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Election 1876 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1876 presidential election in Kentucky

Samuel J. Tilden (Democrat) beat Rutherford B. Hayes (Republican) in Kentucky in 1876, 61.4% to 37.4%, a margin of 24.0 points and 62,492 votes.

Kentucky voted 21.0 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+3.0.

Kentucky changed party: in 1872 it went third-party.

Democrats led in 95 of the 116 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 21. The largest, Jefferson, cast 20,667 votes and went to the Democrat by 42.3 points. The closest was Garrard, where 1 vote separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Samuel J. Tilden won Democratic 160,060 61.4%
Rutherford B. Hayes Republican 97,568 37.4%
All other candidates 2,998 1.2%
Total260,626

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 14,656 70.9% 5,905 28.6% 106 20,667 D+42.3
Kenton 4,185 62.9% 2,440 36.6% 33 6,658 D+26.2
Fayette 2,963 48.9% 3,085 50.9% 16 6,064 R+2.0
Campbell 2,949 56.0% 2,304 43.7% 17 5,270 D+12.2
Christian 2,062 42.0% 2,842 57.9% 1 4,905 R+15.9
Warren 2,652 56.9% 1,899 40.8% 109 4,660 D+16.2
Daviess 3,285 72.9% 1,050 23.3% 174 4,509 D+49.6
Madison 2,236 52.9% 1,967 46.6% 20 4,223 D+6.4
Henderson 2,592 62.8% 1,524 36.9% 9 4,125 D+25.9
Graves 2,985 76.1% 926 23.6% 10 3,921 D+52.5
Mason 2,362 60.5% 1,518 38.9% 23 3,903 D+21.6
Logan 2,242 59.0% 1,557 41.0% 3,799 D+18.0
Pulaski 1,652 44.9% 1,981 53.8% 49 3,682 R+8.9
Barren 2,185 62.3% 1,309 37.3% 14 3,508 D+25.0
Bourbon 1,761 52.2% 1,615 47.8% 3,376 D+4.3
Shelby 2,135 63.4% 1,210 35.9% 25 3,370 D+27.4
Scott 1,827 57.7% 1,322 41.8% 16 3,165 D+16.0
Owen 2,700 87.1% 398 12.8% 2 3,100 D+74.3
Franklin 1,989 64.2% 1,084 35.0% 25 3,098 D+29.2
Hardin 2,135 72.2% 813 27.5% 10 2,958 D+44.7
Harrison 1,915 65.5% 988 33.8% 20 2,923 D+31.7
Union 2,200 75.8% 654 22.5% 48 2,902 D+53.3
Ohio 1,589 54.8% 1,114 38.5% 194 2,897 D+16.4
Hopkins 1,859 64.5% 952 33.0% 71 2,882 D+31.5
Mercer 1,659 58.4% 1,131 39.8% 49 2,839 D+18.6
McCracken 1,756 65.1% 943 34.9% 2,699 D+30.1
Henry 1,862 69.3% 820 30.5% 5 2,687 D+38.8
Fleming 1,534 57.8% 1,112 41.9% 10 2,656 D+15.9
Hart 1,584 60.3% 1,031 39.2% 14 2,629 D+21.0
Nelson 1,782 68.0% 815 31.1% 24 2,621 D+36.9
Todd 1,395 53.2% 1,215 46.4% 10 2,620 D+6.9
Boyle 1,434 54.8% 1,176 44.9% 7 2,617 D+9.9
Pendleton 1,686 64.6% 920 35.3% 2 2,608 D+29.4
Lincoln 1,547 59.4% 1,047 40.2% 9 2,603 D+19.2
Trigg 1,508 60.1% 994 39.6% 8 2,510 D+20.5
Marion 1,632 66.2% 827 33.5% 6 2,465 D+32.7
Washington 1,428 58.3% 1,014 41.4% 7 2,449 D+16.9
Woodford 1,340 55.2% 1,080 44.5% 8 2,428 D+10.7
Ballard 2,061 85.7% 343 14.3% 1 2,405 D+71.4
Clark 1,356 56.6% 1,025 42.8% 14 2,395 D+13.8
Lewis 1,147 50.3% 1,134 49.7% 2,281 D+0.6
Garrard 1,136 50.0% 1,135 50.0% 2,271 level
Adair 1,176 52.5% 1,062 47.4% 1 2,239 D+5.1
Bracken 1,575 70.4% 634 28.3% 28 2,237 D+42.1
Jessamine 1,142 51.1% 1,086 48.5% 9 2,237 D+2.5
Boone 1,802 81.5% 408 18.5% 2,210 D+63.1
Breckinridge 1,357 62.2% 800 36.6% 26 2,183 D+25.5
Muhlenberg 1,159 53.8% 950 44.1% 44 2,153 D+9.7
Montgomery 1,213 58.1% 869 41.6% 7 2,089 D+16.5
Nicholas 1,315 62.9% 762 36.5% 12 2,089 D+26.5
Grant 1,297 64.0% 719 35.5% 12 2,028 D+28.5
Greenup 1,020 50.4% 979 48.3% 26 2,025 D+2.0
Caldwell 1,199 60.9% 752 38.2% 17 1,968 D+22.7
Bath 1,123 57.3% 831 42.4% 5 1,959 D+14.9
Calloway 1,647 84.5% 246 12.6% 55 1,948 D+71.9
Boyd 1,059 54.5% 884 45.5% 1,943 D+9.0
Crittenden 944 49.4% 931 48.7% 37 1,912 D+0.7
Simpson 1,272 66.9% 597 31.4% 32 1,901 D+35.5
Grayson 1,068 57.6% 613 33.1% 173 1,854 D+24.5
Webster 1,270 69.6% 491 26.9% 63 1,824 D+42.7
Wayne 1,050 59.1% 694 39.0% 34 1,778 D+20.0
Clay 821 47.2% 910 52.4% 7 1,738 R+5.1
Allen 1,064 61.8% 649 37.7% 10 1,723 D+24.1
Green 951 55.8% 741 43.5% 12 1,704 D+12.3
Hickman 1,317 77.5% 381 22.4% 1 1,699 D+55.1
Anderson 1,154 69.2% 509 30.5% 5 1,668 D+38.7
Lawrence 1,048 63.0% 615 37.0% 1,663 D+26.0
Rockcastle 824 51.3% 776 48.3% 5 1,605 D+3.0
Estill 895 56.8% 658 41.8% 23 1,576 D+15.0
Carroll 1,289 82.2% 275 17.5% 5 1,569 D+64.6
Knox 651 41.7% 889 57.0% 20 1,560 R+15.3
Marshall 1,311 84.0% 217 13.9% 32 1,560 D+70.1
Meade 1,227 80.6% 258 17.0% 37 1,522 D+63.7
Whitley 487 32.8% 987 66.5% 10 1,484 R+33.7
Carter 763 51.7% 713 48.3% 1,476 D+3.4
Butler 449 30.7% 557 38.1% 457 1,463 R+7.4
Taylor 990 67.7% 471 32.2% 1 1,462 D+35.5
Larue 978 68.0% 422 29.3% 39 1,439 D+38.6
Pike 947 66.7% 429 30.2% 43 1,419 D+36.5
Oldham 956 68.3% 424 30.3% 19 1,399 D+38.0
Metcalfe 718 51.7% 669 48.2% 2 1,389 D+3.5
McLean 799 58.4% 306 22.4% 263 1,368 D+36.0
Morgan 1,022 75.3% 335 24.7% 1,357 D+50.6
Livingston 1,073 79.4% 255 18.9% 23 1,351 D+60.5
Bullitt 1,017 78.1% 262 20.1% 23 1,302 D+58.0
Monroe 590 46.2% 664 52.0% 24 1,278 R+5.8
Lyon 781 61.4% 484 38.1% 7 1,272 D+23.3
Johnson 559 44.1% 707 55.7% 3 1,269 R+11.7
Laurel 560 44.9% 660 52.9% 27 1,247 R+8.0
Cumberland 596 49.2% 614 50.7% 2 1,212 R+1.5
Floyd 927 76.7% 282 23.3% 1,209 D+53.3
Spencer 881 73.3% 320 26.6% 1 1,202 D+46.7
Fulton 1,037 87.4% 148 12.5% 2 1,187 D+74.9
Trimble 1,058 89.9% 114 9.7% 5 1,177 D+80.2
Russell 647 55.1% 528 44.9% 1,175 D+10.1
Robertson 689 65.1% 359 33.9% 10 1,058 D+31.2
Casey 541 51.7% 469 44.8% 36 1,046 D+6.9
Breathitt 687 66.1% 351 33.8% 2 1,040 D+32.3
Hancock 810 77.9% 205 19.7% 25 1,040 D+58.2
Perry 326 34.7% 610 65.0% 3 939 R+30.2
Magoffin 489 52.8% 436 47.1% 1 926 D+5.7
Gallatin 678 74.0% 238 26.0% 916 D+48.0
Edmonson 479 53.9% 396 44.5% 14 889 D+9.3
Elliott 739 83.8% 141 16.0% 2 882 D+67.8
Clinton 342 39.1% 498 57.0% 34 874 R+17.8
Jackson 281 32.5% 576 66.6% 8 865 R+34.1
Wolfe 531 66.2% 270 33.7% 1 802 D+32.5
Harlan 179 22.7% 608 77.2% 1 788 R+54.4
Letcher 364 46.9% 412 53.1% 776 R+6.2
Owsley 215 29.0% 526 70.9% 1 742 R+41.9
Lee 352 48.9% 367 51.0% 1 720 R+2.1
Bell 234 33.7% 458 66.0% 2 694 R+32.3
Powell 344 57.9% 250 42.1% 594 D+15.8
Rowan 247 45.3% 298 54.7% 545 R+9.4
Menifee 401 78.5% 109 21.3% 1 511 D+57.1
Martin 94 28.5% 235 71.2% 1 330 R+42.7

Counties as they stood in 1876; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4