United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Texas

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Texas in 2016, 52.2% to 43.2%, a margin of 9.0 points and 807,179 votes.

Texas voted 11.1 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1. Texas's 38 electoral votes were split: 36 Republican and 2 other.

The Republican hold continued from 2012, when Mitt Romney won.

Republicans led in 227 of the 254 counties and Democrats in 27. The largest, Harris, cast 1,312,112 votes and went to the Democrat by 12.3 points. The closest was Kenedy, where 15 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 4,685,047 52.2%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 3,877,868 43.2%
All other candidates 406,311 4.5%
Total8,969,226

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Harris 707,914 54.0% 545,955 41.6% 58,243 1,312,112 D+12.3
Dallas 461,080 60.8% 262,945 34.6% 34,948 758,973 D+26.1
Tarrant 288,392 43.1% 345,921 51.7% 34,201 668,514 R+8.6
Bexar 319,550 54.2% 240,333 40.8% 29,762 589,645 D+13.4
Travis 308,260 65.8% 127,209 27.1% 33,251 468,720 D+38.6
Collin 140,624 38.9% 201,014 55.6% 19,781 361,419 R+16.7
Denton 110,890 37.1% 170,603 57.1% 17,152 298,645 R+20.0
Fort Bend 134,686 51.4% 117,291 44.8% 10,089 262,066 D+6.6
El Paso 147,843 69.1% 55,512 25.9% 10,653 214,008 D+43.1
Montgomery 45,835 22.4% 150,314 73.5% 8,483 204,632 R+51.1
Williamson 84,468 41.6% 104,175 51.3% 14,438 203,081 R+9.7
Hidalgo 118,809 68.5% 48,642 28.0% 5,986 173,437 D+40.5
Galveston 43,658 35.5% 73,757 60.0% 5,488 122,903 R+24.5
Brazoria 43,200 35.6% 72,791 60.1% 5,190 121,181 R+24.4
Nueces 49,198 47.1% 50,766 48.6% 4,441 104,405 R+1.5
Lubbock 28,023 28.3% 65,651 66.3% 5,339 99,013 R+38.0
Bell 37,801 39.8% 51,998 54.7% 5,195 94,994 R+14.9
Cameron 59,402 64.5% 29,472 32.0% 3,205 92,079 D+32.5
Jefferson 42,443 48.4% 42,862 48.9% 2,313 87,618 R+0.5
Smith 22,300 26.3% 58,930 69.5% 3,538 84,768 R+43.2
McLennan 27,063 34.2% 48,260 61.0% 3,752 79,075 R+26.8
Hays 33,224 46.0% 33,826 46.9% 5,114 72,164 R+0.8
Brazos 23,121 34.4% 38,738 57.6% 5,352 67,211 R+23.2
Ellis 16,253 25.5% 44,941 70.6% 2,479 63,673 R+45.1
Comal 14,238 22.9% 45,136 72.6% 2,804 62,178 R+49.7
Guadalupe 18,391 31.8% 36,632 63.4% 2,799 57,822 R+31.5
Johnson 10,988 19.1% 44,382 77.0% 2,236 57,606 R+58.0
Webb 42,307 74.3% 12,947 22.8% 1,651 56,905 D+51.6
Parker 8,344 14.7% 46,473 81.8% 2,000 56,817 R+67.1
Randall 8,367 15.4% 43,462 80.0% 2,476 54,305 R+64.6
Midland 10,025 20.4% 36,973 75.1% 2,214 49,212 R+54.8
Grayson 10,301 21.7% 35,325 74.5% 1,790 47,416 R+52.8
Taylor 10,085 22.0% 33,250 72.7% 2,424 45,759 R+50.6
Gregg 11,677 28.0% 28,764 68.9% 1,308 41,749 R+40.9
Kaufman 10,278 24.9% 29,587 71.7% 1,400 41,265 R+46.8
Rockwall 9,655 24.2% 28,451 71.2% 1,842 39,948 R+47.1
Tom Green 9,173 23.8% 27,494 71.5% 1,812 38,479 R+47.6
Wichita 8,770 23.0% 27,631 72.5% 1,718 38,119 R+49.5
Ector 10,249 28.1% 25,020 68.5% 1,261 36,530 R+40.4
Bowie 8,838 25.5% 24,924 72.0% 840 34,602 R+46.5
Orange 5,735 17.9% 25,513 79.7% 752 32,000 R+61.8
Hunt 6,396 20.3% 23,910 75.8% 1,248 31,554 R+55.5
Victoria 8,866 28.5% 21,275 68.4% 982 31,123 R+39.9
Henderson 5,669 18.9% 23,650 78.7% 726 30,045 R+59.8
Angelina 7,538 25.2% 21,668 72.4% 705 29,911 R+47.2
Potter 7,657 26.7% 19,630 68.5% 1,364 28,651 R+41.8
Bastrop 10,569 37.1% 16,328 57.4% 1,557 28,454 R+20.2
Harrison 7,151 26.9% 18,749 70.6% 648 26,548 R+43.7
Hood 4,008 15.3% 21,382 81.4% 872 26,262 R+66.2
Wise 3,412 13.8% 20,670 83.4% 694 24,776 R+69.7
Liberty 4,862 20.0% 18,892 77.9% 513 24,267 R+57.8
Kerr 4,681 20.1% 17,727 76.1% 889 23,297 R+56.0
Hardin 2,780 12.2% 19,606 86.1% 394 22,780 R+73.9
Nacogdoches 6,846 30.3% 14,771 65.3% 1,005 22,622 R+35.0
Van Zandt 2,799 12.8% 18,473 84.4% 618 21,890 R+71.6
San Patricio 7,871 36.3% 13,030 60.2% 755 21,656 R+23.8
Kendall 3,643 18.1% 15,700 78.0% 777 20,120 R+59.9
Polk 4,187 21.1% 15,176 76.4% 489 19,852 R+55.4
Walker 6,091 30.8% 12,884 65.1% 821 19,796 R+34.3
Wilson 4,790 24.7% 13,998 72.0% 644 19,432 R+47.4
Burnet 3,797 19.8% 14,638 76.2% 769 19,204 R+56.5
Rusk 3,935 20.7% 14,675 77.3% 384 18,994 R+56.5
Wood 2,630 14.0% 15,700 83.8% 397 18,727 R+69.8
Lamar 3,583 19.3% 14,561 78.2% 467 18,611 R+59.0
Coryell 5,064 27.7% 12,225 67.0% 964 18,253 R+39.2
Medina 4,634 26.9% 12,085 70.1% 527 17,246 R+43.2
Anderson 3,369 19.8% 13,201 77.8% 407 16,977 R+57.9
Cherokee 3,469 20.7% 12,919 76.9% 402 16,790 R+56.3
Chambers 2,948 17.6% 13,339 79.5% 499 16,786 R+61.9
Waller 5,748 34.2% 10,531 62.7% 505 16,784 R+28.5
Navarro 4,002 24.4% 11,994 73.0% 437 16,433 R+48.6
Upshur 2,380 14.9% 13,209 82.5% 424 16,013 R+67.6
Cooke 2,352 14.7% 13,181 82.6% 422 15,955 R+67.9
Washington 3,382 22.8% 10,945 73.8% 501 14,828 R+51.0
Wharton 4,238 28.8% 10,149 68.9% 345 14,732 R+40.1
Brown 1,621 11.6% 12,017 85.7% 388 14,026 R+74.1
Erath 2,160 15.5% 11,210 80.7% 523 13,893 R+65.1
Atascosa 4,651 34.0% 8,618 63.0% 404 13,673 R+29.0
Val Verde 6,964 51.1% 5,890 43.3% 763 13,617 D+7.9
Maverick 10,397 76.5% 2,816 20.7% 375 13,588 D+55.8
Hopkins 2,510 18.5% 10,707 79.1% 321 13,538 R+60.5
Jasper 2,590 19.3% 10,609 79.1% 220 13,419 R+59.8
Gillespie 2,288 17.3% 10,446 79.1% 480 13,214 R+61.7
Hill 2,547 19.6% 10,108 77.9% 315 12,970 R+58.3
Jim Wells 6,694 54.1% 5,420 43.8% 265 12,379 D+10.3
Cass 2,391 19.4% 9,726 78.8% 227 12,344 R+59.4
Austin 2,320 18.9% 9,637 78.5% 317 12,274 R+59.6
Matagorda 3,500 28.7% 8,366 68.6% 330 12,196 R+39.9
Caldwell 4,795 39.7% 6,691 55.3% 606 12,092 R+15.7
Fannin 2,132 17.7% 9,548 79.3% 364 12,044 R+61.6
Starr 9,289 79.1% 2,224 18.9% 227 11,740 D+60.2
Fayette 2,144 19.2% 8,743 78.2% 287 11,174 R+59.1
Aransas 2,465 23.4% 7,740 73.6% 307 10,512 R+50.2
Llano 1,825 17.5% 8,299 79.4% 323 10,447 R+62.0
Panola 1,835 17.6% 8,445 81.1% 136 10,416 R+63.5
San Jacinto 2,038 19.7% 8,059 77.9% 246 10,343 R+58.2
Palo Pinto 1,708 16.6% 8,284 80.7% 278 10,270 R+64.0
Bandera 1,726 16.9% 8,163 79.9% 329 10,218 R+63.0
Grimes 2,194 23.0% 7,065 74.1% 274 9,533 R+51.1
Kleberg 4,716 49.6% 4,367 45.9% 429 9,512 D+3.7
Titus 2,597 27.6% 6,511 69.1% 311 9,419 R+41.6
Shelby 1,758 19.3% 7,179 79.0% 149 9,086 R+59.7
Uvalde 3,867 43.1% 4,835 53.9% 262 8,964 R+10.8
Hale 2,101 23.7% 6,366 71.9% 391 8,858 R+48.1
Howard 1,770 20.3% 6,637 76.1% 316 8,723 R+55.8
Milam 2,051 23.7% 6,364 73.5% 249 8,664 R+49.8
Lavaca 1,170 13.5% 7,347 84.8% 144 8,661 R+71.3
Montague 885 10.3% 7,526 87.5% 193 8,604 R+77.2
Colorado 1,987 23.3% 6,325 74.3% 201 8,513 R+51.0
Bee 3,444 40.6% 4,744 55.9% 297 8,485 R+15.3
Houston 1,978 23.7% 6,205 74.3% 170 8,353 R+50.6
Lampasas 1,483 18.1% 6,385 77.8% 337 8,205 R+59.7
Hutchinson 854 10.5% 7,042 86.4% 259 8,155 R+75.9
Tyler 1,248 15.6% 6,624 82.6% 144 8,016 R+67.1
Bosque 1,278 16.3% 6,339 80.9% 221 7,838 R+64.6
Limestone 1,778 23.0% 5,796 74.9% 165 7,739 R+51.9
Young 876 11.4% 6,601 85.6% 230 7,707 R+74.3
Freestone 1,471 19.1% 6,026 78.4% 187 7,684 R+59.3
Leon 909 12.2% 6,391 85.9% 139 7,439 R+73.7
Gray 701 9.5% 6,500 87.8% 204 7,405 R+78.3
Hockley 1,260 17.2% 5,809 79.5% 242 7,311 R+62.2
Robertson 2,203 31.3% 4,668 66.4% 164 7,035 R+35.0
Calhoun 2,118 30.4% 4,638 66.6% 209 6,965 R+36.2
Eastland 776 11.1% 6,011 86.3% 176 6,963 R+75.2
Burleson 1,491 21.4% 5,316 76.4% 153 6,960 R+55.0
Dewitt 1,163 17.0% 5,519 80.6% 162 6,844 R+63.6
Lee 1,372 21.0% 4,997 76.5% 166 6,535 R+55.5
Gonzales 1,571 24.8% 4,587 72.4% 176 6,334 R+47.6
Trinity 1,154 19.3% 4,737 79.1% 94 5,985 R+59.9
Jones 936 15.7% 4,819 80.9% 205 5,960 R+65.2
Blanco 1,244 21.9% 4,212 74.1% 229 5,685 R+52.2
Callahan 569 10.2% 4,865 87.2% 145 5,579 R+77.0
Newton 1,156 20.9% 4,288 77.5% 90 5,534 R+56.6
Jackson 904 17.1% 4,266 80.5% 132 5,302 R+63.4
Scurry 733 13.9% 4,410 83.4% 146 5,289 R+69.5
Moore 1,098 20.8% 3,977 75.3% 209 5,284 R+54.5
Falls 1,684 32.1% 3,441 65.6% 123 5,248 R+33.5
Comanche 789 15.1% 4,333 82.7% 115 5,237 R+67.7
Red River 1,149 22.3% 3,926 76.1% 86 5,161 R+53.8
Willacy 3,422 67.2% 1,547 30.4% 126 5,095 D+36.8
Clay 536 10.7% 4,377 87.2% 105 5,018 R+76.5
Morris 1,425 28.7% 3,446 69.3% 102 4,973 R+40.6
Andrews 836 16.9% 3,927 79.4% 180 4,943 R+62.5
Nolan 1,029 21.2% 3,552 73.1% 276 4,857 R+51.9
Rains 628 13.4% 3,968 84.4% 105 4,701 R+71.0
Sabine 614 13.2% 3,998 86.0% 39 4,651 R+72.8
Gaines 597 12.9% 3,907 84.6% 116 4,620 R+71.6
Camp 1,260 27.7% 3,201 70.5% 81 4,542 R+42.7
Frio 2,444 55.5% 1,856 42.2% 100 4,400 D+13.4
Franklin 665 15.2% 3,585 81.8% 130 4,380 R+66.7
Live Oak 742 17.2% 3,464 80.5% 96 4,302 R+63.3
Madison 881 20.5% 3,351 78.1% 57 4,289 R+57.6
Archer 394 9.2% 3,786 88.4% 103 4,283 R+79.2
Brewster 1,873 44.0% 2,077 48.8% 302 4,252 R+4.8
Marion 1,165 27.5% 2,983 70.4% 90 4,238 R+42.9
Deaf Smith 1,185 28.1% 2,911 69.0% 120 4,216 R+40.9
Karnes 1,145 27.3% 2,965 70.6% 88 4,198 R+43.4
Pecos 1,554 37.1% 2,468 59.0% 163 4,185 R+21.8
Duval 2,783 66.8% 1,316 31.6% 69 4,168 D+35.2
Wilbarger 809 19.7% 3,166 77.1% 130 4,105 R+57.4
Lamb 771 19.3% 3,111 77.9% 113 3,995 R+58.6
Somervell 541 13.9% 3,206 82.3% 150 3,897 R+68.4
Runnels 453 12.0% 3,250 85.9% 79 3,782 R+74.0
Goliad 973 26.2% 2,620 70.7% 115 3,708 R+44.4
Coleman 388 10.7% 3,177 87.2% 78 3,643 R+76.6
Hamilton 479 13.2% 3,060 84.5% 81 3,620 R+71.3
San Augustine 910 25.5% 2,622 73.5% 37 3,569 R+48.0
Dawson 835 23.4% 2,636 74.0% 92 3,563 R+50.5
Stephens 348 10.1% 3,034 87.7% 79 3,461 R+77.6
Ward 783 22.7% 2,547 73.9% 115 3,445 R+51.2
Zavala 2,636 77.6% 694 20.4% 66 3,396 D+57.2
Terry 753 22.4% 2,459 73.3% 143 3,355 R+50.8
Jack 314 9.4% 2,973 88.7% 63 3,350 R+79.4
Dimmit 2,173 67.4% 974 30.2% 78 3,225 D+37.2
Reeves 1,659 52.1% 1,417 44.5% 108 3,184 D+7.6
Zapata 2,063 65.7% 1,029 32.7% 50 3,142 D+32.9
McCulloch 482 15.5% 2,552 82.2% 69 3,103 R+66.7
Ochiltree 274 9.1% 2,628 87.5% 100 3,002 R+78.4
Carson 249 8.4% 2,620 88.4% 95 2,964 R+80.0
Refugio 1,034 35.1% 1,830 62.1% 84 2,948 R+27.0
Brooks 1,937 74.6% 613 23.6% 46 2,596 D+51.0
Parmer 485 19.7% 1,915 77.7% 66 2,466 R+58.0
San Saba 293 12.4% 2,025 85.9% 39 2,357 R+73.5
Wheeler 194 8.4% 2,087 90.5% 25 2,306 R+82.1
Yoakum 426 18.5% 1,797 78.0% 80 2,303 R+59.5
Delta 400 17.5% 1,836 80.5% 45 2,281 R+63.0
Mills 243 10.8% 1,951 86.9% 51 2,245 R+76.1
Presidio 1,458 66.0% 652 29.5% 98 2,208 D+36.5
Swisher 462 21.0% 1,671 75.8% 71 2,204 R+54.9
Mitchell 354 16.1% 1,780 81.1% 62 2,196 R+64.9
Jim Hogg 1,635 77.2% 430 20.3% 54 2,119 D+56.9
Childress 253 12.1% 1,802 86.5% 29 2,084 R+74.3
La Salle 1,129 54.8% 872 42.4% 58 2,059 D+12.5
Mason 354 17.2% 1,656 80.5% 47 2,057 R+63.3
Lynn 403 20.1% 1,546 77.0% 60 2,009 R+56.9
Castro 526 26.3% 1,414 70.8% 57 1,997 R+44.5
Floyd 435 22.2% 1,474 75.2% 50 1,959 R+53.0
Hartley 173 8.9% 1,730 88.6% 49 1,952 R+79.8
Kimble 206 10.6% 1,697 86.9% 49 1,952 R+76.4
Hansford 171 8.8% 1,730 88.9% 46 1,947 R+80.1
Winkler 420 22.4% 1,403 74.8% 53 1,876 R+52.4
Bailey 397 22.1% 1,344 75.0% 52 1,793 R+52.8
Haskell 314 17.7% 1,403 79.3% 53 1,770 R+61.5
Martin 266 15.1% 1,455 82.6% 41 1,762 R+67.5
Fisher 403 23.3% 1,265 73.2% 61 1,729 R+49.9
Crosby 468 27.1% 1,181 68.3% 79 1,728 R+41.3
Hemphill 181 10.7% 1,462 86.3% 52 1,695 R+75.6
Real 262 15.6% 1,382 82.2% 37 1,681 R+66.6
Dallam 222 14.4% 1,261 81.7% 61 1,544 R+67.3
Hardeman 249 16.5% 1,207 79.8% 57 1,513 R+63.3
Shackelford 103 6.8% 1,378 91.6% 23 1,504 R+84.8
Baylor 191 12.7% 1,267 84.5% 41 1,499 R+71.8
Garza 230 15.5% 1,225 82.5% 29 1,484 R+67.0
Donley 191 13.0% 1,225 83.6% 49 1,465 R+70.6
Kinney 458 32.0% 936 65.5% 36 1,430 R+33.4
Coke 140 9.8% 1,265 88.9% 18 1,423 R+79.1
Sutton 313 22.1% 1,075 75.9% 28 1,416 R+53.8
Crockett 372 26.7% 980 70.3% 43 1,395 R+43.6
Crane 299 21.6% 1,049 75.8% 36 1,384 R+54.2
Knox 247 18.1% 1,078 78.9% 42 1,367 R+60.8
Upton 286 21.2% 1,007 74.8% 54 1,347 R+53.5
Lipscomb 135 10.1% 1,159 87.0% 38 1,332 R+76.9
Jeff Davis 422 35.4% 695 58.4% 74 1,191 R+22.9
Collingsworth 145 12.5% 983 85.0% 28 1,156 R+72.5
Hall 164 15.0% 893 81.9% 34 1,091 R+66.8
Edwards 303 28.2% 746 69.5% 24 1,073 R+41.3
Concho 148 13.9% 885 82.9% 35 1,068 R+69.0
Schleicher 208 19.6% 821 77.5% 30 1,059 R+57.9
Armstrong 70 6.9% 924 90.5% 27 1,021 R+83.6
Oldham 78 8.2% 850 89.7% 20 948 R+81.4
Sherman 96 10.3% 807 86.3% 32 935 R+76.0
Dickens 128 14.1% 755 83.1% 26 909 R+69.0
Reagan 167 18.5% 709 78.4% 28 904 R+60.0
Cochran 190 21.1% 679 75.4% 32 901 R+54.3
Hudspeth 324 37.2% 503 57.7% 44 871 R+20.6
Menard 154 17.8% 682 78.9% 28 864 R+61.1
Throckmorton 84 10.4% 715 88.5% 9 808 R+78.1
Culberson 454 59.2% 280 36.5% 33 767 D+22.7
Irion 90 11.7% 660 86.2% 16 766 R+74.4
Briscoe 91 12.4% 625 84.9% 20 736 R+72.6
Stonewall 135 19.3% 555 79.2% 11 701 R+59.9
Sterling 70 11.1% 549 86.7% 14 633 R+75.7
Motley 40 6.5% 566 92.0% 9 615 R+85.5
Cottle 92 15.0% 506 82.7% 14 612 R+67.6
Glasscock 34 5.6% 553 91.6% 17 604 R+85.9
Roberts 20 3.6% 524 94.6% 10 554 R+91.0
Foard 113 22.0% 383 74.7% 17 513 R+52.6
McMullen 40 8.0% 454 91.0% 5 499 R+83.0
Terrell 140 32.0% 288 65.8% 10 438 R+33.8
Kent 59 13.6% 360 82.9% 15 434 R+69.4
Borden 31 8.5% 330 90.4% 4 365 R+81.9
Kenedy 99 53.2% 84 45.2% 3 186 D+8.1
King 5 3.1% 149 93.7% 5 159 R+90.6
Loving 4 6.2% 58 89.2% 3 65 R+83.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Texas in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+13.7
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+5.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+9.0
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+15.8
2008 John McCain (R) R+11.8
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+22.9
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+21.3
1996 Bob Dole (R) R+4.9
1992 George H. W. Bush (R) R+3.5
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+12.6
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+27.5
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+13.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+3.2
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+33.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+1.3
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+26.8
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.0
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+11.3
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+6.4
1948 Harry S. Truman (D) D+41.7
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+54.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+62.0
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+74.8
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+76.7
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+3.7
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+53.9
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+35.8
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+59.5
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+63.9
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+51.6
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+49.6
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+32.4
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+37.2
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+37.4
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+41.0
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+40.9
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+40.8
1876 Samuel J. Tilden (D) D+40.1
1872 Third party (other)