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Election 1948 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1948 presidential election in New Mexico

Harry S. Truman (Democrat) beat Thomas E. Dewey (Republican) in New Mexico in 1948, 56.4% to 42.9%, a margin of 13.5 points and 25,161 votes.

New Mexico voted 9.0 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+4.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 1944, when Franklin D. Roosevelt won.

Democrats led in 22 of the 31 counties as they stood then and Republicans in 9. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 34,929 votes and went to the Democrat by 2.3 points. The closest was Harding, where 1 vote separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Harry S. Truman won Democratic 105,464 56.4%
Thomas E. Dewey Republican 80,303 42.9%
All other candidates 1,296 0.7%
Total187,063

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 17,871 51.2% 17,058 48.8% 34,929 D+2.3
Santa Fe 6,143 44.8% 7,559 55.2% 13,702 R+10.3
Eddy 7,646 75.9% 2,431 24.1% 10,077 D+51.8
San Miguel 4,940 51.5% 4,655 48.5% 9,595 D+3.0
Rio Arriba 4,749 52.5% 4,290 47.5% 9,039 D+5.1
Doña Ana 5,105 59.5% 3,477 40.5% 8,582 D+19.0
Curry 5,759 72.5% 2,182 27.5% 7,941 D+45.0
Chaves 4,598 59.3% 3,156 40.7% 7,754 D+18.6
Colfax 3,863 59.7% 2,606 40.3% 6,469 D+19.4
Valencia 2,910 46.8% 3,309 53.2% 6,219 R+6.4
Lea 4,781 79.0% 1,273 21.0% 6,054 D+57.9
Taos 2,977 50.7% 2,893 49.3% 5,870 D+1.4
Grant 3,542 62.4% 2,134 37.6% 5,676 D+24.8
McKinley 3,020 58.9% 2,109 41.1% 5,129 D+17.8
Quay 3,092 69.0% 1,392 31.0% 4,484 D+37.9
Roosevelt 3,174 76.3% 988 23.7% 4,162 D+52.5
San Juan 1,577 39.5% 2,420 60.5% 3,997 R+21.1
Socorro 1,648 43.4% 2,148 56.6% 3,796 R+13.2
Otero 2,351 63.1% 1,373 36.9% 3,724 D+26.3
Sandoval 1,862 52.6% 1,675 47.4% 3,537 D+5.3
Mora 1,538 44.8% 1,896 55.2% 3,434 R+10.4
Torrance 1,712 49.9% 1,716 50.1% 3,428 R+0.1
Guadalupe 1,543 49.6% 1,565 50.4% 3,108 R+0.7
Lincoln 1,408 46.8% 1,598 53.2% 3,006 R+6.3
Union 1,608 56.3% 1,246 43.7% 2,854 D+12.7
Sierra 1,402 52.1% 1,291 47.9% 2,693 D+4.1
Luna 1,637 63.1% 956 36.9% 2,593 D+26.3
Harding 653 50.0% 654 50.0% 1,307 R+0.1
Hidalgo 864 69.3% 383 30.7% 1,247 D+38.6
Catron 647 55.2% 525 44.8% 1,172 D+10.4
De Baca 688 60.0% 458 40.0% 1,146 D+20.1

Counties as they stood in 1948; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+6.0
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+10.8
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+8.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+10.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.8
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+8.6
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+18.2
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.5
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.7
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+13.5
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+13.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+26.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+27.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.5
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+10.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.5