United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2020 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2020 presidential election in Michigan

Joe Biden (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Michigan in 2020, 50.6% to 47.8%, a margin of 2.8 points and 154,188 votes.

Michigan voted 1.7 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

Michigan changed party: in 2016 it went Republican, for Donald Trump.

Republicans led in 72 of the 83 counties and Democrats in 11. The largest, Wayne, cast 872,228 votes and went to the Democrat by 38.1 points. The closest was Keweenaw, where 190 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Joe Biden won Democratic 2,804,040 50.6%
Donald Trump Republican 2,649,852 47.8%
All other candidates 85,410 1.5%
Total5,539,302

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wayne 597,028 68.4% 264,541 30.3% 10,659 872,228 D+38.1
Oakland 434,158 56.4% 325,974 42.3% 10,091 770,223 D+14.0
Macomb 224,080 45.3% 263,866 53.4% 6,405 494,351 R+8.0
Kent 187,912 52.1% 165,737 45.9% 7,183 360,832 D+6.1
Genesee 119,338 54.0% 98,651 44.6% 3,210 221,199 D+9.4
Washtenaw 157,139 72.7% 56,244 26.0% 2,903 216,286 D+46.6
Ottawa 64,708 38.4% 100,917 59.8% 3,009 168,634 R+21.5
Ingham 93,693 65.2% 47,360 33.0% 2,642 143,695 D+32.2
Kalamazoo 83,685 58.4% 56,821 39.6% 2,867 143,373 D+18.7
Livingston 48,270 37.9% 77,042 60.5% 1,966 127,278 R+22.6
Saginaw 51,089 49.4% 50,787 49.1% 1,474 103,350 D+0.3
Muskegon 45,644 49.4% 45,134 48.8% 1,659 92,437 D+0.6
St. Clair 31,365 34.1% 59,190 64.3% 1,516 92,071 R+30.2
Monroe 32,979 37.8% 52,721 60.5% 1,464 87,164 R+22.6
Berrien 37,320 45.4% 43,405 52.8% 1,413 82,138 R+7.4
Jackson 31,995 39.6% 47,372 58.6% 1,478 80,845 R+19.0
Allegan 24,456 36.5% 41,393 61.7% 1,241 67,090 R+25.2
Calhoun 28,877 43.6% 36,222 54.7% 1,178 66,277 R+11.1
Eaton 31,162 48.7% 31,660 49.4% 1,203 64,025 R+0.8
Bay 26,186 43.4% 33,156 55.0% 981 60,323 R+11.6
Grand Traverse 28,682 47.6% 30,502 50.6% 1,042 60,226 R+3.0
Lenawee 20,918 39.2% 31,542 59.1% 915 53,375 R+19.9
Lapeer 16,367 31.1% 35,485 67.4% 791 52,643 R+36.3
Midland 20,458 41.7% 27,643 56.4% 901 49,002 R+14.7
Clinton 22,609 46.2% 25,491 52.1% 859 48,959 R+5.9
Shiawassee 15,362 39.1% 23,172 59.0% 726 39,260 R+19.9
Van Buren 16,795 43.0% 21,589 55.3% 669 39,053 R+12.3
Marquette 20,464 54.6% 16,285 43.5% 707 37,456 D+11.2
Barry 11,797 32.9% 23,472 65.4% 637 35,906 R+32.5
Ionia 10,901 33.8% 20,656 64.1% 647 32,204 R+30.3
Montcalm 9,703 30.2% 21,813 68.0% 568 32,084 R+37.7
Tuscola 8,712 29.6% 20,297 68.9% 433 29,442 R+39.3
Isabella 14,081 47.8% 14,834 50.4% 523 29,438 R+2.6
St. Joseph 9,262 33.2% 18,127 64.9% 547 27,936 R+31.7
Newaygo 7,875 29.0% 18,860 69.4% 426 27,161 R+40.4
Cass 9,248 35.0% 16,812 63.6% 393 26,453 R+28.6
Hillsdale 5,883 25.3% 17,036 73.2% 368 23,287 R+47.9
Sanilac 5,966 26.6% 16,192 72.1% 286 22,444 R+45.6
Emmet 9,660 43.6% 12,132 54.7% 380 22,172 R+11.1
Delta 7,606 36.0% 13,207 62.4% 338 21,151 R+26.5
Mecosta 7,375 35.0% 13,266 63.0% 404 21,045 R+28.0
Branch 6,159 30.0% 14,064 68.5% 313 20,536 R+38.5
Gratiot 6,693 35.0% 12,102 63.3% 331 19,126 R+28.3
Houghton 7,750 41.9% 10,378 56.1% 373 18,501 R+14.2
Huron 5,490 29.8% 12,730 69.0% 216 18,436 R+39.3
Wexford 5,838 32.0% 12,101 66.3% 324 18,263 R+34.3
Chippewa 6,648 37.7% 10,681 60.6% 310 17,639 R+22.9
Mason 6,802 39.4% 10,207 59.2% 241 17,250 R+19.7
Charlevoix 6,940 40.8% 9,843 57.9% 221 17,004 R+17.1
Alpena 6,000 35.4% 10,686 63.0% 280 16,966 R+27.6
Leelanau 8,796 52.0% 7,917 46.8% 187 16,900 D+5.2
Clare 5,189 31.9% 10,841 66.7% 220 16,250 R+34.8
Antrim 5,961 37.4% 9,750 61.1% 242 15,953 R+23.8
Cheboygan 5,438 34.3% 10,187 64.2% 244 15,869 R+29.9
Iosco 5,373 35.0% 9,758 63.5% 227 15,358 R+28.6
Roscommon 5,165 34.4% 9,669 64.4% 182 15,016 R+30.0
Otsego 4,741 32.1% 9,775 66.3% 234 14,750 R+34.1
Manistee 6,107 41.7% 8,322 56.8% 226 14,655 R+15.1
Gladwin 4,524 31.0% 9,893 67.7% 186 14,603 R+36.8
Dickinson 4,744 32.5% 9,617 65.9% 228 14,589 R+33.4
Oceana 4,944 35.2% 8,892 63.2% 227 14,063 R+28.1
Menominee 4,316 34.2% 8,117 64.4% 173 12,606 R+30.2
Osceola 3,215 26.1% 8,930 72.4% 187 12,332 R+46.3
Benzie 5,480 44.7% 6,601 53.8% 179 12,260 R+9.1
Ogemaw 3,475 29.2% 8,253 69.3% 179 11,907 R+40.1
Kalkaska 3,003 28.3% 7,435 70.0% 188 10,626 R+41.7
Arenac 2,774 31.4% 5,928 67.1% 129 8,831 R+35.7
Missaukee 1,969 22.5% 6,652 75.9% 139 8,760 R+53.5
Presque Isle 2,911 34.9% 5,343 64.0% 89 8,343 R+29.2
Gogebic 3,570 43.2% 4,600 55.6% 96 8,266 R+12.5
Crawford 2,672 34.0% 5,086 64.7% 102 7,860 R+30.7
Alcona 2,142 30.3% 4,848 68.6% 73 7,063 R+38.3
Mackinac 2,632 37.5% 4,303 61.3% 79 7,014 R+23.8
Iron 2,493 36.7% 4,216 62.1% 81 6,790 R+25.4
Lake 2,288 36.2% 3,946 62.4% 88 6,322 R+26.2
Montmorency 1,627 27.8% 4,169 71.2% 61 5,857 R+43.4
Alger 2,053 40.0% 3,014 58.8% 61 5,128 R+18.7
Oscoda 1,343 27.5% 3,467 71.1% 66 4,876 R+43.6
Schoolcraft 1,589 33.5% 3,090 65.1% 66 4,745 R+31.6
Baraga 1,478 36.6% 2,512 62.2% 46 4,036 R+25.6
Ontonagon 1,391 36.6% 2,358 62.0% 55 3,804 R+25.4
Luce 843 28.1% 2,110 70.3% 50 3,003 R+42.2
Keweenaw 672 43.2% 862 55.4% 22 1,556 R+12.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Michigan in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.4
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+2.8
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+16.5
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.4
2000 Al Gore (D) D+5.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+13.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+7.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+19.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.5
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+5.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+14.4
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+6.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+33.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.0
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+0.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+41.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+62.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+50.5
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+8.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+29.5
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+43.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+19.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+10.3
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.9
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+0.8
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+15.2
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+8.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+27.2
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+14.0