Election 2016 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
- 2028 President, Senate, House and governors Forecast
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- 2025 governors Results
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2016 presidential election in Arizona
Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Arizona in 2016, 48.7% to 45.1%, a margin of 3.5 points and 91,234 votes.
Arizona voted 5.6 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.
The Republican hold continued from 2012, when Mitt Romney won.
Republicans led in 11 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 4. The largest, Maricopa, cast 1,567,834 votes and went to the Republican by 2.8 points. The closest was Yuma, where 560 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump won | Republican | 1,252,401 | 48.7% |
| Hillary Clinton | Democratic | 1,161,167 | 45.1% |
| All other candidates | 159,597 | 6.2% | |
| Total | 2,573,165 |
Every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maricopa | 702,907 44.8% | 747,361 47.7% | 117,566 | 1,567,834 | R+2.8 |
| Pima | 224,661 53.3% | 167,428 39.7% | 29,551 | 421,640 | D+13.6 |
| Pinal | 47,892 37.0% | 72,819 56.2% | 8,835 | 129,546 | R+19.2 |
| Yavapai | 35,590 31.1% | 71,330 62.3% | 7,530 | 114,450 | R+31.2 |
| Mohave | 17,455 21.8% | 58,282 72.9% | 4,206 | 79,943 | R+51.1 |
| Coconino | 32,404 54.2% | 21,108 35.3% | 6,272 | 59,784 | D+18.9 |
| Yuma | 24,605 46.4% | 25,165 47.5% | 3,240 | 53,010 | R+1.1 |
| Cochise | 17,450 34.9% | 28,092 56.2% | 4,473 | 50,015 | R+21.3 |
| Navajo | 16,459 40.8% | 20,577 51.1% | 3,258 | 40,294 | R+10.2 |
| Apache | 17,083 61.8% | 8,240 29.8% | 2,338 | 27,661 | D+32.0 |
| Gila | 7,003 31.4% | 14,182 63.6% | 1,127 | 22,312 | R+32.2 |
| Santa Cruz | 11,690 71.1% | 3,897 23.7% | 846 | 16,433 | D+47.4 |
| Graham | 3,301 27.2% | 8,025 66.1% | 808 | 12,134 | R+38.9 |
| La Paz | 1,575 26.5% | 4,003 67.3% | 373 | 5,951 | R+40.8 |
| Greenlee | 1,092 33.4% | 1,892 57.9% | 286 | 3,270 | R+24.5 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Arizona in every presidential election we hold
| Year | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Donald Trump (R) | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | Joe Biden (D) | D+0.3 |
| 2016 | Donald Trump (R) | R+3.5 |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney (R) | R+9.1 |
| 2008 | John McCain (R) | R+8.5 |
| 2004 | George W. Bush (R) | R+10.5 |
| 2000 | George W. Bush (R) | R+6.3 |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton (D) | D+2.2 |
| 1992 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+2.0 |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush (R) | R+21.2 |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+33.9 |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan (R) | R+32.4 |
| 1976 | Gerald Ford (R) | R+16.6 |
| 1972 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+31.3 |
| 1968 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+19.8 |
| 1964 | Barry Goldwater (R) | R+1.0 |
| 1960 | Richard Nixon (R) | R+11.2 |
| 1956 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+22.1 |
| 1952 | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) | R+16.7 |
| 1948 | Harry S. Truman (D) | D+10.0 |
| 1944 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+17.9 |
| 1940 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+27.5 |
| 1936 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+42.9 |
| 1932 | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) | D+36.5 |
| 1928 | Herbert Hoover (R) | R+15.3 |
| 1924 | Calvin Coolidge (R) | R+5.8 |
| 1920 | Warren G. Harding (R) | R+11.2 |
| 1916 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+21.8 |
| 1912 | Woodrow Wilson (D) | D+30.8 |