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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Idaho

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Idaho in 2004, 68.4% to 30.3%, a margin of 38.1 points and 228,137 votes.

Idaho voted 35.7 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 43 of the 44 counties and Democrats in 1. The largest, Ada, cast 155,002 votes and went to the Republican by 23.3 points. The closest was Latah, where 256 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 409,235 68.4%
John Kerry Democratic 181,098 30.3%
All other candidates 8,043 1.3%
Total598,376

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Ada 58,523 37.8% 94,641 61.1% 1,838 155,002 R+23.3
Canyon 13,415 24.1% 41,599 74.7% 678 55,692 R+50.6
Kootenai 17,584 32.2% 36,173 66.3% 839 54,596 R+34.0
Bonneville 8,356 21.5% 30,048 77.3% 467 38,871 R+55.8
Bannock 12,903 37.0% 21,479 61.6% 461 34,843 R+24.6
Twin Falls 6,458 24.4% 19,672 74.4% 305 26,435 R+50.0
Nez Perce 6,476 36.6% 11,009 62.2% 215 17,700 R+25.6
Bonner 6,649 37.6% 10,697 60.5% 335 17,681 R+22.9
Latah 8,430 48.0% 8,686 49.5% 431 17,547 R+1.5
Bingham 3,605 21.8% 12,734 76.9% 225 16,564 R+55.1
Madison 826 7.1% 10,693 91.9% 118 11,637 R+84.8
Blaine 5,992 59.1% 4,034 39.8% 120 10,146 D+19.3
Jefferson 1,084 12.2% 7,703 86.5% 119 8,906 R+74.3
Payette 1,848 22.6% 6,256 76.5% 76 8,180 R+53.9
Elmore 1,959 24.3% 6,011 74.6% 89 8,059 R+50.3
Idaho 1,689 21.2% 6,017 75.5% 259 7,965 R+54.3
Cassia 1,153 14.7% 6,562 83.9% 106 7,821 R+69.2
Minidoka 1,331 18.5% 5,797 80.5% 72 7,200 R+62.0
Gem 1,628 22.8% 5,416 75.9% 90 7,134 R+53.1
Jerome 1,344 20.4% 5,177 78.7% 59 6,580 R+58.3
Fremont 741 12.8% 4,965 86.1% 63 5,769 R+73.2
Shoshone 2,331 43.7% 2,922 54.7% 84 5,337 R+11.1
Gooding 1,278 24.0% 3,973 74.6% 74 5,325 R+50.6
Franklin 456 9.0% 4,527 89.6% 71 5,054 R+80.6
Valley 1,843 38.6% 2,863 60.0% 66 4,772 R+21.4
Boundary 1,268 29.0% 3,012 68.8% 98 4,378 R+39.8
Washington 1,033 23.7% 3,274 75.1% 52 4,359 R+51.4
Lemhi 915 22.6% 3,079 76.0% 59 4,053 R+53.4
Benewah 1,148 28.4% 2,823 69.8% 76 4,047 R+41.4
Clearwater 1,117 27.7% 2,839 70.4% 78 4,034 R+42.7
Teton 1,416 38.4% 2,235 60.6% 39 3,690 R+22.2
Owyhee 685 19.1% 2,859 79.6% 46 3,590 R+60.6
Boise 970 27.5% 2,501 70.9% 56 3,527 R+43.4
Caribou 491 15.0% 2,753 83.9% 37 3,281 R+68.9
Bear Lake 494 16.3% 2,506 82.4% 40 3,040 R+66.2
Power 829 28.0% 2,105 71.2% 24 2,958 R+43.1
Custer 559 23.7% 1,762 74.7% 37 2,358 R+51.0
Oneida 304 14.3% 1,789 83.9% 40 2,133 R+69.6
Adams 555 26.9% 1,468 71.2% 40 2,063 R+44.3
Lincoln 466 24.9% 1,388 74.0% 21 1,875 R+49.2
Lewis 440 24.2% 1,359 74.7% 21 1,820 R+50.5
Butte 321 22.8% 1,077 76.6% 8 1,406 R+53.8
Camas 139 23.4% 450 75.6% 6 595 R+52.3
Clark 46 13.0% 302 85.6% 5 353 R+72.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Idaho in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+36.5
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+30.8
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+31.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+31.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+25.4
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+38.1
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+39.5
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+18.5
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+13.6
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+26.1
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+46.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+41.3
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+22.8
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+38.2
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+26.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+1.8
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+7.6
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+22.4
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+31.0
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+2.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.5
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.1
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+29.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+20.4
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+29.3
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+30.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+31.3
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+10.9
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+1.1
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+16.9
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+40.4
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+3.9
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+56.8
1892 James B. Weaver (other)