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United States · Election results history · 2004 president · Montana
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 presidential election in Montana

George W. Bush (Republican) beat John Kerry (Democrat) in Montana in 2004, 59.1% to 38.6%, a margin of 20.5 points and 92,353 votes.

Montana voted 18.0 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+2.5.

The Republican hold continued from 2000, when George W. Bush also won.

Republicans led in 50 of the 56 counties and Democrats in 6. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 66,286 votes and went to the Republican by 25.3 points. The closest was Blaine, where 124 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George W. Bush won Republican 266,063 59.1%
John Kerry Democratic 173,710 38.6%
All other candidates 10,661 2.4%
Total450,434

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Yellowstone 24,120 36.4% 40,903 61.7% 1,263 66,286 R+25.3
Missoula 26,983 51.4% 23,989 45.7% 1,480 52,452 D+5.7
Gallatin 16,405 41.2% 22,392 56.2% 1,044 39,841 R+15.0
Flathead 11,587 30.0% 26,019 67.3% 1,072 38,678 R+37.3
Cascade 13,701 40.9% 19,028 56.9% 730 33,459 R+15.9
Lewis and Clark 12,717 42.6% 16,494 55.3% 631 29,842 R+12.7
Ravalli 6,144 30.9% 13,279 66.8% 443 19,866 R+35.9
Silver Bow 9,307 57.9% 6,381 39.7% 396 16,084 D+18.2
Lake 4,960 39.4% 7,245 57.6% 371 12,576 R+18.2
Lincoln 2,320 27.5% 5,889 69.7% 238 8,447 R+42.3
Park 3,199 38.9% 4,771 58.1% 247 8,217 R+19.1
Hill 2,997 45.0% 3,505 52.7% 155 6,657 R+7.6
Fergus 1,582 25.8% 4,425 72.2% 120 6,127 R+46.4
Jefferson 1,881 32.1% 3,844 65.5% 143 5,868 R+33.5
Carbon 1,847 34.7% 3,342 62.8% 132 5,321 R+28.1
Sanders 1,502 29.1% 3,461 67.2% 190 5,153 R+38.0
Custer 1,630 32.3% 3,297 65.3% 121 5,048 R+33.0
Glacier 2,641 57.9% 1,828 40.1% 93 4,562 D+17.8
Deer Lodge 2,700 59.4% 1,725 38.0% 118 4,543 D+21.5
Dawson 1,494 33.3% 2,884 64.3% 106 4,484 R+31.0
Big Horn 2,215 51.4% 2,028 47.0% 68 4,311 D+4.3
Richland 1,120 26.0% 3,110 72.2% 78 4,308 R+46.2
Beaverhead 1,103 26.0% 3,067 72.3% 72 4,242 R+46.3
Stillwater 1,025 24.3% 3,090 73.3% 98 4,213 R+49.0
Roosevelt 2,195 54.5% 1,762 43.7% 71 4,028 D+10.7
Valley 1,431 35.6% 2,476 61.6% 111 4,018 R+26.0
Madison 983 25.0% 2,868 72.9% 82 3,933 R+47.9
Rosebud 1,520 42.4% 1,982 55.3% 83 3,585 R+12.9
Teton 1,047 31.2% 2,232 66.4% 80 3,359 R+35.3
Chouteau 946 32.4% 1,913 65.5% 62 2,921 R+33.1
Pondera 956 33.4% 1,853 64.8% 51 2,860 R+31.4
Powell 761 26.9% 1,993 70.4% 76 2,830 R+43.5
Blaine 1,300 47.0% 1,424 51.4% 44 2,768 R+4.5
Broadwater 533 22.7% 1,778 75.6% 42 2,353 R+52.9
Toole 690 29.9% 1,583 68.5% 38 2,311 R+38.6
Musselshell 538 23.9% 1,663 74.0% 46 2,247 R+50.1
Phillips 456 21.0% 1,677 77.3% 37 2,170 R+56.3
Sheridan 846 41.5% 1,159 56.9% 33 2,038 R+15.4
Sweet Grass 445 22.4% 1,509 76.1% 29 1,983 R+53.7
Mineral 542 29.5% 1,242 67.6% 53 1,837 R+38.1
Granite 404 25.2% 1,144 71.3% 57 1,605 R+46.1
Fallon 289 19.4% 1,178 79.0% 24 1,491 R+59.6
Judith Basin 322 25.0% 944 73.4% 20 1,286 R+48.4
McCone 320 28.1% 791 69.6% 26 1,137 R+41.4
Daniels 326 29.1% 764 68.3% 29 1,119 R+39.1
Liberty 281 27.2% 734 71.1% 18 1,033 R+43.9
Powder River 154 15.0% 856 83.2% 19 1,029 R+68.2
Wheatland 250 25.5% 706 72.1% 23 979 R+46.6
Meagher 247 25.4% 698 71.7% 28 973 R+46.4
Prairie 181 24.6% 546 74.2% 9 736 R+49.6
Carter 76 10.7% 623 87.9% 10 709 R+77.2
Garfield 52 7.9% 590 90.1% 13 655 R+82.1
Wibaux 144 25.7% 407 72.7% 9 560 R+47.0
Golden Valley 119 22.8% 396 75.9% 7 522 R+53.1
Treasure 121 25.1% 348 72.2% 13 482 R+47.1
Petroleum 55 18.8% 228 78.1% 9 292 R+59.2

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+19.9
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+16.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+20.4
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+13.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+2.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+20.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+25.1
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+2.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+7.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.0
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+19.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+9.9
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+41.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+23.1
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+29.1
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+19.3
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+11.8
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+4.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+20.4
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+18.6
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+60.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.7