United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Arkansas

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Joe Biden (Democrat) in Arkansas in 2020, 62.4% to 34.8%, a margin of 27.6 points and 336,715 votes.

Arkansas voted 32.1 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2016, when Donald Trump also won.

Republicans led in 67 of the 75 counties and Democrats in 8. The largest, Pulaski, cast 169,951 votes and went to the Democrat by 22.5 points. The closest was Desha, where 95 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 760,647 62.4%
Joe Biden Democratic 423,932 34.8%
All other candidates 34,490 2.8%
Total1,219,069

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Pulaski 101,943 60.0% 63,686 37.5% 4,322 169,951 D+22.5
Benton 42,252 35.2% 73,969 61.7% 3,698 119,919 R+26.4
Washington 43,822 46.5% 47,500 50.4% 2,938 94,260 R+3.9
Saline 16,061 28.2% 39,555 69.4% 1,343 56,959 R+41.2
Faulkner 18,348 33.7% 34,424 63.2% 1,660 54,432 R+29.5
Sebastian 14,487 30.7% 31,185 66.2% 1,455 47,127 R+35.4
Garland 14,043 31.8% 29,062 65.8% 1,085 44,190 R+34.0
Craighead 11,921 31.0% 25,558 66.4% 1,032 38,511 R+35.4
White 5,978 19.4% 24,182 78.3% 725 30,885 R+58.9
Lonoke 6,686 21.8% 22,883 74.6% 1,092 30,661 R+52.8
Jefferson 14,981 59.5% 9,521 37.8% 656 25,158 D+21.7
Pope 5,776 23.6% 18,098 74.0% 580 24,454 R+50.4
Crawford 4,959 20.6% 18,619 77.2% 525 24,103 R+56.7
Baxter 4,634 22.1% 15,834 75.4% 536 21,004 R+53.3
Boone 3,064 17.9% 13,652 79.8% 398 17,114 R+61.9
Union 5,583 33.6% 10,476 63.1% 545 16,604 R+29.5
Miller 4,245 25.7% 11,920 72.1% 364 16,529 R+46.4
Crittenden 8,514 52.0% 7,333 44.8% 520 16,367 D+7.2
Greene 3,058 19.0% 12,670 78.7% 373 16,101 R+59.7
Independence 2,806 19.3% 11,250 77.5% 456 14,512 R+58.2
Cleburne 1,988 15.7% 10,328 81.5% 364 12,680 R+65.8
Hot Spring 3,084 24.5% 9,208 73.3% 273 12,565 R+48.7
Mississippi 4,558 36.9% 7,295 59.1% 488 12,341 R+22.2
Carroll 4,022 34.1% 7,424 62.9% 351 11,797 R+28.8
Ouachita 3,995 41.5% 5,294 55.0% 340 9,629 R+13.5
Johnson 2,276 24.0% 6,925 73.1% 277 9,478 R+49.1
Conway 2,616 30.1% 5,697 65.6% 376 8,689 R+35.5
Columbia 2,814 32.7% 5,500 63.8% 302 8,616 R+31.2
Polk 1,246 14.7% 7,034 82.9% 209 8,489 R+68.2
Clark 3,438 40.9% 4,617 55.0% 342 8,397 R+14.0
Logan 1,550 18.8% 6,450 78.3% 241 8,241 R+59.5
Grant 1,268 15.5% 6,794 82.9% 138 8,200 R+67.4
Ashley 2,125 26.8% 5,547 70.0% 253 7,925 R+43.2
Van Buren 1,593 20.4% 6,034 77.3% 181 7,808 R+56.9
Sharp 1,398 18.5% 5,936 78.5% 230 7,564 R+60.0
Poinsett 1,424 18.9% 5,918 78.7% 179 7,521 R+59.8
Marion 1,531 20.4% 5,784 77.1% 190 7,505 R+56.7
Madison 1,563 21.3% 5,658 77.0% 130 7,351 R+55.7
Franklin 1,301 18.2% 5,679 79.6% 152 7,132 R+61.4
St. Francis 3,603 50.7% 3,240 45.6% 263 7,106 D+5.1
Cross 1,772 25.5% 4,946 71.2% 224 6,942 R+45.7
Drew 2,426 35.1% 4,349 63.0% 133 6,908 R+27.8
Hempstead 2,138 31.2% 4,470 65.3% 240 6,848 R+34.1
Randolph 1,215 17.8% 5,355 78.6% 242 6,812 R+60.8
Yell 1,280 19.0% 5,210 77.5% 230 6,720 R+58.5
Arkansas 1,818 28.9% 4,304 68.4% 170 6,292 R+39.5
Phillips 3,623 58.0% 2,417 38.7% 202 6,242 D+19.3
Stone 1,180 19.9% 4,616 77.7% 142 5,938 R+57.9
Lawrence 1,080 18.4% 4,569 78.0% 207 5,856 R+59.6
Izard 1,021 17.6% 4,631 79.7% 159 5,811 R+62.1
Sevier 1,116 21.5% 3,883 74.7% 202 5,201 R+53.2
Clay 962 18.6% 4,086 78.8% 135 5,183 R+60.3
Little River 1,226 23.7% 3,715 71.8% 236 5,177 R+48.1
Fulton 1,035 20.2% 3,962 77.4% 123 5,120 R+57.2
Jackson 1,365 26.8% 3,593 70.6% 133 5,091 R+43.8
Howard 1,340 27.7% 3,368 69.7% 127 4,835 R+41.9
Perry 1,013 21.9% 3,475 75.2% 136 4,624 R+53.2
Pike 644 15.2% 3,518 82.9% 83 4,245 R+67.7
Desha 2,016 48.4% 1,921 46.1% 226 4,163 D+2.3
Chicot 2,260 55.1% 1,752 42.7% 91 4,103 D+12.4
Searcy 588 14.6% 3,366 83.7% 66 4,020 R+69.1
Newton 709 17.7% 3,192 79.8% 97 3,998 R+62.1
Lincoln 1,032 26.6% 2,729 70.4% 114 3,875 R+43.8
Montgomery 731 18.9% 3,046 78.6% 96 3,873 R+59.8
Bradley 1,214 33.2% 2,336 63.9% 105 3,655 R+30.7
Cleveland 651 18.1% 2,868 79.6% 82 3,601 R+61.6
Scott 483 13.6% 2,962 83.4% 106 3,551 R+69.8
Prairie 654 18.7% 2,787 79.7% 55 3,496 R+61.0
Nevada 1,076 32.0% 2,133 63.5% 149 3,358 R+31.5
Lee 1,423 49.9% 1,287 45.2% 140 2,850 D+4.8
Monroe 1,147 40.7% 1,545 54.9% 124 2,816 R+14.1
Lafayette 839 31.3% 1,757 65.6% 83 2,679 R+34.3
Dallas 963 36.4% 1,572 59.4% 113 2,648 R+23.0
Woodruff 856 34.6% 1,543 62.3% 77 2,476 R+27.7
Calhoun 480 22.0% 1,638 75.0% 66 2,184 R+53.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arkansas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+30.6
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+27.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+26.9
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+23.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+19.9
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+9.8
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+5.4
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+17.7
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+14.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.2
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+0.6
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+30.1
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.1
1968 George Wallace (other)
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+12.7
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+7.1
1956 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+6.6
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+12.1
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+40.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+40.1
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+58.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+63.9
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+73.1
1928 Al Smith (D) D+20.9
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+31.9
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+19.8
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+37.2
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+34.6
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+20.0
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+15.2
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+28.5
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+48.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+27.5
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+16.8
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+17.1
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+17.1
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+20.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.3
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+7.4