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United States · Election results history · 2004 president · Michigan
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Michigan

John Kerry (Democrat) beat George W. Bush (Republican) in Michigan in 2004, 51.2% to 47.8%, a margin of 3.4 points and 165,437 votes.

Michigan voted 5.9 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Democratic hold continued from 2000, when Al Gore won.

Republicans led in 68 of the 83 counties and Democrats in 15. The largest, Wayne, cast 864,728 votes and went to the Democrat by 39.6 points. The closest was Arenac, where 5 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
John Kerry won Democratic 2,479,183 51.2%
George W. Bush Republican 2,313,746 47.8%
All other candidates 46,323 1.0%
Total4,839,252

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Wayne 600,047 69.4% 257,750 29.8% 6,931 864,728 D+39.6
Oakland 319,387 49.8% 316,633 49.3% 5,957 641,977 D+0.4
Macomb 196,160 48.7% 202,166 50.2% 4,084 402,410 R+1.5
Kent 116,909 40.2% 171,201 58.9% 2,781 290,891 R+18.7
Genesee 128,334 60.0% 83,870 39.2% 1,571 213,775 D+20.8
Washtenaw 109,953 63.5% 61,455 35.5% 1,856 173,264 D+28.0
Ingham 76,877 57.8% 54,734 41.1% 1,442 133,053 D+16.6
Ottawa 35,552 27.6% 92,048 71.6% 1,043 128,643 R+43.9
Kalamazoo 61,462 51.3% 57,147 47.7% 1,174 119,783 D+3.6
Saginaw 54,887 53.4% 47,165 45.9% 800 102,852 D+7.5
Livingston 33,991 36.3% 58,860 62.8% 891 93,742 R+26.5
Muskegon 44,282 55.1% 35,302 44.0% 729 80,313 D+11.2
St. Clair 36,174 45.4% 42,740 53.6% 829 79,743 R+8.2
Berrien 32,846 44.0% 41,076 55.0% 749 74,671 R+11.0
Monroe 36,089 48.7% 37,470 50.5% 573 74,132 R+1.9
Jackson 31,025 43.2% 40,029 55.8% 741 71,795 R+12.5
Calhoun 29,891 47.7% 32,093 51.2% 683 62,667 R+3.5
Bay 31,049 54.4% 25,448 44.6% 562 57,059 D+9.8
Eaton 25,411 45.6% 29,781 53.4% 563 55,755 R+7.8
Allegan 19,355 35.9% 34,022 63.1% 530 53,907 R+27.2
Lenawee 20,787 44.2% 25,675 54.6% 550 47,012 R+10.4
Grand Traverse 18,256 39.5% 27,446 59.4% 489 46,191 R+19.9
Lapeer 18,086 41.0% 25,556 57.9% 505 44,147 R+16.9
Midland 18,355 42.4% 24,369 56.3% 551 43,275 R+13.9
Clinton 15,483 41.0% 21,989 58.2% 335 37,807 R+17.2
Shiawassee 16,881 46.1% 19,407 53.0% 363 36,651 R+6.9
Van Buren 16,151 47.3% 17,634 51.6% 389 34,174 R+4.3
Marquette 17,412 53.6% 14,690 45.2% 386 32,488 D+8.4
Barry 11,312 37.4% 18,638 61.6% 322 30,272 R+24.2
Tuscola 12,631 44.6% 15,389 54.3% 318 28,338 R+9.7
Ionia 10,647 38.6% 16,621 60.2% 350 27,618 R+21.6
Montcalm 11,471 42.9% 14,968 56.0% 295 26,734 R+13.1
St. Joseph 9,648 38.2% 15,340 60.8% 251 25,239 R+22.6
Isabella 12,334 50.6% 11,754 48.2% 302 24,390 D+2.4
Newaygo 9,057 39.6% 13,608 59.5% 208 22,873 R+19.9
Cass 9,537 42.0% 12,964 57.1% 196 22,697 R+15.1
Sanilac 7,883 38.0% 12,632 60.8% 248 20,763 R+22.9
Hillsdale 7,123 35.2% 12,804 63.3% 289 20,216 R+28.1
Delta 9,381 48.8% 9,680 50.3% 177 19,238 R+1.6
Branch 7,004 39.0% 10,784 60.0% 179 17,967 R+21.0
Mecosta 7,730 44.0% 9,710 55.2% 141 17,581 R+11.3
Huron 7,629 43.7% 9,671 55.4% 166 17,466 R+11.7
Gratiot 7,377 42.4% 9,834 56.6% 168 17,379 R+14.1
Emmet 6,846 39.4% 10,332 59.5% 194 17,372 R+20.1
Chippewa 7,203 43.7% 9,122 55.3% 163 16,488 R+11.6
Houghton 6,731 42.5% 8,889 56.1% 231 15,851 R+13.6
Alpena 7,407 48.7% 7,665 50.4% 139 15,211 R+1.7
Wexford 6,034 39.8% 8,966 59.1% 160 15,160 R+19.3
Mason 6,333 43.3% 8,124 55.6% 154 14,611 R+12.3
Roscommon 6,810 47.4% 7,364 51.3% 185 14,359 R+3.9
Clare 6,984 49.1% 7,088 49.8% 154 14,226 R+0.7
Charlevoix 5,729 40.5% 8,214 58.1% 196 14,139 R+17.6
Iosco 6,557 46.8% 7,301 52.1% 148 14,006 R+5.3
Leelanau 6,048 43.5% 7,733 55.6% 136 13,917 R+12.1
Cheboygan 5,941 42.8% 7,798 56.2% 148 13,887 R+13.4
Antrim 5,072 37.2% 8,379 61.5% 168 13,619 R+24.3
Dickinson 5,650 41.7% 7,734 57.1% 165 13,549 R+15.4
Gladwin 6,343 48.0% 6,770 51.2% 114 13,227 R+3.2
Manistee 6,272 49.2% 6,295 49.4% 173 12,740 R+0.2
Otsego 4,674 38.0% 7,470 60.7% 163 12,307 R+22.7
Oceana 5,441 44.2% 6,677 54.3% 179 12,297 R+10.1
Menominee 5,326 46.6% 5,942 52.0% 151 11,419 R+5.4
Osceola 4,467 39.9% 6,599 59.0% 122 11,188 R+19.1
Ogemaw 5,215 48.3% 5,454 50.5% 127 10,796 R+2.2
Benzie 4,383 44.8% 5,284 54.0% 111 9,778 R+9.2
Gogebic 4,421 52.3% 3,935 46.6% 96 8,452 D+5.8
Kalkaska 3,189 38.1% 5,084 60.7% 107 8,380 R+22.6
Arenac 4,076 49.6% 4,071 49.5% 69 8,216 D+0.1
Presque Isle 3,432 45.7% 3,982 53.0% 102 7,516 R+7.3
Missaukee 2,319 31.2% 5,055 68.1% 47 7,421 R+36.9
Crawford 3,126 43.2% 4,017 55.5% 92 7,235 R+12.3
Mackinac 2,819 42.7% 3,706 56.2% 74 6,599 R+13.4
Alcona 2,871 44.0% 3,592 55.0% 68 6,531 R+11.0
Iron 3,215 49.4% 3,224 49.5% 72 6,511 R+0.1
Montmorency 2,196 39.5% 3,300 59.3% 67 5,563 R+19.8
Lake 2,675 51.0% 2,503 47.7% 68 5,246 D+3.3
Alger 2,395 50.3% 2,318 48.6% 52 4,765 D+1.6
Schoolcraft 2,137 48.1% 2,267 51.0% 37 4,441 R+2.9
Oscoda 1,792 40.6% 2,570 58.3% 47 4,409 R+17.6
Ontonagon 1,863 44.4% 2,262 54.0% 67 4,192 R+9.5
Baraga 1,660 45.1% 1,977 53.7% 47 3,684 R+8.6
Luce 1,045 36.9% 1,749 61.8% 35 2,829 R+24.9
Keweenaw 630 43.8% 781 54.3% 28 1,439 R+10.5

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Michigan in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.4
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+2.8
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+9.5
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+16.5
2004 John Kerry (D) D+3.4
2000 Al Gore (D) D+5.1
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+13.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+7.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+7.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+19.0
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+6.5
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+5.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+14.4
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+6.7
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+33.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.5
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+1.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.0
1940 Wendell Willkie (R) R+0.3
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+17.6
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+7.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+41.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+62.2
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+50.5
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+8.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+29.5
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+43.7
1900 William McKinley (R) R+19.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+10.3
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+4.9
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+0.8
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+15.2
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+8.0
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+27.2
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+14.0