Election 2004 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2004 presidential election in Oregon
John Kerry (Democrat) beat George W. Bush (Republican) in Oregon in 2004, 51.3% to 47.2%, a margin of 4.2 points and 76,332 votes.
Oregon voted 6.6 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.
The Democratic hold continued from 2000, when Al Gore won.
Republicans led in 28 of the 36 counties and Democrats in 8. The largest, Multnomah, cast 362,694 votes and went to the Democrat by 44.4 points. The closest was Tillamook, where 253 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Kerry won | Democratic | 943,163 | 51.3% |
| George W. Bush | Republican | 866,831 | 47.2% |
| All other candidates | 26,788 | 1.5% | |
| Total | 1,836,782 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Multnomah | 259,585 71.6% | 98,439 27.1% | 4,670 | 362,694 | D+44.4 |
| Washington | 121,140 52.4% | 107,223 46.4% | 2,945 | 231,308 | D+6.0 |
| Clackamas | 95,129 48.8% | 97,691 50.1% | 2,180 | 195,000 | R+1.3 |
| Lane | 107,769 58.0% | 75,007 40.4% | 3,096 | 185,872 | D+17.6 |
| Marion | 57,671 44.5% | 69,900 53.9% | 2,048 | 129,619 | R+9.4 |
| Jackson | 44,366 43.4% | 56,519 55.3% | 1,304 | 102,189 | R+11.9 |
| Deschutes | 31,179 42.1% | 41,757 56.4% | 1,112 | 74,048 | R+14.3 |
| Douglas | 18,089 32.9% | 35,956 65.4% | 939 | 54,984 | R+32.5 |
| Linn | 19,940 38.3% | 31,260 60.1% | 841 | 52,041 | R+21.8 |
| Benton | 26,515 58.0% | 18,460 40.4% | 760 | 45,735 | D+17.6 |
| Josephine | 15,214 36.0% | 26,241 62.1% | 820 | 42,275 | R+26.1 |
| Yamhill | 17,572 41.7% | 23,839 56.6% | 731 | 42,142 | R+14.9 |
| Polk | 15,484 43.6% | 19,508 55.0% | 497 | 35,489 | R+11.3 |
| Coos | 14,393 43.1% | 18,291 54.8% | 678 | 33,362 | R+11.7 |
| Klamath | 8,264 26.2% | 22,733 72.1% | 518 | 31,515 | R+45.9 |
| Umatilla | 8,884 33.8% | 17,068 64.8% | 370 | 26,322 | R+31.1 |
| Columbia | 12,563 50.4% | 11,868 47.6% | 486 | 24,917 | D+2.8 |
| Lincoln | 13,753 56.5% | 10,160 41.8% | 412 | 24,325 | D+14.8 |
| Clatsop | 10,461 54.2% | 8,503 44.0% | 345 | 19,309 | D+10.1 |
| Tillamook | 6,750 48.4% | 7,003 50.2% | 198 | 13,951 | R+1.8 |
| Union | 4,428 32.8% | 8,879 65.7% | 212 | 13,519 | R+32.9 |
| Curry | 5,220 40.8% | 7,332 57.3% | 247 | 12,799 | R+16.5 |
| Wasco | 5,691 47.4% | 6,119 51.0% | 192 | 12,002 | R+3.6 |
| Malheur | 2,577 23.8% | 8,123 74.9% | 146 | 10,846 | R+51.1 |
| Crook | 3,024 30.1% | 6,830 68.0% | 197 | 10,051 | R+37.9 |
| Hood River | 5,587 56.7% | 4,124 41.8% | 148 | 9,859 | D+14.8 |
| Baker | 2,616 29.0% | 6,253 69.2% | 165 | 9,034 | R+40.3 |
| Jefferson | 3,243 40.0% | 4,762 58.7% | 110 | 8,115 | R+18.7 |
| Wallowa | 1,269 28.1% | 3,132 69.3% | 120 | 4,521 | R+41.2 |
| Morrow | 1,361 32.8% | 2,732 65.8% | 56 | 4,149 | R+33.0 |
| Grant | 780 19.2% | 3,204 78.9% | 77 | 4,061 | R+59.7 |
| Lake | 802 20.5% | 3,039 77.8% | 64 | 3,905 | R+57.3 |
| Harney | 839 22.7% | 2,815 76.0% | 48 | 3,702 | R+53.4 |
| Gilliam | 370 32.5% | 755 66.3% | 13 | 1,138 | R+33.8 |
| Sherman | 390 35.3% | 694 62.9% | 20 | 1,104 | R+27.5 |
| Wheeler | 245 27.8% | 612 69.5% | 23 | 880 | R+41.7 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Oregon in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kamala Harris (D) | D+14.3 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+16.1 |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton (D) | D+11.0 |
| 2012 | Barack Obama (D) | D+12.1 |
| 2008 | Barack Obama (D) | D+16.3 |
| 2004 | John Kerry (D) | D+4.2 |
| 2000 | Al Gore (D) | D+0.4 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+8.1 |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+10.0 |
| 1988 | Michael Dukakis (D) | D+4.7 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+12.2 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+9.7 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+0.2 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+10.1 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+6.0 |
| 1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | D+27.8 |
| 1960 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+5.2 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+10.5 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+21.6 |
| 1948 | Thomas E. Dewey (R) | R+3.4 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+4.8 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+8.1 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+34.8 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+21.1 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+30.0 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+26.8 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+26.7 |
| 1916 | Charles Evans Hughes (R) | R+2.6 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+9.0 |
| 1908 | William Howard Taft (R) | R+22.1 |
| 1904 | Theodore Roosevelt (R) | R+47.6 |
| 1900 | William McKinley (R) | R+16.1 |
| 1896 | William McKinley (R) | R+2.1 |
| 1892 | Benjamin Harrison (R) | R+26.4 |
| 1888 | Benjamin Harrison (R) | R+10.9 |
| 1884 | James G. Blaine (R) | R+4.3 |
| 1880 | James A. Garfield (R) | R+1.6 |
| 1876 | Rutherford B. Hayes (R) | R+3.5 |
| 1872 | Ulysses S. Grant (R) | R+20.2 |
| 1868 | Horatio Seymour (D) | D+0.7 |