United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2008 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2008 presidential election in Kentucky

John McCain (Republican) beat Barack Obama (Democrat) in Kentucky in 2008, 57.4% to 41.2%, a margin of 16.2 points and 296,477 votes.

Kentucky voted 23.5 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+7.3.

The Republican hold continued from 2004, when George W. Bush won.

Republicans led in 112 of the 120 counties and Democrats in 8. The largest, Jefferson, cast 353,892 votes and went to the Democrat by 12.0 points. The closest was Bath, where 24 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John McCain won Republican 1,048,462 57.4%
Barack Obama Democratic 751,985 41.2%
All other candidates 26,173 1.4%
Total1,826,620

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Jefferson 196,435 55.5% 153,957 43.5% 3,500 353,892 D+12.0
Fayette 66,042 51.7% 59,884 46.9% 1,713 127,639 D+4.8
Kenton 26,480 38.8% 40,714 59.7% 1,019 68,213 R+20.9
Boone 16,292 32.1% 33,812 66.6% 670 50,774 R+34.5
Warren 17,669 40.0% 25,993 58.9% 483 44,145 R+18.9
Daviess 19,282 44.2% 23,692 54.3% 648 43,622 R+10.1
Campbell 15,622 38.8% 24,046 59.7% 629 40,297 R+20.9
Hardin 15,650 39.1% 23,896 59.8% 444 39,990 R+20.6
Madison 12,392 38.1% 19,694 60.5% 451 32,537 R+22.4
McCracken 11,285 36.7% 19,043 61.9% 426 30,754 R+25.2
Bullitt 10,177 33.1% 20,102 65.4% 447 30,726 R+32.3
Oldham 10,000 34.1% 18,997 64.8% 319 29,316 R+30.7
Pulaski 5,590 21.7% 19,862 77.1% 314 25,766 R+55.4
Franklin 11,767 48.9% 11,911 49.5% 401 24,079 R+0.6
Christian 8,880 39.0% 13,699 60.1% 199 22,778 R+21.2
Pike 9,525 42.1% 12,655 55.9% 463 22,643 R+13.8
Laurel 4,618 20.5% 17,660 78.5% 222 22,500 R+58.0
Boyd 8,886 43.0% 11,430 55.3% 354 20,670 R+12.3
Jessamine 6,236 30.8% 13,711 67.8% 267 20,214 R+37.0
Henderson 10,049 50.6% 9,523 47.9% 289 19,861 D+2.6
Scott 7,712 39.1% 11,782 59.7% 236 19,730 R+20.6
Hopkins 7,104 36.7% 11,916 61.6% 328 19,348 R+24.9
Shelby 6,871 37.1% 11,451 61.8% 218 18,540 R+24.7
Nelson 7,654 42.2% 10,139 55.9% 353 18,146 R+13.7
Barren 5,434 32.3% 11,133 66.2% 240 16,807 R+33.9
Graves 5,843 36.2% 10,056 62.2% 256 16,155 R+26.1
Greenup 6,621 41.9% 8,849 56.0% 328 15,798 R+14.1
Floyd 7,530 48.1% 7,741 49.4% 388 15,659 R+1.3
Clark 5,749 36.8% 9,664 61.8% 215 15,628 R+25.1
Marshall 5,683 36.7% 9,512 61.4% 292 15,487 R+24.7
Calloway 6,165 40.0% 8,991 58.4% 248 15,404 R+18.3
Whitley 3,484 25.4% 10,015 73.1% 205 13,704 R+47.7
Muhlenberg 6,221 48.3% 6,447 50.0% 221 12,889 R+1.8
Boyle 4,769 37.7% 7,701 60.9% 165 12,635 R+23.2
Woodford 5,027 40.9% 7,130 58.0% 140 12,297 R+17.1
Knox 3,074 27.0% 8,150 71.6% 165 11,389 R+44.6
Meade 4,343 38.8% 6,691 59.7% 172 11,206 R+21.0
Logan 3,811 35.0% 6,925 63.6% 154 10,890 R+28.6
Taylor 3,165 29.1% 7,568 69.7% 127 10,860 R+40.5
Anderson 3,462 32.8% 6,885 65.2% 205 10,552 R+32.4
Perry 3,444 33.2% 6,762 65.2% 169 10,375 R+32.0
Montgomery 4,234 41.0% 5,947 57.6% 150 10,331 R+16.6
Mercer 3,159 31.4% 6,781 67.4% 120 10,060 R+36.0
Ohio 4,059 40.8% 5,687 57.2% 192 9,938 R+16.4
Harlan 2,586 26.1% 7,165 72.3% 163 9,914 R+46.2
Grayson 3,154 31.8% 6,605 66.7% 144 9,903 R+34.8
Carter 4,316 44.0% 5,252 53.5% 245 9,813 R+9.5
Bell 2,782 29.0% 6,681 69.6% 135 9,598 R+40.6
Lincoln 2,752 30.1% 6,273 68.5% 126 9,151 R+38.5
Grant 3,112 35.5% 5,510 62.9% 132 8,754 R+27.4
Breckinridge 3,110 36.5% 5,281 62.0% 131 8,522 R+25.5
Johnson 2,407 28.3% 5,948 69.8% 162 8,517 R+41.6
Bourbon 3,385 40.6% 4,820 57.9% 125 8,330 R+17.2
Letcher 2,623 31.9% 5,367 65.2% 245 8,235 R+33.3
Rowan 4,074 50.0% 3,907 47.9% 173 8,154 D+2.0
Spencer 2,519 31.3% 5,378 66.8% 152 8,049 R+35.5
Marion 3,596 47.2% 3,842 50.5% 177 7,615 R+3.2
Harrison 2,916 38.4% 4,520 59.6% 154 7,590 R+21.1
Russell 1,569 21.0% 5,779 77.3% 127 7,475 R+56.3
Allen 2,024 27.4% 5,258 71.2% 108 7,390 R+43.8
Clay 1,552 21.1% 5,710 77.5% 102 7,364 R+56.5
Simpson 2,775 38.0% 4,437 60.7% 97 7,309 R+22.7
Adair 1,668 22.9% 5,512 75.5% 118 7,298 R+52.7
Garrard 2,012 27.9% 5,118 71.0% 80 7,210 R+43.1
Wayne 2,201 30.6% 4,868 67.6% 127 7,196 R+37.1
Mason 2,891 40.6% 4,102 57.6% 128 7,121 R+17.0
Henry 2,725 39.4% 4,081 59.0% 113 6,919 R+19.6
Hart 2,290 33.6% 4,397 64.5% 131 6,818 R+30.9
Trigg 2,246 34.4% 4,189 64.2% 92 6,527 R+29.8
Rockcastle 1,410 22.5% 4,757 75.8% 107 6,274 R+53.3
Caldwell 2,212 35.7% 3,866 62.4% 121 6,199 R+26.7
Larue 1,913 31.0% 4,153 67.2% 112 6,178 R+36.3
Union 2,804 46.5% 3,120 51.7% 110 6,034 R+5.2
Casey 1,219 20.5% 4,679 78.5% 59 5,957 R+58.1
Fleming 2,279 39.1% 3,432 58.8% 121 5,832 R+19.8
Knott 2,612 44.9% 3,070 52.7% 138 5,820 R+7.9
Pendleton 2,027 34.9% 3,676 63.4% 99 5,802 R+28.4
Lawrence 2,036 36.0% 3,503 62.0% 110 5,649 R+26.0
Webster 2,390 43.1% 3,037 54.8% 113 5,540 R+11.7
McCreary 1,258 23.3% 4,078 75.4% 71 5,407 R+52.2
Estill 1,555 29.3% 3,685 69.3% 74 5,314 R+40.1
Butler 1,555 29.3% 3,696 69.6% 56 5,307 R+40.3
Washington 1,890 35.8% 3,305 62.7% 80 5,275 R+26.8
Edmonson 1,652 31.3% 3,562 67.6% 56 5,270 R+36.2
Jackson 743 14.2% 4,407 84.4% 74 5,224 R+70.1
Green 1,204 23.7% 3,785 74.5% 90 5,079 R+50.8
Breathitt 2,205 43.8% 2,671 53.1% 154 5,030 R+9.3
Powell 2,065 41.5% 2,837 57.1% 70 4,972 R+15.5
Todd 1,543 31.2% 3,336 67.5% 62 4,941 R+36.3
Lewis 1,510 31.5% 3,213 67.1% 68 4,791 R+35.5
Owen 1,694 35.7% 2,969 62.5% 88 4,751 R+26.8
Monroe 1,067 22.9% 3,537 75.8% 61 4,665 R+52.9
Magoffin 2,105 45.3% 2,434 52.3% 112 4,651 R+7.1
Livingston 1,622 35.3% 2,890 62.9% 81 4,593 R+27.6
Bath 2,210 48.6% 2,234 49.2% 99 4,543 R+0.5
McLean 1,963 44.4% 2,386 54.0% 73 4,422 R+9.6
Leslie 766 17.4% 3,574 81.3% 57 4,397 R+63.9
Morgan 1,879 42.9% 2,396 54.7% 104 4,379 R+11.8
Metcalfe 1,350 32.2% 2,734 65.1% 115 4,199 R+33.0
Clinton 761 18.2% 3,366 80.7% 45 4,172 R+62.4
Hancock 2,135 51.5% 1,928 46.5% 81 4,144 D+5.0
Ballard 1,427 35.1% 2,537 62.5% 96 4,060 R+27.3
Crittenden 1,254 31.9% 2,604 66.3% 72 3,930 R+34.4
Lyon 1,577 40.9% 2,220 57.6% 58 3,855 R+16.7
Carroll 1,716 44.7% 2,032 53.0% 87 3,835 R+8.2
Trimble 1,484 38.9% 2,239 58.7% 89 3,812 R+19.8
Martin 808 21.9% 2,824 76.5% 60 3,692 R+54.6
Bracken 1,241 36.5% 2,066 60.8% 92 3,399 R+24.3
Gallatin 1,278 40.0% 1,840 57.6% 75 3,193 R+17.6
Nicholas 1,272 42.8% 1,634 55.0% 64 2,970 R+12.2
Wolfe 1,493 50.3% 1,408 47.4% 67 2,968 D+2.9
Fulton 1,238 43.8% 1,530 54.2% 57 2,825 R+10.3
Cumberland 697 24.9% 2,056 73.5% 44 2,797 R+48.6
Lee 752 27.1% 1,978 71.3% 43 2,773 R+44.2
Carlisle 879 33.6% 1,699 64.9% 39 2,617 R+31.3
Elliott 1,535 61.0% 902 35.9% 78 2,515 D+25.2
Menifee 1,276 51.3% 1,155 46.4% 58 2,489 D+4.9
Hickman 812 36.1% 1,406 62.5% 32 2,250 R+26.4
Owsley 381 22.6% 1,279 75.9% 26 1,686 R+53.3
Robertson 451 44.4% 533 52.5% 31 1,015 R+8.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Kentucky in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+25.9
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+22.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+16.2
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+19.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+1.0
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+3.2
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+11.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+1.4
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+7.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+28.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+6.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+28.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.2
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+9.1
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+0.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+15.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+15.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.8
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+3.0
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+0.6
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.4
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+23.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+2.7
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+1.7
1896 William McKinley (R) R+0.1
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+11.7
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+8.3
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+12.4
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+15.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+24.0
1872 Third party (other)
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+49.4