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United States · Election results history · 2016 House · Pennsylvania
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 US House elections in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania elected 18 members of the House in 2016: Democrats won 5 seats and Republicans 13.

The closest was the 17th district, decided by 7.6 points: Matt Cartwright (Democrat) beat Matt Connolly (Republican), 53.8% to 46.2%, a margin of 7.6 points and 22,304 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 61 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 6. The largest, Philadelphia, cast 648,203 votes and went to the Democrat by 81.2 points. The closest was Forest, where 1,076 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Robert A. Brady245,791 (82.2%) Deborah Williams53,219 (17.8%) D+64.4
2 Dwight Evans322,514 (90.2%) James A. Jones35,131 (9.8%) D+80.4
3 none Mike Kelly244,893 (100.0%) R+100.0
4 Joshua Burkholder113,372 (33.9%) Scott Perry220,628 (66.1%) R+32.1
5 Kerith Strano Taylor101,082 (32.8%) Glenn Thompson206,761 (67.2%) R+34.3
6 Mike Parrish155,000 (42.8%) Ryan A. Costello207,469 (57.2%) R+14.5
7 Mary Ellen Balchunis153,824 (40.5%) Patrick Meehan225,678 (59.5%) R+18.9
8 Steve Santarsiero173,555 (45.6%) Brian Fitzpatrick207,263 (54.4%) R+8.9
9 Art Halvorson107,985 (36.7%) Bill Shuster186,580 (63.3%) R+26.7
10 Mike Molesevich89,823 (29.8%) Tom Marino211,282 (70.2%) R+40.3
11 Mike Marsicano113,800 (36.3%) Lou Barletta199,421 (63.7%) R+27.3
12 Erin R. McClelland137,353 (38.2%) Keith J. Rothfus221,851 (61.8%) R+23.5
13 Brendan F. Boyle239,316 (100.0%) none D+100.0
14 Michael F. Doyle255,293 (74.4%) Lenny McAllister87,999 (25.6%) D+48.7
15 Rick Daugherty124,129 (38.0%) Charles W. Dent190,618 (58.4%) 11,727 R+20.4
16 Christina Hartman134,586 (42.9%) Lloyd K. Smucker168,669 (53.8%) 10,518 R+10.9
17 Matt Cartwright157,734 (53.8%) Matt Connolly135,430 (46.2%) D+7.6
18 none Tim Murphy293,684 (100.0%) R+100.0

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Philadelphia 587,147 90.6% 61,056 9.4% 648,203 D+81.2
Allegheny 311,338 51.5% 292,805 48.5% 604,143 D+3.1
Montgomery 246,385 66.2% 125,525 33.8% 371,910 D+32.5
Bucks 156,527 46.2% 182,120 53.8% 338,647 R+7.6
Delaware 150,468 51.9% 139,614 48.1% 290,082 D+3.7
Chester 120,661 45.1% 145,030 54.2% 1,690 267,381 R+9.1
Lancaster 88,103 36.5% 145,243 60.2% 7,926 241,272 R+23.7
York 62,969 30.9% 141,076 69.1% 204,045 R+38.3
Berks 74,137 42.3% 99,194 56.6% 1,789 175,120 R+14.3
Lehigh 67,153 42.4% 84,949 53.6% 6,274 158,376 R+11.2
Westmoreland 22,689 14.4% 135,374 85.6% 158,063 R+71.3
Northampton 60,429 44.3% 73,748 54.1% 2,192 136,369 R+9.8
Luzerne 58,232 44.3% 73,301 55.7% 131,533 R+11.5
Dauphin 59,322 47.0% 66,093 52.4% 836 126,251 R+5.4
Cumberland 42,188 35.0% 78,381 65.0% 120,569 R+30.0
Lackawanna 61,646 62.0% 37,774 38.0% 99,420 D+24.0
Erie 21,235 22.4% 73,494 77.6% 94,729 R+55.2
Washington 8,110 9.7% 75,676 90.3% 83,786 R+80.6
Beaver 34,109 41.2% 48,729 58.8% 82,838 R+17.6
Butler 0 0.0% 80,065 100.0% 80,065 R+100.0
Centre 33,383 44.6% 41,437 55.4% 74,820 R+10.8
Franklin 22,461 33.2% 45,109 66.8% 67,570 R+33.5
Monroe 33,006 51.0% 31,649 49.0% 64,655 D+2.1
Cambria 21,543 34.5% 40,932 65.5% 62,475 R+31.0
Schuylkill 23,262 37.8% 38,280 62.2% 61,542 R+24.4
Lebanon 17,281 28.6% 41,619 68.9% 1,538 60,438 R+40.3
Blair 19,888 37.1% 33,679 62.9% 53,567 R+25.7
Fayette 18,970 37.4% 31,772 62.6% 50,742 R+25.2
Lycoming 13,087 26.0% 37,297 74.0% 50,384 R+48.1
Adams 12,814 27.5% 33,788 72.5% 46,602 R+45.0
Mercer 0 0.0% 37,915 100.0% 37,915 R+100.0
Northumberland 10,434 29.2% 25,333 70.8% 35,767 R+41.7
Indiana 16,320 45.8% 19,336 54.2% 35,656 R+8.5
Somerset 8,066 22.6% 27,578 77.4% 35,644 R+54.7
Clearfield 8,653 25.6% 25,186 74.4% 33,839 R+48.9
Lawrence 2,809 8.5% 30,081 91.5% 32,890 R+82.9
Crawford 611 2.1% 29,115 97.9% 29,726 R+95.9
Columbia 9,251 32.9% 18,873 67.1% 28,124 R+34.2
Carbon 10,939 39.4% 16,828 60.6% 27,767 R+21.2
Armstrong 0 0.0% 26,957 100.0% 26,957 R+100.0
Bradford 6,159 24.3% 19,201 75.7% 25,360 R+51.4
Pike 8,912 35.3% 16,369 64.7% 25,281 R+29.5
Wayne 6,641 28.5% 16,679 71.5% 23,320 R+43.0
Bedford 8,811 38.1% 14,343 61.9% 23,154 R+23.9
Venango 6,086 26.4% 16,930 73.6% 23,016 R+47.1
Perry 4,617 22.3% 16,122 77.7% 20,739 R+55.5
Huntingdon 4,935 25.6% 14,377 74.4% 19,312 R+48.9
Jefferson 4,428 23.0% 14,792 77.0% 19,220 R+53.9
Susquehanna 5,054 26.8% 13,839 73.2% 18,893 R+46.5
Tioga 3,812 21.1% 14,241 78.9% 18,053 R+57.8
Mifflin 3,681 20.6% 14,180 79.4% 17,861 R+58.8
Warren 5,139 28.8% 12,709 71.2% 17,848 R+42.4
Union 5,992 34.9% 11,164 65.1% 17,156 R+30.1
Clarion 3,168 19.1% 13,456 80.9% 16,624 R+61.9
McKean 3,710 23.2% 12,280 76.8% 15,990 R+53.6
Snyder 3,843 24.2% 12,034 75.8% 15,877 R+51.6
Clinton 4,530 30.0% 10,579 70.0% 15,109 R+40.0
Elk 4,013 28.2% 10,231 71.8% 14,244 R+43.7
Greene 2,217 16.3% 11,411 83.7% 13,628 R+67.5
Wyoming 3,980 30.7% 9,003 69.3% 12,983 R+38.7
Juniata 1,855 18.3% 8,266 81.7% 10,121 R+63.3
Montour 2,871 34.2% 5,531 65.8% 8,402 R+31.7
Potter 1,210 15.8% 6,459 84.2% 7,669 R+68.4
Fulton 1,914 28.7% 4,756 71.3% 6,670 R+42.6
Sullivan 786 25.7% 2,276 74.3% 3,062 R+48.7
Forest 640 27.2% 1,716 72.8% 2,356 R+45.7
Cameron 526 24.5% 1,620 75.5% 2,146 R+51.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 7, R 10 R+2.1
2022 D 9, R 8 R+5.2
2020 D 9, R 9 R+1.3
2018 D 9, R 9 D+10.3
2016 D 5, R 13 R+8.2
2014 D 5, R 13 R+11.0
2012 D 5, R 13 D+1.5
2010 D 7, R 12 R+3.8
2008 D 12, R 7 D+11.9
2006 D 11, R 8 D+12.4
2004 D 7, R 12 R+1.7
2002 D 7, R 12 R+15.4
2000 D 10, R 11 D+1.1
1998 D 11, R 10 R+3.2
1996 D 11, R 10 D+4.3
1994 D 11, R 10 R+10.1
1992 D 11, R 10 R+4.2
1990 D 11, R 12 R+9.1