Election 2004 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2004 presidential election in New Hampshire
John Kerry (Democrat) beat George W. Bush (Republican) in New Hampshire in 2004, 50.2% to 48.8%, a margin of 1.4 points and 9,274 votes.
New Hampshire voted 3.8 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.
New Hampshire changed party: in 2000 it went Republican, for George W. Bush.
Democrats led in 6 of the 10 counties and Republicans in 4. The largest, Hillsborough, cast 195,427 votes and went to the Republican by 2.9 points. The closest was Coos, where 442 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Kerry won | Democratic | 340,511 | 50.2% |
| George W. Bush | Republican | 331,237 | 48.8% |
| All other candidates | 6,539 | 1.0% | |
| Total | 678,287 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillsborough | 94,121 48.2% | 99,724 51.0% | 1,582 | 195,427 | R+2.9 |
| Rockingham | 75,437 47.5% | 82,069 51.7% | 1,260 | 158,766 | R+4.2 |
| Merrimack | 39,975 52.1% | 36,060 47.0% | 620 | 76,655 | D+5.1 |
| Strafford | 32,942 55.6% | 25,825 43.6% | 513 | 59,280 | D+12.0 |
| Grafton | 26,180 55.7% | 20,277 43.2% | 505 | 46,962 | D+12.6 |
| Cheshire | 24,438 59.1% | 16,463 39.8% | 436 | 41,337 | D+19.3 |
| Belknap | 14,080 43.6% | 17,920 55.5% | 298 | 32,298 | R+11.9 |
| Carroll | 13,319 47.2% | 14,614 51.8% | 289 | 28,222 | R+4.6 |
| Sullivan | 11,434 52.5% | 10,142 46.5% | 220 | 21,796 | D+5.9 |
| Coos | 8,585 50.7% | 8,143 48.1% | 191 | 16,919 | D+2.6 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
New Hampshire in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kamala Harris (D) | D+2.8 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+7.4 |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton (D) | D+0.4 |
| 2012 | Barack Obama (D) | D+5.6 |
| 2008 | Barack Obama (D) | D+9.6 |
| 2004 | John Kerry (D) | D+1.4 |
| 2000 | George W. Bush (R) | R+1.3 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+10.0 |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+1.2 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+26.2 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+37.7 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+29.4 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+11.3 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+29.1 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+8.2 |
| 1964 | Lyndon B. Johnson (D) | D+27.8 |
| 1960 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+6.8 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+32.3 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+21.8 |
| 1948 | Thomas E. Dewey (R) | R+5.7 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+4.2 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+6.4 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+1.8 |
| 1932 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+1.4 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+17.6 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+25.1 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+20.4 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+0.1 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+2.0 |
| 1908 | William Howard Taft (R) | R+21.8 |
| 1904 | Theodore Roosevelt (R) | R+22.3 |
| 1900 | William McKinley (R) | R+20.9 |
| 1896 | William McKinley (R) | R+43.2 |
| 1892 | Benjamin Harrison (R) | R+4.0 |
| 1888 | Benjamin Harrison (R) | R+2.6 |
| 1884 | James G. Blaine (R) | R+4.8 |
| 1880 | James A. Garfield (R) | R+4.7 |
| 1876 | Rutherford B. Hayes (R) | R+3.7 |
| 1872 | Ulysses S. Grant (R) | R+7.9 |
| 1868 | Ulysses S. Grant (R) | R+10.5 |