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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Hawaii

Hillary Clinton (Democrat) beat Donald Trump (Republican) in Hawaii in 2016, 62.2% to 30.0%, a margin of 32.2 points and 138,044 votes.

Hawaii voted 30.1 points more Democratic than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1. Hawaii's 4 electoral votes were split: 3 Democratic and 1 other.

The Democratic hold continued from 2012, when Barack Obama won.

Democrats led in 4 of the 4 counties. The largest, Honolulu, cast 285,790 votes and went to the Democrat by 29.9 points. The closest was Kauai, where 8,882 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Hillary Clinton won Democratic 266,891 62.2%
Donald Trump Republican 128,847 30.0%
All other candidates 33,199 7.7%
Total428,937

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Honolulu 175,696 61.5% 90,326 31.6% 19,768 285,790 D+29.9
Hawaii 41,259 63.6% 17,501 27.0% 6,107 64,867 D+36.6
Maui 33,480 64.5% 13,446 25.9% 5,019 51,945 D+38.6
Kauai 16,456 62.5% 7,574 28.8% 2,305 26,335 D+33.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Hawaii in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Kamala Harris (D) D+23.1
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+29.5
2016 Hillary Clinton (D) D+32.2
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+42.7
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+45.3
2004 John Kerry (D) D+8.7
2000 Al Gore (D) D+18.3
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+25.3
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+11.4
1988 Michael Dukakis (D) D+9.5
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+11.3
1980 Jimmy Carter (D) D+1.9
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+2.5
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+25.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+21.1
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+57.5
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+0.1