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United States · Election results history · 2004 president · New Mexico
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in New Mexico

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in New Mexico in 2004, 49.8% to 49.0%, a margin of 0.8 points and 5,988 votes.

New Mexico voted 1.7 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

New Mexico changed party: in 2000 it went Democratic, for Al Gore.

Republicans led in 21 of the 33 counties and Democrats in 12. The largest, Bernalillo, cast 256,811 votes and went to the Democrat by 4.2 points. The closest was Harding, where 121 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 376,930 49.8%
John Kerry Democratic 370,942 49.0%
All other candidates 8,432 1.1%
Total756,304

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bernalillo 132,252 51.5% 121,454 47.3% 3,105 256,811 D+4.2
Santa Fe 47,074 71.1% 18,466 27.9% 660 66,200 D+43.2
Dona Ana 31,762 51.3% 29,548 47.7% 650 61,960 D+3.6
San Juan 14,843 33.0% 29,525 65.6% 638 45,006 R+32.6
Sandoval 21,421 48.1% 22,628 50.8% 492 44,541 R+2.7
Valencia 11,270 43.3% 14,474 55.6% 268 26,012 R+12.3
Chaves 6,726 31.0% 14,773 68.1% 206 21,705 R+37.1
Otero 6,433 31.0% 14,066 67.7% 265 20,764 R+36.8
McKinley 13,051 63.3% 7,351 35.6% 221 20,623 D+27.6
Eddy 6,880 33.9% 13,268 65.5% 122 20,270 R+31.5
Lea 3,646 20.1% 14,430 79.4% 105 18,181 R+59.3
Rio Arriba 9,753 65.0% 5,149 34.3% 97 14,999 D+30.7
Taos 10,987 74.1% 3,666 24.7% 182 14,835 D+49.3
Curry 3,541 24.8% 10,649 74.5% 96 14,286 R+49.8
Grant 7,095 53.0% 6,135 45.8% 162 13,392 D+7.2
San Miguel 8,683 71.7% 3,313 27.3% 120 12,116 D+44.3
Los Alamos 5,206 46.5% 5,810 51.9% 181 11,197 R+5.4
Lincoln 2,822 31.3% 6,070 67.3% 122 9,014 R+36.0
Socorro 4,025 51.3% 3,696 47.1% 130 7,851 D+4.2
Luna 3,340 44.0% 4,164 54.8% 89 7,593 R+10.9
Cibola 3,913 52.3% 3,477 46.4% 97 7,487 D+5.8
Roosevelt 2,082 29.1% 4,997 69.9% 65 7,144 R+40.8
Torrance 2,386 36.7% 4,026 61.9% 95 6,507 R+25.2
Colfax 2,824 47.3% 3,082 51.6% 62 5,968 R+4.3
Sierra 1,926 37.3% 3,162 61.3% 69 5,157 R+24.0
Quay 1,422 34.5% 2,661 64.6% 34 4,117 R+30.1
Mora 1,876 66.4% 928 32.8% 22 2,826 D+33.5
Guadalupe 1,340 59.1% 914 40.3% 13 2,267 D+18.8
Catron 551 27.6% 1,427 71.6% 15 1,993 R+44.0
Hidalgo 861 43.8% 1,081 55.0% 22 1,964 R+11.2
Union 411 21.9% 1,454 77.3% 16 1,881 R+55.4
De Baca 281 28.3% 706 71.1% 6 993 R+42.8
Harding 259 40.2% 380 59.0% 5 644 R+18.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Mexico in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+6.0
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+10.8
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+8.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+10.1
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.1
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+0.8
2000 Al Gore (D) D+0.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+8.6
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.0
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+18.2
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.5
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.7
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+13.5
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.0
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+13.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+26.2
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+27.0
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+18.2
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+5.5
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+10.4
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+3.6
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+5.5