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Election 1988 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1988 presidential election in Montana

George H. W. Bush (Republican) beat Michael Dukakis (Democrat) in Montana in 1988, 52.1% to 46.2%, a margin of 5.9 points and 21,476 votes.

Montana voted 1.8 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+7.7.

The Republican hold continued from 1984, when Ronald Reagan won.

Republicans led in 44 of the 56 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 12. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 50,647 votes and went to the Republican by 12.0 points. The closest was Sheridan, where 27 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George H. W. Bush won Republican 190,412 52.1%
Michael Dukakis Democratic 168,936 46.2%
All other candidates 6,326 1.7%
Total365,674

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Yellowstone 21,987 43.4% 28,069 55.4% 591 50,647 R+12.0
Missoula 19,178 53.8% 15,965 44.8% 526 35,669 D+9.0
Cascade 15,718 48.9% 15,946 49.6% 460 32,124 R+0.7
Flathead 10,202 40.4% 14,461 57.3% 562 25,225 R+16.9
Lewis And Clark 11,932 51.1% 10,946 46.9% 456 23,334 D+4.2
Gallatin 9,527 41.1% 13,214 56.9% 464 23,205 R+15.9
Silver Bow 11,422 68.4% 5,043 30.2% 222 16,687 D+38.2
Ravalli 4,763 38.1% 7,418 59.4% 309 12,490 R+21.3
Lake 4,109 44.9% 4,883 53.4% 158 9,150 R+8.5
Hill 4,219 54.2% 3,467 44.5% 105 7,791 D+9.7
Lincoln 3,601 49.4% 3,500 48.0% 193 7,294 D+1.4
Park 2,526 39.1% 3,823 59.1% 116 6,465 R+20.1
Fergus 2,052 33.6% 3,948 64.6% 116 6,116 R+31.0
Custer 2,343 42.9% 3,007 55.1% 112 5,462 R+12.2
Dawson 2,120 43.4% 2,658 54.4% 108 4,886 R+11.0
Valley 2,163 46.0% 2,467 52.4% 76 4,706 R+6.5
Richland 1,824 40.1% 2,628 57.8% 94 4,546 R+17.7
Carbon 2,039 45.6% 2,360 52.8% 71 4,470 R+7.2
Deer Lodge 3,185 72.3% 1,168 26.5% 53 4,406 D+45.8
Sanders 1,959 46.6% 2,152 51.2% 89 4,200 R+4.6
Roosevelt 2,083 50.6% 1,957 47.5% 78 4,118 D+3.1
Glacier 2,151 53.7% 1,728 43.2% 125 4,004 D+10.6
Beaverhead 1,274 31.9% 2,668 66.7% 56 3,998 R+34.9
Big Horn 2,233 56.0% 1,711 42.9% 40 3,984 D+13.1
Jefferson 1,746 45.5% 2,007 52.3% 84 3,837 R+6.8
Rosebud 1,869 49.3% 1,822 48.0% 101 3,792 D+1.2
Stillwater 1,407 41.6% 1,920 56.8% 52 3,379 R+15.2
Teton 1,303 40.2% 1,876 57.8% 65 3,244 R+17.7
Chouteau 1,166 36.2% 1,980 61.5% 73 3,219 R+25.3
Pondera 1,245 40.0% 1,795 57.6% 74 3,114 R+17.7
Madison 878 29.5% 2,045 68.6% 57 2,980 R+39.2
Blaine 1,460 50.1% 1,402 48.1% 50 2,912 D+2.0
Powell 1,174 42.0% 1,574 56.3% 47 2,795 R+14.3
Sheridan 1,354 49.0% 1,381 50.0% 28 2,763 R+1.0
Toole 1,070 40.6% 1,505 57.1% 59 2,634 R+16.5
Phillips 905 37.3% 1,462 60.3% 59 2,426 R+23.0
Musselshell 898 40.7% 1,280 58.1% 26 2,204 R+17.3
Sweet Grass 462 26.7% 1,242 71.7% 29 1,733 R+45.0
Broadwater 592 35.2% 1,054 62.6% 37 1,683 R+27.5
Fallon 612 37.4% 1,002 61.2% 22 1,636 R+23.8
Judith Basin 590 38.9% 902 59.5% 24 1,516 R+20.6
Mineral 789 55.3% 616 43.1% 23 1,428 D+12.1
McCone 567 40.5% 814 58.2% 18 1,399 R+17.7
Daniels 571 40.9% 802 57.5% 22 1,395 R+16.6
Granite 511 38.5% 789 59.5% 26 1,326 R+21.0
Powder River 395 32.1% 815 66.2% 22 1,232 R+34.1
Liberty 418 34.6% 771 63.8% 19 1,208 R+29.2
Wheatland 443 39.2% 667 59.0% 20 1,130 R+19.8
Meagher 337 33.4% 656 65.0% 16 1,009 R+31.6
Carter 242 25.7% 686 72.8% 14 942 R+47.1
Prairie 343 38.1% 541 60.1% 16 900 R+22.0
Garfield 196 23.0% 631 74.1% 24 851 R+51.1
Wibaux 258 41.0% 358 56.9% 13 629 R+15.9
Golden Valley 203 37.4% 335 61.7% 5 543 R+24.3
Treasure 231 43.1% 291 54.3% 14 536 R+11.2
Petroleum 91 30.1% 204 67.5% 7 302 R+37.4

Counties as they stood in 1988; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+19.9
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+16.4
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+20.4
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+13.7
2008 John McCain (R) R+2.3
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+20.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+25.1
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+2.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+5.9
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.3
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+24.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+7.4
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.1
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+9.0
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+18.4
1960 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.5
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+19.3
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+9.9
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+9.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+18.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+41.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+22.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+17.9
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+23.1
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+29.1
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+19.3
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+11.8
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+4.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+20.4
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+18.6
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+60.6
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+2.7