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Election 1988 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

1988 presidential election in New Jersey

George H. W. Bush (Republican) beat Michael Dukakis (Democrat) in New Jersey in 1988, 56.2% to 42.6%, a margin of 13.6 points and 422,840 votes.

New Jersey voted 5.9 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was R+7.7.

The Republican hold continued from 1984, when Ronald Reagan won.

Republicans led in 18 of the 21 counties as they stood then and Democrats in 3. The largest, Bergen, cast 389,933 votes and went to the Republican by 17.0 points. The closest was Mercer, where 3,328 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
George H. W. Bush won Republican 1,743,192 56.2%
Michael Dukakis Democratic 1,320,352 42.6%
All other candidates 36,009 1.2%
Total3,099,553

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Bergen 160,655 41.2% 226,885 58.2% 2,393 389,933 R+17.0
Essex 156,098 56.4% 111,491 40.3% 9,378 276,967 D+16.1
Middlesex 117,149 44.4% 143,422 54.3% 3,548 264,119 R+9.9
Monmouth 91,844 38.1% 147,320 61.1% 1,793 240,957 R+23.0
Union 93,158 44.8% 112,967 54.3% 2,028 208,153 R+9.5
Camden 90,704 47.1% 100,072 52.0% 1,739 192,515 R+4.9
Ocean 64,474 33.8% 124,587 65.4% 1,497 190,558 R+31.5
Morris 58,721 31.4% 127,420 68.0% 1,108 187,249 R+36.7
Hudson 98,507 53.4% 84,334 45.7% 1,622 184,463 D+7.7
Passaic 66,254 42.1% 88,070 55.9% 3,189 157,513 R+13.9
Burlington 61,140 40.8% 87,416 58.3% 1,393 149,949 R+17.5
Mercer 68,712 50.8% 65,384 48.3% 1,249 135,345 D+2.5
Somerset 37,406 35.2% 67,658 63.7% 1,129 106,193 R+28.5
Gloucester 35,479 40.3% 51,708 58.7% 930 88,117 R+18.4
Atlantic 34,047 42.9% 44,748 56.3% 647 79,442 R+13.5
Sussex 13,676 27.3% 36,086 71.9% 398 50,160 R+44.7
Cumberland 21,869 45.2% 26,024 53.8% 456 48,349 R+8.6
Hunterdon 13,758 29.8% 31,907 69.1% 517 46,182 R+39.3
Cape May 15,105 34.2% 28,738 65.1% 274 44,117 R+30.9
Warren 11,640 34.6% 21,715 64.5% 311 33,666 R+29.9
Salem 9,956 38.9% 15,240 59.5% 410 25,606 R+20.6

Counties as they stood in 1988; some have since been split, merged or renamed. Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

New Jersey in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+5.9
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+15.9
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+14.1
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+17.8
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+15.6
2004 John Kerry (D) D+6.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+15.8
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+17.9
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+2.4
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+13.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+20.9
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+13.4
1976 Gerald Ford (R) R+2.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+24.8
1968 Richard Nixon (R) R+2.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+31.7
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.8
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+30.5
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+14.8
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.4
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.4
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+3.6
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+20.0
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+1.9
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+20.0
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+34.8
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+39.2
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+11.7
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+20.7
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+17.7
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+18.6
1900 William McKinley (R) R+14.2
1896 William McKinley (R) R+23.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+4.4
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+2.4
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+1.7
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+0.8
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+5.7
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+9.0
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+1.8