United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2008 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2008 presidential election in Arkansas

John McCain (Republican) beat Barack Obama (Democrat) in Arkansas in 2008, 58.7% to 38.9%, a margin of 19.9 points and 215,707 votes.

Arkansas voted 27.1 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+7.3.

The Republican hold continued from 2004, when George W. Bush won.

Republicans led in 66 of the 75 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, Pulaski, cast 161,343 votes and went to the Democrat by 11.6 points. The closest was Monroe, where 139 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John McCain won Republican 638,017 58.7%
Barack Obama Democratic 422,310 38.9%
All other candidates 26,290 2.4%
Total1,086,617

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Pulaski 88,854 55.1% 70,212 43.5% 2,277 161,343 D+11.6
Benton 23,331 30.7% 51,124 67.2% 1,618 76,073 R+36.5
Washington 29,021 42.4% 37,963 55.5% 1,396 68,380 R+13.1
Saline 12,695 28.4% 30,981 69.4% 977 44,653 R+41.0
Garland 15,899 36.4% 26,825 61.4% 995 43,719 R+25.0
Sebastian 13,673 31.6% 28,637 66.3% 902 43,212 R+34.6
Faulkner 14,955 36.3% 25,362 61.6% 862 41,179 R+25.3
Craighead 11,294 36.5% 18,881 61.0% 793 30,968 R+24.5
Jefferson 18,465 62.2% 10,655 35.9% 569 29,689 D+26.3
White 6,732 25.0% 19,467 72.2% 756 26,955 R+47.2
Lonoke 5,968 25.1% 17,242 72.6% 531 23,741 R+47.5
Pope 6,002 27.2% 15,568 70.5% 509 22,079 R+43.3
Crawford 5,238 25.5% 14,688 71.5% 606 20,532 R+46.0
Baxter 6,539 32.7% 12,852 64.3% 590 19,981 R+31.6
Crittenden 10,330 56.6% 7,650 41.9% 275 18,255 D+14.7
Union 6,190 36.0% 10,677 62.2% 312 17,179 R+26.1
Boone 4,435 28.7% 10,575 68.3% 464 15,474 R+39.7
Miller 4,869 32.3% 9,913 65.8% 281 15,063 R+33.5
Mississippi 6,667 47.6% 6,976 49.8% 367 14,010 R+2.2
Greene 4,541 33.4% 8,578 63.0% 493 13,612 R+29.7
Independence 3,688 30.0% 8,255 67.1% 356 12,299 R+37.1
Hot Spring 4,288 35.9% 7,209 60.3% 458 11,955 R+24.4
Cleburne 2,951 26.0% 7,962 70.2% 425 11,338 R+44.2
Carroll 4,172 39.4% 6,083 57.5% 324 10,579 R+18.1
Ouachita 4,346 43.6% 5,427 54.5% 187 9,960 R+10.9
Columbia 3,554 37.2% 5,861 61.3% 143 9,558 R+24.1
St. Francis 5,486 57.7% 3,917 41.2% 102 9,505 D+16.5
Clark 4,267 46.9% 4,608 50.7% 219 9,094 R+3.7
Phillips 5,695 63.5% 3,097 34.5% 177 8,969 D+29.0
Ashley 2,976 34.4% 5,406 62.6% 260 8,642 R+28.1
Johnson 3,034 37.1% 4,922 60.2% 224 8,180 R+23.1
Conway 3,149 38.7% 4,691 57.6% 298 8,138 R+18.9
Poinsett 2,742 34.6% 4,903 61.8% 283 7,928 R+27.3
Logan 2,286 28.9% 5,350 67.7% 271 7,907 R+38.8
Polk 1,957 25.5% 5,473 71.3% 251 7,681 R+45.8
Hempstead 2,869 39.0% 4,273 58.1% 207 7,349 R+19.1
Sharp 2,436 33.6% 4,535 62.5% 281 7,252 R+28.9
Marion 2,384 33.3% 4,524 63.2% 254 7,162 R+29.9
Cross 2,580 36.2% 4,393 61.6% 157 7,130 R+25.4
Arkansas 2,619 37.5% 4,185 60.0% 174 6,978 R+22.4
Grant 1,562 23.0% 5,023 73.9% 208 6,793 R+50.9
Van Buren 2,151 32.1% 4,276 63.8% 276 6,703 R+31.7
Drew 2,598 39.3% 3,860 58.4% 152 6,610 R+19.1
Franklin 1,869 28.9% 4,411 68.1% 195 6,475 R+39.3
Madison 2,144 33.9% 3,972 62.8% 212 6,328 R+28.9
Randolph 2,469 39.1% 3,615 57.2% 235 6,319 R+18.1
Yell 2,003 33.2% 3,808 63.1% 225 6,036 R+29.9
Lawrence 2,138 36.7% 3,357 57.6% 335 5,830 R+20.9
Jackson 2,207 39.5% 3,118 55.9% 257 5,582 R+16.3
Clay 2,244 40.7% 3,032 55.0% 235 5,511 R+14.3
Stone 1,598 30.0% 3,534 66.4% 192 5,324 R+36.4
Izard 1,792 34.3% 3,193 61.2% 233 5,218 R+26.8
Chicot 3,043 58.4% 2,119 40.7% 46 5,208 D+17.7
Little River 1,753 34.0% 3,247 63.0% 152 5,152 R+29.0
Howard 1,746 36.0% 2,957 61.0% 143 4,846 R+25.0
Desha 2,569 54.9% 1,999 42.7% 110 4,678 D+12.2
Fulton 1,819 38.9% 2,702 57.8% 155 4,676 R+18.9
Sevier 1,291 28.2% 3,125 68.2% 164 4,580 R+40.0
Lincoln 1,710 38.8% 2,513 57.0% 183 4,406 R+18.2
Perry 1,352 31.6% 2,743 64.1% 184 4,279 R+32.5
Bradley 1,680 41.6% 2,262 56.0% 99 4,041 R+14.4
Scott 1,053 26.4% 2,791 69.9% 151 3,995 R+43.5
Pike 1,089 27.5% 2,727 68.8% 150 3,966 R+41.3
Newton 1,182 29.8% 2,588 65.4% 190 3,960 R+35.5
Searcy 961 25.0% 2,726 70.9% 160 3,847 R+45.9
Lee 2,263 60.1% 1,454 38.6% 46 3,763 D+21.5
Nevada 1,474 40.6% 2,062 56.7% 99 3,635 R+16.2
Montgomery 1,092 30.1% 2,365 65.3% 165 3,622 R+35.1
Cleveland 911 26.0% 2,451 69.9% 143 3,505 R+43.9
Monroe 1,615 46.8% 1,754 50.9% 80 3,449 R+4.0
Prairie 1,048 31.0% 2,223 65.7% 110 3,381 R+34.8
Dallas 1,471 44.3% 1,757 53.0% 90 3,318 R+8.6
Lafayette 1,133 39.0% 1,685 58.1% 84 2,902 R+19.0
Woodruff 1,412 51.1% 1,206 43.7% 143 2,761 D+7.5
Calhoun 691 31.2% 1,462 65.9% 64 2,217 R+34.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arkansas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.6
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+27.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.9
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+23.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+19.9
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+9.8
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+5.4
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+17.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+14.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.6
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+30.1
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.1
1968 George Wallace (other)
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+12.7
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+7.1
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+6.6
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+12.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+40.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.1
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+58.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+63.9
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+73.1
1928 Al Smith (D) D+20.9
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+31.9
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+19.8
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+37.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+34.6
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+20.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+15.2
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+28.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+48.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+27.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+16.8
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+17.1
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+17.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+20.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.3
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.4