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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Hawaii

John Kerry (Democrat) beat George W. Bush (Republican) in Hawaii in 2004, 54.0% to 45.3%, a margin of 8.7 points and 37,517 votes.

Hawaii voted 11.2 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2000, when Al Gore won.

Democrats led in 4 of the 4 counties. The largest, Honolulu, cast 298,547 votes and went to the Democrat by 2.8 points. The closest was Kauai, where 5,176 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John Kerry won Democratic 231,708 54.0%
George W. Bush Republican 194,191 45.3%
All other candidates 3,114 0.7%
Total429,013

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Honolulu 152,500 51.1% 144,157 48.3% 1,890 298,547 D+2.8
Hawaii 35,116 60.9% 22,032 38.2% 554 57,702 D+22.7
Maui 28,803 60.7% 18,187 38.3% 440 47,430 D+22.4
Kauai 14,916 60.0% 9,740 39.2% 220 24,876 D+20.8

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Hawaii in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+23.1
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+29.5
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+32.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+42.7
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+45.3
2004 John Kerry (D) D+8.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+18.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+25.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+11.4
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+9.5
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+11.3
1980 Jimmy Carter (D) D+1.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+25.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+21.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+57.5
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.1