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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Indiana

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Indiana in 2004, 59.9% to 39.3%, a margin of 20.7 points and 510,427 votes.

Indiana voted 18.2 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 88 of the 92 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, Marion, cast 320,838 votes and went to the Democrat by 1.9 points. The closest was Perry, where 6 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 1,479,438 59.9%
John Kerry Democratic 969,011 39.3%
All other candidates 19,553 0.8%
Total2,468,002

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Marion 162,249 50.6% 156,072 48.6% 2,517 320,838 D+1.9
Lake 114,743 61.0% 71,903 38.2% 1,376 188,022 D+22.8
Allen 46,710 36.0% 82,013 63.3% 886 129,609 R+27.2
St. Joseph 52,637 48.5% 55,254 50.9% 728 108,619 R+2.4
Hamilton 26,388 25.2% 77,887 74.2% 631 104,906 R+49.1
Vanderburgh 28,767 40.7% 41,463 58.7% 424 70,654 R+18.0
Porter 29,388 45.3% 34,794 53.6% 691 64,873 R+8.3
Elkhart 17,966 29.3% 42,967 70.0% 447 61,380 R+40.7
Madison 21,882 39.9% 32,526 59.3% 447 54,855 R+19.4
Tippecanoe 20,818 39.8% 30,897 59.0% 645 52,360 R+19.2
Hendricks 13,548 25.9% 38,430 73.5% 324 52,302 R+47.6
Johnson 13,109 25.6% 37,765 73.7% 381 51,255 R+48.1
Monroe 26,965 53.4% 22,834 45.2% 668 50,467 D+8.2
Delaware 20,436 42.6% 27,064 56.5% 439 47,939 R+13.8
LaPorte 21,114 49.6% 20,916 49.1% 576 42,606 D+0.5
Clark 17,648 41.7% 24,495 57.9% 194 42,337 R+16.2
Vigo 18,426 46.4% 20,988 52.8% 330 39,744 R+6.4
Howard 12,998 35.1% 23,714 64.1% 309 37,021 R+28.9
Floyd 13,857 40.9% 19,877 58.7% 156 33,890 R+17.8
Bartholomew 9,191 32.2% 19,093 67.0% 231 28,515 R+34.7
Kosciusko 5,977 21.1% 22,136 78.1% 247 28,360 R+57.0
Hancock 6,912 24.8% 20,771 74.5% 184 27,867 R+49.7
Wayne 10,775 39.0% 16,586 60.0% 296 27,657 R+21.0
Grant 8,509 31.0% 18,769 68.4% 182 27,460 R+37.4
Morgan 6,650 25.5% 19,197 73.8% 182 26,029 R+48.2
Warrick 8,980 34.5% 16,930 65.1% 115 26,025 R+30.5
Boone 5,636 24.6% 17,055 74.5% 207 22,898 R+49.9
Dearborn 6,596 31.5% 14,231 67.9% 142 20,969 R+36.4
Henry 7,176 35.0% 13,137 64.1% 191 20,504 R+29.1
Marshall 5,593 31.4% 12,074 67.8% 147 17,814 R+36.4
Lawrence 5,346 30.2% 12,207 69.0% 145 17,698 R+38.8
Harrison 6,171 35.6% 11,015 63.6% 124 17,310 R+28.0
Dubois 5,210 30.5% 11,726 68.7% 130 17,066 R+38.2
Jackson 5,092 31.2% 11,083 68.0% 134 16,309 R+36.7
Shelby 4,519 28.2% 11,397 71.1% 111 16,027 R+42.9
Knox 5,649 35.9% 9,990 63.4% 107 15,746 R+27.6
Noble 4,703 30.0% 10,859 69.3% 117 15,679 R+39.3
Huntington 3,877 24.8% 11,617 74.3% 133 15,627 R+49.5
DeKalb 4,810 31.2% 10,468 68.0% 125 15,403 R+36.7
Gibson 5,378 36.8% 9,133 62.5% 103 14,614 R+25.7
Montgomery 3,536 24.3% 10,901 74.9% 111 14,548 R+50.6
Cass 4,315 31.0% 9,480 68.0% 136 13,931 R+37.1
Miami 3,886 28.5% 9,600 70.4% 142 13,628 R+41.9
Wabash 3,920 28.8% 9,607 70.6% 75 13,602 R+41.8
Whitley 3,880 28.8% 9,512 70.6% 89 13,481 R+41.8
Greene 4,606 34.5% 8,609 64.5% 137 13,352 R+30.0
Adams 3,512 26.3% 9,734 73.0% 94 13,340 R+46.6
Putnam 4,103 31.2% 8,908 67.8% 125 13,136 R+36.6
Jefferson 5,117 39.4% 7,763 59.8% 91 12,971 R+20.4
Steuben 4,345 33.7% 8,433 65.3% 127 12,905 R+31.7
Wells 3,112 25.2% 9,168 74.2% 74 12,354 R+49.0
Posey 4,085 34.1% 7,833 65.4% 68 11,986 R+31.3
Clinton 3,335 28.1% 8,471 71.3% 71 11,877 R+43.2
Jasper 3,678 31.1% 8,056 68.0% 110 11,844 R+37.0
Ripley 3,510 29.7% 8,224 69.5% 100 11,834 R+39.8
Randolph 3,812 34.4% 7,172 64.7% 108 11,092 R+30.3
Washington 3,879 35.7% 6,915 63.6% 86 10,880 R+27.9
Clay 3,333 30.9% 7,361 68.3% 89 10,783 R+37.4
Daviess 2,573 24.3% 7,936 74.9% 90 10,599 R+50.6
Jennings 3,538 33.6% 6,864 65.3% 115 10,517 R+31.6
White 3,277 31.6% 6,974 67.3% 115 10,366 R+35.7
Decatur 2,621 25.7% 7,499 73.5% 79 10,199 R+47.8
Franklin 2,925 29.3% 6,977 69.8% 90 9,992 R+40.6
Spencer 3,920 39.5% 5,934 59.8% 70 9,924 R+20.3
Fayette 3,626 38.3% 5,761 60.8% 81 9,468 R+22.5
LaGrange 2,523 28.0% 6,430 71.4% 50 9,003 R+43.4
Starke 3,987 44.6% 4,846 54.2% 104 8,937 R+9.6
Fulton 2,607 30.0% 6,027 69.3% 69 8,703 R+39.3
Scott 3,822 44.0% 4,793 55.2% 62 8,677 R+11.2
Orange 2,885 33.3% 5,683 65.7% 84 8,652 R+32.3
Carroll 2,689 31.1% 5,868 67.9% 81 8,638 R+36.8
Sullivan 3,341 39.8% 4,999 59.6% 54 8,394 R+19.8
Perry 4,131 49.7% 4,137 49.8% 47 8,315 R+0.1
Jay 2,740 33.3% 5,427 65.9% 65 8,232 R+32.6
Tipton 2,203 27.9% 5,628 71.3% 61 7,892 R+43.4
Fountain 2,477 31.7% 5,260 67.4% 67 7,804 R+35.7
Owen 2,536 33.4% 5,000 65.8% 68 7,604 R+32.4
Rush 2,000 27.0% 5,363 72.3% 58 7,421 R+45.3
Brown 2,730 37.2% 4,512 61.6% 88 7,330 R+24.3
Vermillion 3,424 48.8% 3,536 50.4% 57 7,017 R+1.6
Parke 2,362 33.9% 4,550 65.3% 59 6,971 R+31.4
Pike 2,418 38.9% 3,745 60.3% 49 6,212 R+21.4
Newton 2,032 34.7% 3,757 64.2% 59 5,848 R+29.5
Pulaski 1,750 31.2% 3,797 67.6% 67 5,614 R+36.5
Blackford 1,903 35.4% 3,447 64.1% 30 5,380 R+28.7
Martin 1,522 30.5% 3,414 68.3% 60 4,996 R+37.9
Crawford 1,932 42.2% 2,609 57.0% 33 4,574 R+14.8
Benton 1,135 28.4% 2,797 70.1% 60 3,992 R+41.6
Warren 1,356 34.2% 2,565 64.8% 39 3,960 R+30.5
Switzerland 1,479 40.3% 2,161 58.9% 31 3,671 R+18.6
Union 1,045 31.3% 2,266 67.8% 33 3,344 R+36.5
Ohio 1,139 38.5% 1,796 60.7% 23 2,958 R+22.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Indiana in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+19.0
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+16.1
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+19.2
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+10.2
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+1.0
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+20.7
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+15.6
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+5.6
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+6.1
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+20.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+18.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+7.6
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+32.8
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+12.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+12.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+10.4
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+20.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+17.1
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+0.8
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+5.7
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+1.4
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+14.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+11.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+20.1
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+16.6
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+14.6
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+1.0
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+20.0
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+1.5
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+13.8
1900 William McKinley (R) R+4.0
1896 William McKinley (R) R+2.9
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+1.3
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+0.4
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+1.3
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+1.4
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+1.3
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+6.4
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+2.8