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United States · Election results history · 2016 president · Pennsylvania
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 presidential election in Pennsylvania

Donald Trump (Republican) beat Hillary Clinton (Democrat) in Pennsylvania in 2016, 48.2% to 47.5%, a margin of 0.7 points and 44,292 votes.

Pennsylvania voted 2.8 points more Republican than the country as a whole, where the margin was D+2.1.

Pennsylvania changed party: in 2012 it went Democratic, for Barack Obama.

Republicans led in 56 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 11. The largest, Philadelphia, cast 707,631 votes and went to the Democrat by 67.2 points. The closest was Monroe, where 532 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Result

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Donald Trump won Republican 2,970,733 48.2%
Hillary Clinton Democratic 2,926,441 47.5%
All other candidates 268,304 4.4%
Total6,165,478

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Philadelphia 584,025 82.5% 108,748 15.4% 14,858 707,631 D+67.2
Allegheny 367,617 56.5% 259,480 39.9% 23,017 650,114 D+16.6
Montgomery 256,082 58.9% 162,731 37.4% 15,874 434,687 D+21.5
Bucks 167,060 48.5% 164,361 47.7% 12,876 344,297 D+0.8
Delaware 177,402 59.6% 110,667 37.2% 9,565 297,634 D+22.4
Chester 141,682 52.7% 116,114 43.2% 11,004 268,800 D+9.5
Lancaster 91,093 37.8% 137,914 57.2% 12,105 241,112 R+19.4
York 68,524 33.3% 128,528 62.4% 8,934 205,986 R+29.1
Berks 78,437 42.8% 96,626 52.8% 8,002 183,065 R+9.9
Westmoreland 59,669 32.8% 116,522 64.0% 5,860 182,051 R+31.2
Lehigh 81,324 50.5% 73,690 45.8% 5,979 160,993 D+4.7
Northampton 66,272 46.2% 71,736 50.0% 5,511 143,519 R+3.8
Luzerne 52,451 38.9% 78,688 58.3% 3,844 134,983 R+19.4
Dauphin 64,706 49.4% 60,863 46.5% 5,303 130,872 D+2.9
Erie 58,112 47.0% 60,069 48.6% 5,498 123,679 R+1.6
Cumberland 47,085 38.7% 69,076 56.8% 5,456 121,617 R+18.1
Lackawanna 51,983 50.2% 48,384 46.8% 3,089 103,456 D+3.5
Washington 36,322 35.8% 61,386 60.5% 3,742 101,450 R+24.7
Butler 28,584 29.4% 64,428 66.4% 4,059 97,071 R+36.9
Beaver 32,531 38.9% 48,167 57.6% 2,873 83,571 R+18.7
Centre 37,088 48.7% 35,274 46.3% 3,786 76,148 D+2.4
Monroe 33,918 48.6% 33,386 47.9% 2,448 69,752 D+0.8
Franklin 17,465 25.0% 49,768 71.4% 2,498 69,731 R+46.3
Cambria 18,867 29.9% 42,258 67.0% 1,947 63,072 R+37.1
Schuylkill 16,770 26.7% 44,001 70.0% 2,098 62,869 R+43.3
Lebanon 18,953 30.6% 40,525 65.5% 2,367 61,845 R+34.9
Blair 13,958 25.4% 39,135 71.3% 1,816 54,909 R+45.9
Fayette 17,946 33.4% 34,590 64.3% 1,231 53,767 R+31.0
Mercer 18,733 35.8% 31,544 60.3% 2,032 52,309 R+24.5
Lycoming 13,020 25.7% 35,627 70.5% 1,918 50,565 R+44.7
Adams 14,219 29.9% 31,423 66.2% 1,847 47,489 R+36.2
Lawrence 14,009 34.4% 25,428 62.4% 1,316 40,753 R+28.0
Indiana 11,528 30.5% 24,888 65.9% 1,354 37,770 R+35.4
Crawford 10,971 29.3% 24,987 66.6% 1,534 37,492 R+37.4
Northumberland 9,788 26.7% 25,427 69.4% 1,407 36,622 R+42.7
Somerset 7,376 20.6% 27,379 76.5% 1,018 35,773 R+55.9
Clearfield 8,200 23.9% 24,932 72.7% 1,139 34,271 R+48.8
Armstrong 7,178 22.7% 23,484 74.3% 956 31,618 R+51.6
Carbon 8,936 31.1% 18,743 65.1% 1,097 28,776 R+34.1
Columbia 8,934 31.6% 18,004 63.8% 1,290 28,228 R+32.1
Pike 9,256 35.5% 16,056 61.5% 789 26,101 R+26.1
Bradford 6,369 24.8% 18,141 70.6% 1,198 25,708 R+45.8
Wayne 7,008 29.2% 16,244 67.6% 766 24,018 R+38.5
Bedford 3,645 15.4% 19,552 82.7% 440 23,637 R+67.3
Venango 6,309 27.0% 16,021 68.6% 1,018 23,348 R+41.6
Perry 4,632 21.9% 15,616 73.8% 910 21,158 R+51.9
Huntingdon 4,539 23.0% 14,494 73.6% 673 19,706 R+50.5
Jefferson 3,650 18.7% 15,192 78.0% 636 19,478 R+59.3
Susquehanna 5,123 27.2% 12,891 68.3% 849 18,863 R+41.2
Mifflin 3,877 20.8% 14,094 75.8% 630 18,601 R+54.9
Warren 5,145 27.9% 12,477 67.7% 812 18,434 R+39.8
Tioga 3,901 21.3% 13,614 74.3% 810 18,325 R+53.0
Clarion 4,273 24.4% 12,576 71.7% 686 17,535 R+47.4
Union 6,180 35.4% 10,622 60.8% 666 17,468 R+25.4
Snyder 4,002 24.5% 11,725 71.7% 636 16,363 R+47.2
McKean 4,025 24.7% 11,635 71.4% 636 16,296 R+46.7
Greene 4,482 28.4% 10,849 68.8% 433 15,764 R+40.4
Clinton 4,744 30.8% 10,022 65.1% 628 15,394 R+34.3
Elk 3,853 26.7% 10,025 69.5% 548 14,426 R+42.8
Wyoming 3,811 29.0% 8,837 67.2% 496 13,144 R+38.2
Juniata 1,821 17.4% 8,273 79.1% 360 10,454 R+61.7
Montour 2,857 33.4% 5,288 61.8% 411 8,556 R+28.4
Potter 1,302 16.7% 6,251 80.3% 231 7,784 R+63.6
Fulton 912 13.5% 5,694 84.1% 165 6,771 R+70.6
Sullivan 750 23.9% 2,291 73.1% 95 3,136 R+49.1
Forest 626 26.1% 1,683 70.1% 92 2,401 R+44.0
Cameron 531 24.3% 1,589 72.7% 66 2,186 R+48.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania in every presidential election we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2024 Donald Trump (R) R+1.7
2020 Joe Biden (D) D+1.2
2016 Donald Trump (R) R+0.7
2012 Barack Obama (D) D+5.4
2008 Barack Obama (D) D+10.3
2004 John Kerry (D) D+2.5
2000 Al Gore (D) D+4.2
1996 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.2
1992 Bill Clinton (D) D+9.0
1988 George H. W. Bush (R) R+2.3
1984 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.4
1980 Ronald Reagan (R) R+7.1
1976 Jimmy Carter (D) D+2.7
1972 Richard Nixon (R) R+20.0
1968 Hubert Humphrey (D) D+3.6
1964 Lyndon B. Johnson (D) D+30.2
1960 John F. Kennedy (D) D+2.3
1956 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+13.2
1952 Dwight D. Eisenhower (R) R+5.9
1948 Thomas E. Dewey (R) R+4.0
1944 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+2.8
1940 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+6.9
1936 Franklin D. Roosevelt (D) D+16.0
1932 Herbert Hoover (R) R+5.5
1928 Herbert Hoover (R) R+31.4
1924 Calvin Coolidge (R) R+46.3
1920 Warren G. Harding (R) R+38.6
1916 Charles Evans Hughes (R) R+14.0
1912 Theodore Roosevelt (other)
1908 William Howard Taft (R) R+23.4
1904 Theodore Roosevelt (R) R+40.9
1900 William McKinley (R) R+24.6
1896 William McKinley (R) R+24.7
1892 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+6.4
1888 Benjamin Harrison (R) R+8.0
1884 James G. Blaine (R) R+9.5
1880 James A. Garfield (R) R+4.3
1876 Rutherford B. Hayes (R) R+2.4
1872 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+24.5
1868 Ulysses S. Grant (R) R+4.4