 103 4,328 R+11.6
Washington 1,508 35.8% 2,467 58.6% 232 4,207 R+22.8
Warren 1,415 35.4% 2,438 61.0% 146 3,999 R+25.6
Madison 1,538 39.0% 2,246 56.9% 160 3,944 R+18.0
Buchanan 1,416 36.8% 2,226 57.9% 204 3,846 R+21.1
Cedar 1,445 37.6% 2,328 60.6% 68 3,841 R+23.0
Van Buren 1,661 43.6% 2,110 55.3% 43 3,814 R+11.8
Tama 1,317 35.2% 2,338 62.5% 87 3,742 R+27.3
Jefferson 1,449 38.8% 2,167 58.0% 121 3,737 R+19.2
Poweshiek 1,083 29.1% 2,508 67.5% 125 3,716 R+38.3
Delaware 1,466 39.6% 2,233 60.4% 3,699 R+20.7
Boone 1,305 37.2% 2,018 57.6% 181 3,504 R+20.3
Fremont 1,682 48.2% 1,660 47.6% 146 3,488 D+0.6
Allamakee 1,646 48.5% 1,709 50.4% 39 3,394 R+1.9
Iowa 1,348 40.0% 1,871 55.5% 151 3,370 R+15.5
Davis 1,631 48.6% 1,587 47.3% 138 3,356 D+1.3
Appanoose 1,419 42.4% 1,711 51.2% 214 3,344 R+8.7
Dallas 752 22.5% 2,136 64.0% 451 3,339 R+41.4
Page 861 25.9% 2,243 67.4% 222 3,326 R+41.6
Hardin 980 29.7% 2,172 65.8% 149 3,301 R+36.1
Harrison 1,386 45.1% 1,557 50.7% 127 3,070 R+5.6
Wayne 1,341 43.9% 1,693 55.5% 18 3,052 R+11.5
Decatur 1,282 43.4% 1,647 55.8% 22 2,951 R+12.4
Louisa 1,008 34.2% 1,930 65.6% 6 2,944 R+31.3
Cass 979 33.6% 1,876 64.3% 61 2,916 R+30.8
Floyd 751 25.8% 2,033 69.8% 129 2,913 R+44.0
Taylor 676 23.9% 1,727 61.0% 428 2,831 R+37.1
Story 579 21.3% 1,848 67.8% 297 2,724 R+46.6
Montgomery 759 28.0% 1,749 64.6% 199 2,707 R+36.6
Chickasaw 1,090 40.6% 1,574 58.6% 22 2,686 R+18.0
Webster 987 36.8% 1,299 48.4% 398 2,684 R+11.6
Monroe 1,246 46.8% 1,418 53.2% 1 2,665 R+6.5
Butler 780 29.6% 1,829 69.5% 22 2,631 R+39.9
Mills 1,165 44.4% 1,453 55.4% 6 2,624 R+11.0
Bremer 757 29.8% 1,735 68.2% 51 2,543 R+38.5
Lucas 1,044 41.3% 1,478 58.4% 8 2,530 R+17.2
Union 795 32.3% 1,239 50.4% 426 2,460 R+18.0
Mitchell 671 28.0% 1,663 69.3% 65 2,399 R+41.4
Guthrie 629 26.5% 1,434 60.5% 309 2,372 R+33.9
Clarke 816 34.8% 1,405 60.0% 122 2,343 R+25.1
Woodbury 997 46.9% 1,034 48.7% 94 2,125 R+1.7
Adams 626 29.9% 1,376 65.6% 95 2,097 R+35.8
Adair 593 29.8% 1,334 67.1% 62 1,989 R+37.3
Greene 510 25.8% 1,311 66.4% 153 1,974 R+40.6
Ringgold 422 22.1% 1,245 65.1% 245 1,912 R+43.0
Howard 600 33.1% 1,194 65.8% 21 1,815 R+32.7
Cerro Gordo 448 25.7% 1,273 73.0% 24 1,745 R+47.3
Crawford 638 38.0% 1,043 62.0% 1,681 R+24.1
Hamilton 425 25.7% 1,187 71.7% 43 1,655 R+46.0
Carroll 771 49.1% 799 50.9% 1,570 R+1.8
Franklin 379 24.3% 1,177 75.4% 5 1,561 R+51.1
Shelby 631 41.2% 896 58.5% 5 1,532 R+17.3
Grundy 417 27.5% 1,099 72.4% 1 1,517 R+45.0
Plymouth 502 37.2% 835 61.9% 12 1,349 R+24.7
Monona 304 23.1% 713 54.1% 300 1,317 R+31.1
Cherokee 175 14.7% 864 72.5% 152 1,191 R+57.9
Buena Vista 200 19.4% 770 74.5% 63 1,033 R+55.2
Sac 166 17.5% 661 69.5% 124 951 R+52.1
Kossuth 227 26.2% 638 73.6% 2 867 R+47.4
Worth 149 17.4% 703 82.0% 5 857 R+64.6
Calhoun 196 23.8% 622 75.6% 5 823 R+51.8
Audubon 352 45.2% 426 54.8% 778 R+9.5
Wright 181 24.0% 574 76.0% 755 R+52.1
Humboldt 183 25.8% 523 73.8% 3 709 R+48.0
Palo Alto 333 49.3% 343 50.7% 676 R+1.5
Clay 94 14.0% 567 84.5% 10 671 R+70.5
Sioux 220 33.4% 439 66.6% 659 R+33.2
O'Brien 116 19.2% 463 76.5% 26 605 R+57.4
Winnebago 39 7.3% 498 92.7% 537 R+85.5
Pocahontas 141 26.8% 375 71.2% 11 527 R+44.4
Osceola 59 15.3% 327 84.7% 386 R+69.4
Hancock 99 26.1% 281 73.9% 380 R+47.9
Dickinson 48 15.6% 260 84.4% 308 R+68.8
Lyon 46 14.9% 262 85.1% 308 R+70.1
Ida 57 19.5% 212 72.4% 24 293 R+52.9
Emmet 36 12.8% 246 87.2% 282 R+74.5

Counties as they stood in 1876; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Iowa in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+8.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+9.4
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.8
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+10.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+6.0
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+10.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+12.7
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.0
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+17.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.2
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+24.0
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+13.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+18.4
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+28.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+2.7
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.5
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+4.4
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+11.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+24.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+38.4
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+45.4
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+12.0
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+13.3
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+15.0
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+32.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+18.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+12.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+5.3
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+7.8
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+5.2
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+24.1
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+20.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+23.1
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+23.8