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Closest results
Election 1876 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1876 presidential election in Florida

Rutherford B. Hayes (Republican) beat Samuel J. Tilden (Democrat) in Florida in 1876, 51.0% to 49.0%, a margin of 2.0 points and 922 votes.

Florida voted 5.0 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.0.

The Republican hold continued from 1872, when Ulysses S. Grant won.

Democrats led in 26 of the 38 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 12. The largest, Leon, cast 4,036 votes and went to the Republican by 50.3 points. The closest was Dade, where 4 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Rutherford B. Hayes won Republican 23,849 51.0%
Samuel J. Tilden Democratic 22,927 49.0%
Total46,776

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Leon 1,003 24.9% 3,033 75.1% 4,036 R+50.3
Duval 1,437 37.8% 2,367 62.2% 3,804 R+24.4
Jefferson 736 22.1% 2,600 77.9% 3,336 R+55.9
Alachua 1,254 38.8% 1,980 61.2% 3,234 R+22.4
Escambia 1,426 47.1% 1,602 52.9% 3,028 R+5.8
Madison 1,078 41.4% 1,524 58.6% 2,602 R+17.1
Marion 962 38.3% 1,552 61.7% 2,514 R+23.5
Jackson 961 44.9% 1,178 55.1% 2,139 R+10.1
Gadsden 835 39.1% 1,300 60.9% 2,135 R+21.8
Columbia 903 55.7% 718 44.3% 1,621 D+11.4
Monroe 646 41.2% 921 58.8% 1,567 R+17.5
Nassau 667 45.4% 802 54.6% 1,469 R+9.2
Putnam 605 50.8% 586 49.2% 1,191 D+1.6
Santa Rosa 768 65.3% 409 34.7% 1,177 D+30.5
Orange 901 81.2% 208 18.8% 1,109 D+62.5
Suwannee 626 57.7% 458 42.3% 1,084 D+15.5
Hillsborough 790 80.9% 186 19.1% 976 D+61.9
Bradford 703 77.7% 202 22.3% 905 D+55.4
St. Johns 501 59.7% 338 40.3% 839 D+19.4
Hernando 574 79.9% 144 20.1% 718 D+59.9
Levy 488 70.2% 207 29.8% 695 D+40.4
Sumter 506 74.5% 173 25.5% 679 D+49.0
Walton 628 93.2% 46 6.8% 674 D+86.4
Volusia 459 71.2% 186 28.8% 645 D+42.3
Wakulla 361 66.5% 182 33.5% 543 D+33.0
Washington 407 77.4% 119 22.6% 526 D+54.8
Polk 456 98.7% 6 1.3% 462 D+97.4
Clay 311 71.2% 126 28.8% 437 D+42.3
Baker 238 62.5% 143 37.5% 381 D+24.9
Lafayette 309 83.3% 62 16.7% 371 D+66.6
Holmes 300 94.9% 16 5.1% 316 D+89.9
Taylor 242 76.8% 73 23.2% 315 D+53.7
Hamilton 211 68.5% 97 31.5% 308 D+37.0
Calhoun 215 77.1% 64 22.9% 279 D+54.1
Franklin 157 63.3% 91 36.7% 248 D+26.6
Liberty 147 63.9% 83 36.1% 230 D+27.8
Brevard 111 65.7% 58 34.3% 169 D+31.4
Dade 5 35.7% 9 64.3% 14 R+28.6

Counties as they stood in 1876; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Florida in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.1
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+3.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+1.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+0.9
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+2.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+5.0
2000 George W. Bush (R) level
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+5.7
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+1.9
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+22.4
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+30.7
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+17.0
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+5.3
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+44.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+2.3
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+3.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+10.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.2
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.6
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+48.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+52.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+49.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.2
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+28.8
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+31.3
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+51.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+61.1
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+41.4
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+46.9
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+52.8
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+46.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+85.0
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+19.6
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+6.2
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+8.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.0