United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Minnesota

Joe Biden (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Minnesota in 2020, 52.4% to 45.3%, a margin of 7.1 points and 233,012 votes.

Minnesota voted 2.7 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2016, when Hillary Clinton won.

Republicans led in 74 of the 87 counties and Democrats in 13. The largest, Hennepin, cast 755,917 votes and went to the Democrat by 43.2 points. The closest was Mahnomen, where 30 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Joe Biden won Democratic 1,717,077 52.4%
Donald Trump Republican 1,484,065 45.3%
All other candidates 76,029 2.3%
Total3,277,171

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Hennepin 532,613 70.5% 205,933 27.2% 17,371 755,917 D+43.2
Ramsey 211,614 71.5% 77,395 26.1% 6,982 295,991 D+45.3
Dakota 146,090 55.7% 109,615 41.8% 6,464 262,169 D+13.9
Anoka 100,971 47.8% 104,957 49.7% 5,341 211,269 R+1.9
Washington 89,163 53.5% 73,755 44.2% 3,856 166,774 D+9.2
Saint Louis 67,705 56.6% 49,017 41.0% 2,809 119,531 D+15.6
Olmsted 49,492 54.2% 39,693 43.4% 2,202 91,387 D+10.7
Scott 40,044 45.5% 45,872 52.1% 2,053 87,969 R+6.6
Stearns 31,872 37.6% 50,951 60.1% 1,998 84,821 R+22.5
Wright 28,414 34.5% 51,945 63.1% 2,021 82,380 R+28.6
Carver 30,776 46.4% 34,012 51.2% 1,578 66,366 R+4.9
Sherburne 18,100 32.5% 36,267 65.1% 1,327 55,694 R+32.6
Crow Wing 13,725 34.2% 25,674 63.9% 771 40,170 R+29.7
Otter Tail 11,959 32.9% 23,802 65.4% 641 36,402 R+32.5
Blue Earth 18,359 50.9% 16,750 46.4% 991 36,100 D+4.5
Rice 17,407 48.8% 17,467 48.9% 820 35,694 R+0.2
Chisago 11,801 34.2% 21,905 63.4% 848 34,554 R+29.2
Clay 16,357 50.7% 15,043 46.7% 840 32,240 D+4.1
Goodhue 11,809 41.2% 16,055 56.1% 779 28,643 R+14.8
Winona 13,338 49.1% 13,231 48.7% 613 27,182 D+0.4
Itasca 10,785 40.6% 15,237 57.4% 536 26,558 R+16.8
Isanti 7,141 29.5% 16,498 68.0% 606 24,245 R+38.6
Beltrami 11,424 47.2% 12,187 50.4% 575 24,186 R+3.2
Douglas 7,868 32.6% 15,798 65.4% 498 24,164 R+32.8
Kandiyohi 8,440 36.1% 14,436 61.8% 490 23,366 R+25.7
Benton 7,264 32.7% 14,366 64.6% 597 22,227 R+32.0
Steele 7,916 37.5% 12,655 59.9% 554 21,125 R+22.4
McLeod 6,413 30.6% 13,985 66.8% 534 20,932 R+36.2
Carlton 10,097 49.6% 9,790 48.1% 481 20,368 D+1.5
Morrison 4,367 22.3% 14,823 75.8% 370 19,560 R+53.5
Becker 6,589 34.0% 12,438 64.1% 373 19,400 R+30.1
Mower 8,899 46.0% 10,026 51.8% 421 19,346 R+5.8
Nicollet 9,624 50.2% 9,047 47.2% 485 19,156 D+3.0
Cass 6,343 34.7% 11,622 63.5% 328 18,293 R+28.9
Freeborn 6,889 41.0% 9,578 56.9% 352 16,819 R+16.0
Le Sueur 5,636 33.7% 10,724 64.1% 368 16,728 R+30.4
Pine 5,419 33.9% 10,256 64.1% 325 16,000 R+30.2
Polk 5,439 34.9% 9,865 63.3% 290 15,594 R+28.4
Mille Lacs 4,404 30.0% 9,952 67.7% 334 14,690 R+37.8
Brown 4,722 32.4% 9,505 65.3% 327 14,554 R+32.9
Meeker 3,867 28.6% 9,359 69.2% 303 13,529 R+40.6
Todd 3,285 24.8% 9,751 73.6% 218 13,254 R+48.8
Wabasha 4,693 35.8% 8,150 62.1% 274 13,117 R+26.4
Hubbard 4,463 34.4% 8,202 63.3% 300 12,965 R+28.8
Lyon 4,634 35.9% 7,979 61.9% 279 12,892 R+25.9
Dodge 4,081 33.5% 7,785 63.9% 325 12,191 R+30.4
Fillmore 4,550 37.5% 7,300 60.1% 289 12,139 R+22.7
Houston 4,847 42.4% 6,327 55.4% 253 11,427 R+13.0
Martin 3,305 30.0% 7,480 67.9% 224 11,009 R+37.9
Waseca 3,496 33.7% 6,623 63.8% 269 10,388 R+30.1
Aitkin 3,607 36.0% 6,259 62.4% 160 10,026 R+26.5
Kanabec 2,775 30.0% 6,281 67.9% 190 9,246 R+37.9
Nobles 2,933 33.7% 5,599 64.3% 182 8,714 R+30.6
Sibley 2,452 28.7% 5,913 69.2% 174 8,539 R+40.5
Roseau 2,188 26.0% 6,065 72.0% 168 8,421 R+46.0
Redwood 2,355 28.4% 5,771 69.7% 157 8,283 R+41.2
Renville 2,497 30.7% 5,468 67.3% 165 8,130 R+36.5
Faribault 2,531 32.0% 5,191 65.6% 191 7,913 R+33.6
Wadena 2,024 26.4% 5,521 71.9% 134 7,679 R+45.5
Pennington 2,568 35.3% 4,532 62.3% 177 7,277 R+27.0
Lake 3,648 50.6% 3,395 47.1% 161 7,204 D+3.5
Pope 2,477 35.3% 4,418 62.9% 128 7,023 R+27.6
Koochiching 2,659 38.4% 4,131 59.7% 133 6,923 R+21.3
Chippewa 2,228 33.7% 4,254 64.3% 135 6,617 R+30.6
Cottonwood 1,834 30.0% 4,166 68.2% 108 6,108 R+38.2
Jackson 1,745 30.0% 3,948 67.8% 127 5,820 R+37.9
Yellow Medicine 1,686 30.5% 3,732 67.6% 105 5,523 R+37.0
Rock 1,556 29.7% 3,583 68.4% 101 5,240 R+38.7
Watonwan 1,987 38.2% 3,103 59.7% 111 5,201 R+21.5
Swift 1,784 34.3% 3,317 63.9% 93 5,194 R+29.5
Marshall 1,295 25.3% 3,721 72.8% 98 5,114 R+47.4
Stevens 1,922 37.8% 3,044 59.9% 119 5,085 R+22.1
Pipestone 1,306 26.4% 3,553 71.9% 81 4,940 R+45.5
Murray 1,449 29.6% 3,363 68.7% 85 4,897 R+39.1
Clearwater 1,261 26.8% 3,373 71.6% 76 4,710 R+44.8
Lac Qui Parle 1,446 35.8% 2,528 62.6% 66 4,040 R+26.8
Cook 2,496 65.6% 1,203 31.6% 107 3,806 D+34.0
Grant 1,300 35.6% 2,269 62.1% 85 3,654 R+26.5
Norman 1,404 40.8% 1,953 56.8% 84 3,441 R+16.0
Wilkin 1,026 29.9% 2,328 67.9% 76 3,430 R+38.0
Lincoln 937 30.1% 2,121 68.1% 57 3,115 R+38.0
Big Stone 1,053 35.4% 1,863 62.6% 58 2,974 R+27.2
Kittson 1,006 38.1% 1,546 58.6% 87 2,639 R+20.5
Lake of the Woods 671 27.9% 1,704 70.8% 33 2,408 R+42.9
Mahnomen 1,111 48.2% 1,141 49.5% 51 2,303 R+1.3
Red Lake 691 31.5% 1,454 66.2% 51 2,196 R+34.7
Traverse 661 35.5% 1,172 62.9% 31 1,864 R+27.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Minnesota in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+4.2
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+7.1
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+1.5
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+7.7
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.2
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+2.4
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+16.1
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+11.6
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+7.0
1984 Walter Mondale (D) D+0.2
1980 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+12.9
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+5.5
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+12.5
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+27.8
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+1.4
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+7.6
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.2
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+17.3
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+5.5
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+30.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+23.6
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+16.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+44.4
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+51.2
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+0.1
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+26.2
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+55.1
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.5
1896 William McKinley (R) R+15.4
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.2
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+14.5
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+21.9
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+26.9
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+19.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+22.7
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+21.8