Election 1988 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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1988 presidential election in Arizona
George H. W. Bush (Republican) beat Michael Dukakis (Democrat) in Arizona in 1988, 60.0% to 38.7%, a margin of 21.2 points and 248,512 votes.
Arizona voted 13.5 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+7.7.
The Republican hold continued from 1984, when Ronald Reagan won.
Republicans led in 13 of the 15 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 2. The largest, Maricopa, cast 681,518 votes and went to the Republican by 31.0 points. The closest was Santa Cruz, where 52 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| George H. W. Bush won | Republican | 702,541 | 60.0% |
| Michael Dukakis | Democratic | 454,029 | 38.7% |
| All other candidates | 15,303 | 1.3% | |
| Total | 1,171,873 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | 230,952 33.9% | 442,337 64.9% | 8,229 | 681,518 | R+31.0 |
| Pima | 113,824 48.5% | 117,899 50.3% | 2,750 | 234,473 | R+1.7 |
| Yavapai | 14,514 33.6% | 27,842 64.4% | 850 | 43,206 | R+30.8 |
| Coconino | 14,660 45.6% | 16,649 51.8% | 831 | 32,140 | R+6.2 |
| Pinal | 13,850 47.5% | 14,966 51.3% | 364 | 29,180 | R+3.8 |
| Mohave | 10,197 36.0% | 17,651 62.4% | 438 | 28,286 | R+26.4 |
| Cochise | 11,812 42.1% | 15,815 56.4% | 423 | 28,050 | R+14.3 |
| Yuma | 8,952 39.8% | 13,253 59.0% | 275 | 22,480 | R+19.1 |
| Navajo | 9,023 45.9% | 10,393 52.8% | 261 | 19,677 | R+7.0 |
| Gila | 7,147 46.7% | 7,861 51.4% | 291 | 15,299 | R+4.7 |
| Apache | 8,944 61.5% | 5,347 36.8% | 253 | 14,544 | D+24.7 |
| Graham | 3,407 39.4% | 5,120 59.2% | 125 | 8,652 | R+19.8 |
| Santa Cruz | 3,268 48.8% | 3,320 49.6% | 102 | 6,690 | R+0.8 |
| La Paz | 1,746 39.9% | 2,562 58.5% | 68 | 4,376 | R+18.6 |
| Greenlee | 1,733 52.5% | 1,526 46.2% | 43 | 3,302 | D+6.3 |
Counties as they stood in 1988; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Arizona in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Donald Trump (R) | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+0.3 |
| 2016 | Donald Trump (R) | R+3.5 |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney (R) | R+9.1 |
| 2008 | John McCain (R) | R+8.5 |
| 2004 | George W. Bush (R) | R+10.5 |
| 2000 | George W. Bush (R) | R+6.3 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+2.2 |
| 1992 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+2.0 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+21.2 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+33.9 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+32.4 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+16.6 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+31.3 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+19.8 |
| 1964 | Barry Goldwater (R) | R+1.0 |
| 1960 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+11.2 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+22.1 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+16.7 |
| 1948 | Harry S. Truman (D) | D+10.0 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+17.9 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+27.5 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+42.9 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+36.5 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+15.3 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+5.8 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+11.2 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+21.8 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+30.8 |