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Election 1948 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1948 presidential election in Michigan

Thomas E. Dewey (Republican) beat Harry S. Truman (Democrat) in Michigan in 1948, 49.2% to 47.6%, a margin of 1.7 points and 35,147 votes.

Michigan voted 6.1 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

Michigan changed party: in 1944 it went Democratic, for Franklin D. Roosevelt.

Republicans led in 71 of the 83 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 12. The largest, Wayne, cast 846,106 votes and went to the Democrat by 19.8 points. The closest was Schoolcraft, where 62 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Thomas E. Dewey won Republican 1,038,595 49.2%
Harry S. Truman Democratic 1,003,448 47.6%
All other candidates 67,566 3.2%
Total2,109,609

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wayne 489,654 57.9% 321,773 38.0% 34,679 846,106 D+19.8
Oakland 51,491 44.1% 62,516 53.5% 2,859 116,866 R+9.4
Kent 43,205 43.7% 53,669 54.3% 1,902 98,776 R+10.6
Genesee 45,032 52.2% 38,270 44.4% 2,926 86,228 D+7.8
Ingham 19,366 36.8% 31,868 60.6% 1,341 52,575 R+23.8
Macomb 25,265 53.0% 21,205 44.5% 1,190 47,660 D+8.5
Kalamazoo 16,393 39.5% 23,799 57.3% 1,325 41,517 R+17.8
Saginaw 16,995 41.7% 22,923 56.3% 815 40,733 R+14.6
Washtenaw 12,721 33.0% 24,588 63.8% 1,258 38,567 R+30.8
Berrien 14,516 38.9% 22,003 58.9% 842 37,361 R+20.0
Muskegon 20,631 55.6% 15,382 41.5% 1,094 37,107 D+14.1
Calhoun 15,077 43.0% 19,285 54.9% 734 35,096 R+12.0
Jackson 12,809 36.6% 21,449 61.2% 779 35,037 R+24.7
St. Clair 10,647 36.8% 17,883 61.8% 412 28,942 R+25.0
Bay 14,349 51.3% 13,321 47.6% 327 27,997 D+3.7
Ottawa 8,789 34.8% 16,028 63.4% 471 25,288 R+28.6
Monroe 10,434 47.8% 11,070 50.7% 320 21,824 R+2.9
Lenawee 6,529 30.7% 14,369 67.5% 393 21,291 R+36.8
Marquette 10,003 52.5% 8,591 45.1% 470 19,064 D+7.4
Houghton 6,925 39.6% 9,541 54.6% 1,005 17,471 R+15.0
Shiawassee 4,852 31.3% 10,377 67.0% 267 15,496 R+35.7
Allegan 4,594 29.8% 10,439 67.7% 391 15,424 R+37.9
Van Buren 4,082 29.1% 9,511 67.9% 411 14,004 R+38.8
Eaton 4,264 32.0% 8,637 64.8% 419 13,320 R+32.8
Lapeer 4,668 35.1% 8,358 62.9% 272 13,298 R+27.7
Ionia 4,450 35.0% 7,970 62.6% 311 12,731 R+27.6
Delta 6,943 55.0% 5,414 42.9% 276 12,633 D+12.1
Gogebic 6,722 53.5% 5,204 41.4% 643 12,569 D+12.1
St. Joseph 3,928 31.6% 8,166 65.7% 342 12,436 R+34.1
Dickinson 6,295 55.7% 4,417 39.1% 597 11,309 D+16.6
Tuscola 2,676 24.2% 8,125 73.6% 240 11,041 R+49.4
Hillsdale 3,095 28.8% 7,232 67.2% 433 10,760 R+38.4
Huron 2,562 24.1% 7,978 74.9% 108 10,648 R+50.9
Sanilac 2,167 20.4% 8,237 77.7% 202 10,606 R+57.2
Livingston 2,813 27.1% 7,368 71.0% 198 10,379 R+43.9
Clinton 2,523 24.8% 7,510 73.7% 158 10,191 R+48.9
Branch 3,405 34.0% 6,323 63.1% 299 10,027 R+29.1
Gratiot 2,659 26.5% 7,035 70.2% 333 10,027 R+43.6
Menominee 5,094 52.7% 4,420 45.7% 153 9,667 D+7.0
Montcalm 2,999 32.1% 6,081 65.1% 255 9,335 R+33.0
Chippewa 3,860 41.4% 4,977 53.3% 494 9,331 R+12.0
Midland 3,204 34.8% 5,811 63.2% 181 9,196 R+28.3
Cass 3,201 35.4% 5,615 62.2% 216 9,032 R+26.7
Barry 2,726 31.1% 5,677 64.7% 365 8,768 R+33.7
Iron 4,125 50.2% 3,659 44.6% 428 8,212 D+5.7
Isabella 2,487 30.5% 5,485 67.2% 186 8,158 R+36.7
Grand Traverse 2,365 29.5% 5,473 68.3% 177 8,015 R+38.8
Mason 2,988 40.3% 4,147 56.0% 272 7,407 R+15.6
Manistee 3,339 45.1% 3,913 52.9% 147 7,399 R+7.8
Alpena 2,743 38.4% 4,313 60.3% 96 7,152 R+22.0
Wexford 2,635 39.2% 3,833 57.1% 249 6,717 R+17.8
Newaygo 2,027 30.9% 4,394 66.9% 145 6,566 R+36.0
Emmet 1,922 34.2% 3,565 63.4% 134 5,621 R+29.2
Mecosta 1,572 28.3% 3,803 68.4% 182 5,557 R+40.1
Cheboygan 1,842 36.1% 3,184 62.3% 83 5,109 R+26.3
Ontonagon 2,163 42.4% 2,561 50.2% 380 5,104 R+7.8
Oceana 1,714 35.0% 2,943 60.1% 242 4,899 R+25.1
Charlevoix 1,847 37.7% 2,911 59.5% 137 4,895 R+21.7
Osceola 1,276 28.0% 3,122 68.5% 157 4,555 R+40.5
Presque Isle 1,872 44.9% 2,271 54.5% 22 4,165 R+9.6
Alger 2,009 50.4% 1,702 42.7% 272 3,983 D+7.7
Antrim 1,129 29.3% 2,588 67.2% 132 3,849 R+37.9
Clare 1,197 31.5% 2,512 66.0% 96 3,805 R+34.6
Iosco 1,115 29.6% 2,599 68.9% 58 3,772 R+39.3
Baraga 1,656 44.2% 1,878 50.1% 214 3,748 R+5.9
Schoolcraft 1,651 47.9% 1,713 49.7% 83 3,447 R+1.8
Mackinac 1,138 33.8% 2,182 64.9% 42 3,362 R+31.1
Ogemaw 1,038 32.6% 2,062 64.7% 87 3,187 R+32.1
Gladwin 963 31.0% 2,062 66.4% 79 3,104 R+35.4
Benzie 964 31.2% 2,013 65.2% 112 3,089 R+34.0
Arenac 1,203 39.6% 1,790 58.9% 48 3,041 R+19.3
Leelanau 835 29.9% 1,928 69.0% 31 2,794 R+39.1
Roscommon 687 24.7% 2,055 73.9% 39 2,781 R+49.2
Missaukee 750 29.4% 1,742 68.2% 62 2,554 R+38.8
Lake 1,077 43.3% 1,348 54.1% 65 2,490 R+10.9
Otsego 888 38.3% 1,392 60.0% 40 2,320 R+21.7
Alcona 708 32.7% 1,425 65.7% 35 2,168 R+33.1
Luce 570 30.2% 1,273 67.5% 44 1,887 R+37.3
Montmorency 553 33.6% 1,054 64.1% 37 1,644 R+30.5
Keweenaw 647 39.8% 814 50.1% 164 1,625 R+10.3
Crawford 455 34.3% 849 63.9% 24 1,328 R+29.7
Kalkaska 400 31.3% 837 65.5% 40 1,277 R+34.2
Oscoda 285 26.2% 785 72.1% 19 1,089 R+45.9

Counties as they stood in 1948; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Michigan in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.4
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+2.8
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+16.5
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.4
2000 Al Gore (D) D+5.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+13.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+7.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+19.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.5
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+5.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+14.4
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+6.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+33.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.0
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+0.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+41.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+62.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+50.5
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+8.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+29.5
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+43.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+19.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+10.3
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.9
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+0.8
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+15.2
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+8.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+27.2
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+14.0