United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Louisiana

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Louisiana in 2016, 58.1% to 38.4%, a margin of 19.6 points and 398,484 votes.

Louisiana voted 21.7 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

The Republican hold continued from 2012, when Mitt Romney won.

Republicans led in 54 of the 64 counties and Democrats in 10. The largest, East Baton Rouge, cast 196,491 votes and went to the Democrat by 9.2 points. The closest was Tensas, where 150 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 1,178,638 58.1%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 780,154 38.4%
All other candidates 70,240 3.5%
Total2,029,032

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
East Baton Rouge 102,828 52.3% 84,660 43.1% 9,003 196,491 D+9.2
Jefferson 73,670 40.6% 100,398 55.3% 7,571 181,639 R+14.7
Orleans 133,996 80.8% 24,292 14.7% 7,524 165,812 D+66.2
St. Tammany 27,717 22.3% 90,915 73.1% 5,760 124,392 R+50.8
Caddo 53,483 50.5% 49,006 46.3% 3,315 105,804 D+4.2
Lafayette 32,726 31.0% 68,195 64.6% 4,682 105,603 R+33.6
Calcasieu 26,296 31.4% 54,191 64.7% 3,298 83,785 R+33.3
Ouachita 24,428 35.9% 41,734 61.4% 1,855 68,017 R+25.4
Livingston 6,950 12.0% 48,824 84.6% 1,956 57,730 R+72.5
Rapides 18,322 32.2% 36,816 64.8% 1,706 56,844 R+32.5
Ascension 16,476 30.1% 36,143 66.1% 2,059 54,678 R+36.0
Tangipahoa 16,878 32.2% 33,959 64.8% 1,579 52,416 R+32.6
Bossier 12,641 25.4% 35,474 71.2% 1,733 49,848 R+45.8
Terrebonne 10,665 24.3% 31,902 72.7% 1,329 43,896 R+48.4
Lafourche 8,423 20.2% 31,959 76.7% 1,263 41,645 R+56.5
St. Landry 17,209 43.0% 21,971 55.0% 797 39,977 R+11.9
Iberia 10,698 33.0% 20,903 64.4% 853 32,454 R+31.4
Acadia 5,638 20.6% 21,162 77.3% 589 27,389 R+56.7
St. Charles 8,559 32.7% 16,621 63.5% 1,012 26,192 R+30.8
St. Martin 8,266 32.1% 16,873 65.5% 611 25,750 R+33.4
Vermilion 4,857 18.9% 20,063 78.3% 712 25,632 R+59.3
St. Mary 8,050 35.2% 14,359 62.8% 468 22,877 R+27.6
St. John the Baptist 12,661 61.0% 7,569 36.5% 513 20,743 D+24.5
Lincoln 7,107 38.1% 10,761 57.6% 801 18,669 R+19.6
Washington 5,692 30.6% 12,556 67.4% 380 18,628 R+36.8
Webster 6,260 34.5% 11,542 63.6% 343 18,145 R+29.1
Vernon 2,665 16.0% 13,471 81.0% 497 16,633 R+65.0
Natchitoches 7,144 43.0% 8,968 54.0% 509 16,621 R+11.0
Avoyelles 5,035 30.4% 11,165 67.3% 386 16,586 R+37.0
Iberville 8,324 51.9% 7,320 45.6% 399 16,043 D+6.3
St. Bernard 4,960 31.4% 10,237 64.7% 618 15,815 R+33.4
Beauregard 2,393 15.9% 12,238 81.2% 447 15,078 R+65.3
Evangeline 4,208 28.3% 10,360 69.6% 314 14,882 R+41.3
Jefferson Davis 3,080 21.6% 10,775 75.5% 422 14,277 R+53.9
De Soto 5,165 38.3% 8,068 59.8% 267 13,500 R+21.5
West Baton Rouge 5,383 42.3% 6,927 54.5% 402 12,712 R+12.1
St. James 6,418 53.1% 5,456 45.1% 211 12,085 D+8.0
Morehouse 5,155 43.5% 6,502 54.9% 195 11,852 R+11.4
Pointe Coupee 4,764 40.5% 6,789 57.7% 208 11,761 R+17.2
Assumption 3,931 36.1% 6,714 61.6% 259 10,904 R+25.5
Union 2,691 24.7% 7,972 73.2% 231 10,894 R+48.5
Plaquemines 3,347 31.7% 6,900 65.3% 326 10,573 R+33.6
East Feliciana 4,235 42.2% 5,569 55.5% 238 10,042 R+13.3
Sabine 1,703 17.4% 7,879 80.5% 205 9,787 R+63.1
Richland 3,157 32.9% 6,287 65.5% 153 9,597 R+32.6
Allen 2,106 22.8% 6,867 74.3% 272 9,245 R+51.5
Franklin 2,506 27.4% 6,514 71.1% 142 9,162 R+43.7
Concordia 3,272 36.9% 5,477 61.7% 123 8,872 R+24.9
Grant 1,181 13.4% 7,408 84.0% 232 8,821 R+70.6
Jackson 2,139 28.7% 5,169 69.3% 156 7,464 R+40.6
Bienville 3,129 44.7% 3,756 53.6% 120 7,005 R+9.0
La Salle 605 9.2% 5,836 88.8% 128 6,569 R+79.6
Claiborne 2,717 42.3% 3,585 55.8% 119 6,421 R+13.5
Winn 1,644 25.8% 4,608 72.3% 120 6,372 R+46.5
St. Helena 3,353 56.2% 2,497 41.9% 114 5,964 D+14.4
West Feliciana 2,248 38.8% 3,390 58.5% 161 5,799 R+19.7
Catahoula 1,322 27.2% 3,479 71.6% 55 4,856 R+44.4
West Carroll 715 15.0% 3,970 83.4% 74 4,759 R+68.4
Madison 2,744 58.0% 1,927 40.7% 61 4,732 D+17.3
Caldwell 788 16.8% 3,822 81.5% 82 4,692 R+64.7
Red River 1,938 43.8% 2,391 54.1% 93 4,422 R+10.2
Cameron 323 8.7% 3,256 88.2% 113 3,692 R+79.4
East Carroll 1,838 62.5% 1,059 36.0% 42 2,939 D+26.5
Tensas 1,332 52.3% 1,182 46.4% 34 2,548 D+5.9

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Louisiana in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+22.0
2020 Donald Trump (R) R+18.6
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+19.6
2012 Mitt Romney (R) R+17.2
2008 John McCain (R) R+18.6
2004 George W. Bush (R) R+14.5
2000 George W. Bush (R) R+7.7
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+12.1
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+4.6
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+9.2
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+22.6
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+5.5
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+5.8
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+37.0
1968 George Wallace (other)
1964 Barry Goldwater (R) R+13.6
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+21.8
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.8
1952 Adlai Stevenson II (D) D+5.8
1948 Strom Thurmond (other)
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+61.2
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+71.8
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+77.7
1932 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+85.8
1928 Al Smith (D) D+52.6
1924 John W. Davis (D) D+56.2
1920 James M. Cox (D) D+38.7
1916 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+78.9
1912 Woodrow Wilson (D) D+72.0
1908 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+72.7
1904 Alton B. Parker (D) D+78.8
1900 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+58.1
1896 William Jennings Bryan (D) D+54.6
1892 Grover Cleveland (D) D+53.1
1888 Grover Cleveland (D) D+46.9
1884 Grover Cleveland (D) D+14.9
1880 Winfield Scott Hancock (D) D+25.0
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+3.3
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+11.4
1868 Horatio Seymour (D) D+41.4