United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2016 House · Montana
Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 US House elections in Montana

Montana elected one member of the House in 2016. Ryan K. Zinke (Republican) beat Denise Juneau (Democrat) in Montana in 2016, 56.2% to 40.5%, a margin of 15.6 points and 79,439 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 48 of the 56 counties and Democrats in 8. The largest, Yellowstone, cast 70,822 votes and went to the Republican by 23.7 points. The closest was Petroleum, where 224 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
At large Denise Juneau205,919 (40.5%) Ryan K. Zinke285,358 (56.2%) 16,554 R+15.6

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Yellowstone 25,926 36.6% 42,677 60.3% 2,219 70,822 R+23.7
Missoula 34,912 57.6% 23,941 39.5% 1,794 60,647 D+18.1
Gallatin 26,777 48.9% 25,972 47.5% 1,978 54,727 D+1.5
Flathead 15,029 31.7% 30,768 64.9% 1,644 47,441 R+33.2
Cascade 14,833 41.8% 19,546 55.1% 1,069 35,448 R+13.3
Lewis and Clark 15,765 44.5% 18,653 52.7% 988 35,406 R+8.2
Ravalli 7,181 31.3% 14,980 65.3% 792 22,953 R+34.0
Silver Bow 10,126 59.7% 6,235 36.7% 606 16,967 D+22.9
Lake 5,613 41.9% 7,328 54.7% 448 13,389 R+12.8
Park 4,167 43.9% 4,969 52.4% 349 9,485 R+8.5
Lincoln 2,445 26.0% 6,531 69.4% 439 9,415 R+43.4
Jefferson 2,329 33.9% 4,342 63.2% 200 6,871 R+29.3
Hill 2,968 44.8% 3,422 51.6% 239 6,629 R+6.8
Carbon 2,156 35.3% 3,758 61.6% 187 6,101 R+26.3
Sanders 1,623 27.1% 4,079 68.0% 297 5,999 R+40.9
Fergus 1,559 26.0% 4,230 70.6% 206 5,995 R+44.6
Custer 1,612 30.3% 3,535 66.4% 174 5,321 R+36.1
Glacier 3,544 67.6% 1,613 30.7% 89 5,246 D+36.8
Beaverhead 1,424 28.5% 3,417 68.3% 161 5,002 R+39.8
Stillwater 1,200 24.3% 3,558 72.1% 177 4,935 R+47.8
Madison 1,437 29.6% 3,270 67.3% 149 4,856 R+37.7
Richland 896 18.5% 3,772 77.8% 183 4,851 R+59.3
Dawson 1,098 24.9% 3,149 71.5% 157 4,404 R+46.6
Big Horn 2,393 54.8% 1,851 42.4% 121 4,365 D+12.4
Deer Lodge 2,537 58.5% 1,627 37.5% 173 4,337 D+21.0
Valley 1,116 28.2% 2,701 68.2% 146 3,963 R+40.0
Roosevelt 1,947 51.9% 1,685 44.9% 119 3,751 D+7.0
Rosebud 1,250 35.2% 2,223 62.5% 81 3,554 R+27.4
Teton 1,046 31.8% 2,172 66.0% 74 3,292 R+34.2
Broadwater 710 22.1% 2,393 74.6% 105 3,208 R+52.5
Powell 784 27.5% 1,953 68.6% 110 2,847 R+41.1
Pondera 955 34.2% 1,774 63.6% 61 2,790 R+29.4
Blaine 1,476 53.2% 1,241 44.7% 58 2,775 D+8.5
Chouteau 911 34.1% 1,681 63.0% 77 2,669 R+28.8
Musselshell 456 18.6% 1,892 77.1% 106 2,454 R+58.5
Phillips 493 21.4% 1,767 76.7% 44 2,304 R+55.3
Sweet Grass 505 23.6% 1,587 74.1% 49 2,141 R+50.5
Toole 493 23.7% 1,511 72.7% 75 2,079 R+49.0
Mineral 666 32.4% 1,288 62.7% 101 2,055 R+30.3
Sheridan 536 28.7% 1,260 67.4% 74 1,870 R+38.7
Granite 575 31.5% 1,188 65.2% 60 1,823 R+33.6
Fallon 227 15.2% 1,219 81.8% 45 1,491 R+66.5
Judith Basin 324 26.4% 875 71.2% 30 1,229 R+44.8
McCone 200 18.9% 838 79.0% 23 1,061 R+60.1
Powder River 162 15.3% 861 81.3% 36 1,059 R+66.0
Meagher 226 22.7% 742 74.6% 26 994 R+51.9
Liberty 238 24.3% 713 72.9% 27 978 R+48.6
Wheatland 242 25.2% 689 71.8% 28 959 R+46.6
Daniels 200 23.0% 633 72.8% 36 869 R+49.8
Carter 89 11.4% 677 86.4% 18 784 R+75.0
Garfield 56 7.8% 651 90.4% 13 720 R+82.6
Prairie 141 20.1% 522 74.6% 37 700 R+54.4
Wibaux 105 19.4% 408 75.6% 27 540 R+56.1
Golden Valley 96 19.9% 373 77.2% 14 483 R+57.3
Treasure 96 21.3% 346 76.7% 9 451 R+55.4
Petroleum 48 14.7% 272 83.4% 6 326 R+68.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Montana in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 0, R 2 R+18.8
2022 D 0, R 2 R+18.6
2020 D 0, R 1 R+12.8
2018 D 0, R 1 R+4.6
2016 D 0, R 1 R+15.6
2014 D 0, R 1 R+15.0
2012 D 0, R 1 R+10.5
2010 D 0, R 1 R+26.6
2008 D 0, R 1 R+31.7
2006 D 0, R 1 R+19.7
2004 D 0, R 1 R+31.6
2002 D 0, R 1 R+32.0
2000 D 0, R 1 R+5.2
1998 D 0, R 1 R+8.6
1996 D 0, R 1 R+9.3
1994 D 1, R 0 D+6.4
1992 D 1, R 0 D+3.5
1990 D 1, R 1 R+1.0