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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in South Dakota

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in South Dakota in 2004, 59.9% to 38.4%, a margin of 21.5 points and 83,340 votes.

South Dakota voted 19.0 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 57 of the 66 counties and Democrats in 9. The largest, Minnehaha, cast 77,632 votes and went to the Republican by 15.3 points. The closest was Bennett, where 74 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 232,584 59.9%
John Kerry Democratic 149,244 38.4%
All other candidates 6,387 1.6%
Total388,215

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Minnehaha 32,314 41.6% 44,189 56.9% 1,129 77,632 R+15.3
Pennington 14,213 31.6% 29,976 66.7% 779 44,968 R+35.1
Brown 7,943 42.7% 10,386 55.8% 270 18,599 R+13.1
Lincoln 5,703 33.4% 11,161 65.4% 202 17,066 R+32.0
Brookings 5,443 40.7% 7,662 57.3% 270 13,375 R+16.6
Codington 4,803 37.7% 7,778 61.0% 170 12,751 R+23.3
Lawrence 3,857 33.2% 7,489 64.5% 273 11,619 R+31.3
Meade 2,941 25.6% 8,347 72.6% 216 11,504 R+47.0
Yankton 4,237 40.6% 6,003 57.5% 191 10,431 R+16.9
Davison 3,263 36.4% 5,561 62.1% 128 8,952 R+25.7
Hughes 2,697 30.5% 6,017 68.1% 121 8,835 R+37.6
Beadle 3,443 40.6% 4,917 58.0% 120 8,480 R+17.4
Union 3,000 42.6% 3,987 56.6% 61 7,048 R+14.0
Clay 3,315 54.0% 2,692 43.9% 129 6,136 D+10.2
Lake 2,509 41.8% 3,359 55.9% 139 6,007 R+14.2
Roberts 2,527 50.7% 2,396 48.1% 59 4,982 D+2.6
Turner 1,646 34.1% 3,084 63.8% 104 4,834 R+29.7
Charles Mix 2,155 44.9% 2,556 53.3% 87 4,798 R+8.4
Custer 1,272 29.6% 2,922 67.9% 110 4,304 R+38.3
Butte 1,009 23.6% 3,166 74.1% 96 4,271 R+50.5
Oglala Lakota 3,566 84.6% 526 12.5% 122 4,214 D+72.1
Hutchinson 1,177 28.4% 2,899 69.9% 71 4,147 R+41.5
Grant 1,633 39.9% 2,392 58.5% 65 4,090 R+18.6
Fall River 1,326 34.5% 2,413 62.8% 106 3,845 R+28.3
Spink 1,478 39.2% 2,259 59.9% 37 3,774 R+20.7
Day 1,817 51.3% 1,671 47.2% 52 3,540 D+4.1
Todd 2,543 72.2% 889 25.2% 92 3,524 D+46.9
Moody 1,609 46.6% 1,790 51.9% 52 3,451 R+5.2
Bon Homme 1,293 37.9% 2,063 60.5% 52 3,408 R+22.6
McCook 1,201 36.7% 2,017 61.7% 53 3,271 R+24.9
Tripp 972 30.0% 2,230 68.7% 43 3,245 R+38.8
Kingsbury 1,163 38.6% 1,804 59.9% 47 3,014 R+21.3
Hamlin 1,015 33.7% 1,946 64.6% 50 3,011 R+30.9
Walworth 878 30.5% 1,967 68.3% 35 2,880 R+37.8
Brule 1,040 39.6% 1,544 58.7% 45 2,629 R+19.2
Dewey 1,606 62.6% 921 35.9% 37 2,564 D+26.7
Gregory 813 31.9% 1,685 66.2% 48 2,546 R+34.2
Deuel 961 39.8% 1,406 58.3% 45 2,412 R+18.4
Marshall 1,099 46.5% 1,242 52.5% 23 2,364 R+6.0
Clark 875 37.6% 1,435 61.7% 17 2,327 R+24.1
Edmunds 765 34.2% 1,434 64.2% 35 2,234 R+29.9
Hand 668 30.5% 1,482 67.8% 37 2,187 R+37.2
Hanson 745 34.7% 1,379 64.1% 26 2,150 R+29.5
Douglas 393 19.5% 1,596 79.3% 23 2,012 R+59.8
Lyman 872 44.9% 1,029 53.0% 39 1,940 R+8.1
Perkins 418 23.1% 1,329 73.3% 66 1,813 R+50.2
Corson 972 56.4% 720 41.8% 32 1,724 D+14.6
Aurora 620 37.6% 1,009 61.2% 20 1,649 R+23.6
Bennett 759 46.6% 833 51.1% 38 1,630 R+4.5
Stanley 464 28.6% 1,129 69.6% 30 1,623 R+41.0
Potter 463 28.6% 1,143 70.6% 12 1,618 R+42.0
McPherson 369 23.4% 1,180 74.7% 30 1,579 R+51.4
Miner 641 43.6% 810 55.1% 19 1,470 R+11.5
Sanborn 581 40.7% 817 57.3% 28 1,426 R+16.5
Faulk 418 30.5% 945 69.0% 6 1,369 R+38.5
Jackson 508 40.0% 726 57.1% 37 1,271 R+17.2
Haakon 219 17.7% 1,007 81.2% 14 1,240 R+63.5
Jerauld 482 39.0% 736 59.5% 18 1,236 R+20.6
Ziebach 641 57.4% 447 40.1% 28 1,116 D+17.4
Campbell 239 24.9% 708 73.8% 12 959 R+48.9
Mellette 361 38.8% 553 59.4% 17 931 R+20.6
Sully 201 21.9% 702 76.6% 14 917 R+54.6
Hyde 259 28.8% 631 70.1% 10 900 R+41.3
Buffalo 603 71.7% 223 26.5% 15 841 D+45.2
Harding 94 11.5% 704 86.4% 17 815 R+74.8
Jones 134 18.7% 565 78.8% 18 717 R+60.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

South Dakota in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+29.2
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+26.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+29.8
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+18.0
2008 John McCain (R) R+8.4
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+21.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+22.7
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+3.5
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+3.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+6.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+26.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+28.8
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+1.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+8.6
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+11.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+11.2
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+16.4
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+16.8
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+38.5
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.8
1944 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+16.7
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+14.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+11.5
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+29.2
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+21.0
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+36.3
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+41.0
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+3.9
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+23.8
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+49.4
1900 William McKinley (R) R+15.6
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+0.2
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+36.6