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Election 1948 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1948 presidential election in New York

Thomas E. Dewey (Republican) beat Harry S. Truman (Democrat) in New York in 1948, 46.0% to 45.0%, a margin of 1.0 point and 60,959 votes.

New York voted 5.5 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

New York changed party: in 1944 it went Democratic, for Franklin D. Roosevelt.

Republicans led in 52 of the 62 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 10. The largest, Kings, cast 1,056,862 votes and went to the Democrat by 20.7 points. The closest was Clinton, where 78 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Thomas E. Dewey won Republican 2,841,163 46.0%
Harry S. Truman Democratic 2,780,204 45.0%
Henry A. Wallace Progressive 509,559 8.2%
All other candidates 46,411 0.8%
Total6,177,337

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Kings 549,153 52.0% 330,494 31.3% 177,215 1,056,862 D+20.7
New York 362,308 50.3% 241,752 33.5% 116,551 720,611 D+16.7
Queens 271,606 42.3% 323,459 50.4% 47,298 642,363 R+8.1
Bronx 310,357 51.7% 173,044 28.8% 116,992 600,393 D+22.9
Erie 211,058 53.3% 175,118 44.2% 10,065 396,241 D+9.1
Westchester 98,384 33.8% 177,077 60.8% 15,842 291,303 R+27.0
Nassau 73,038 27.3% 184,284 69.0% 9,830 267,152 R+41.6
Monroe 119,102 50.7% 109,608 46.7% 6,152 234,862 D+4.0
Onondaga 70,293 43.9% 84,370 52.7% 5,437 160,100 R+8.8
Albany 81,117 55.8% 59,965 41.2% 4,387 145,469 D+14.5
Suffolk 30,979 28.3% 75,519 68.9% 3,033 109,531 R+40.7
Oneida 51,673 51.3% 46,755 46.4% 2,373 100,801 D+4.9
Richmond 32,076 43.0% 39,539 53.0% 2,919 74,534 R+10.0
Niagara 36,339 48.9% 35,858 48.3% 2,093 74,290 D+0.6
Rensselaer 30,256 41.6% 40,375 55.5% 2,134 72,765 R+13.9
Broome 27,329 37.8% 43,110 59.6% 1,953 72,392 R+21.8
Schenectady 29,989 43.7% 35,495 51.8% 3,077 68,561 R+8.0
Orange 21,673 35.1% 38,351 62.0% 1,791 61,815 R+27.0
Dutchess 18,662 34.5% 34,067 63.1% 1,288 54,017 R+28.5
Chautauqua 21,872 41.0% 29,969 56.2% 1,467 53,308 R+15.2
Ulster 15,136 33.2% 28,941 63.5% 1,533 45,610 R+30.3
Chemung 14,078 37.3% 22,754 60.4% 867 37,699 R+23.0
Steuben 13,833 36.9% 22,938 61.1% 766 37,537 R+24.3
Rockland 13,740 38.1% 20,661 57.2% 1,700 36,101 R+19.2
St. Lawrence 14,100 39.4% 21,160 59.1% 567 35,827 R+19.7
Cayuga 15,008 43.3% 19,017 54.8% 659 34,684 R+11.6
Jefferson 13,894 40.6% 19,661 57.5% 649 34,204 R+16.9
Saratoga 12,016 35.3% 20,706 60.8% 1,361 34,083 R+25.5
Oswego 13,645 40.6% 19,095 56.8% 897 33,637 R+16.2
Cattaraugus 11,801 38.1% 18,246 58.9% 922 30,969 R+20.8
Montgomery 15,045 50.2% 14,212 47.4% 722 29,979 D+2.8
Herkimer 13,287 45.8% 14,688 50.7% 1,019 28,994 R+4.8
Ontario 9,522 36.5% 16,156 62.0% 374 26,052 R+25.5
Wayne 7,162 30.2% 16,167 68.2% 367 23,696 R+38.0
Otsego 7,661 32.5% 15,437 65.4% 509 23,607 R+32.9
Fulton 8,130 37.7% 12,787 59.4% 620 21,537 R+21.6
Columbia 6,822 32.2% 13,758 64.9% 604 21,184 R+32.7
Sullivan 7,591 36.3% 11,253 53.8% 2,083 20,927 R+17.5
Washington 6,317 30.4% 13,975 67.3% 484 20,776 R+36.9
Genesee 7,544 36.6% 12,650 61.4% 394 20,588 R+24.8
Tompkins 6,001 29.2% 13,719 66.7% 860 20,580 R+37.5
Clinton 9,772 48.3% 9,694 47.9% 765 20,231 D+0.4
Madison 6,349 31.7% 13,413 66.9% 289 20,051 R+35.2
Delaware 5,206 26.3% 14,226 72.0% 328 19,760 R+45.6
Warren 5,837 30.7% 12,884 67.7% 321 19,042 R+37.0
Livingston 6,859 37.1% 11,310 61.2% 316 18,485 R+24.1
Allegany 5,045 28.1% 12,689 70.7% 221 17,955 R+42.6
Chenango 5,076 29.3% 11,988 69.3% 231 17,295 R+40.0
Franklin 7,191 43.1% 8,993 53.9% 496 16,680 R+10.8
Greene 5,313 32.8% 10,566 65.3% 306 16,185 R+32.5
Cortland 4,934 31.7% 10,433 66.9% 222 15,589 R+35.3
Essex 4,320 28.9% 10,287 68.9% 326 14,933 R+40.0
Wyoming 4,834 32.5% 9,871 66.3% 176 14,881 R+33.8
Orleans 4,294 30.5% 9,566 67.9% 227 14,087 R+37.4
Putnam 4,148 32.0% 8,222 63.4% 599 12,969 R+31.4
Seneca 5,197 40.6% 7,266 56.8% 335 12,798 R+16.2
Tioga 3,615 28.8% 8,673 69.1% 259 12,547 R+40.3
Schoharie 4,317 38.3% 6,751 59.8% 212 11,280 R+21.6
Lewis 3,393 36.6% 5,692 61.4% 189 9,274 R+24.8
Yates 2,158 26.1% 5,997 72.4% 126 8,281 R+46.4
Schuyler 1,957 29.9% 4,452 68.1% 128 6,537 R+38.2
Hamilton 795 28.0% 2,000 70.5% 42 2,837 R+42.5

Counties as they stood in 1948; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New York in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+12.6
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+23.1
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+22.5
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+28.2
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+26.9
2004 John Kerry (D) D+18.3
2000 Al Gore (D) D+25.0
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+28.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+15.8
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+4.1
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+8.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+2.7
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+4.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+17.3
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+5.5
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+37.3
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+5.3
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.9
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+5.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+19.9
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+12.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+2.3
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+26.6
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+37.6
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+7.0
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+12.6
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+12.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+10.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+9.3
1896 William McKinley (R) R+18.9
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+3.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+1.1
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+0.1
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+1.9
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+3.2
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+6.5
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+1.2