United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2016 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2016 US House elections in Minnesota

Minnesota elected 8 members of the House in 2016: Democrats won 5 seats and Republicans 3.

The closest was the 8th district, decided by 0.6 points: Richard M. Nolan (Democrat) beat Stewart Mills (Republican), 50.2% to 49.6%, a margin of 0.6 points and 2,009 votes.

In the House vote by county, Democrats led in 44 of the 87 counties and Republicans in 43. The largest, Hennepin, cast 661,829 votes and went to the Democrat by 18.8 points. The closest was Lake of the Woods, where 38 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Timothy J. Walz169,071 (50.3%) Jim Hagedorn166,524 (49.6%) 278 D+0.8
2 Angie Craig167,315 (45.2%) Jason Lewis173,970 (47.0%) 29,230 R+1.8
3 Terri E. Bonoff169,238 (43.0%) Erik Paulsen223,075 (56.7%) 1,144 R+13.7
4 Betty McCollum203,299 (57.8%) Greg Ryan121,033 (34.4%) 27,613 D+23.4
5 Keith Ellison249,957 (69.1%) Frank Nelson Drake80,660 (22.3%) 31,258 D+46.8
6 David Snyder123,010 (34.3%) Tom Emmer235,385 (65.6%) 535 R+31.3
7 Collin C. Peterson173,572 (52.5%) Dave Hughes156,944 (47.4%) 307 D+5.0
8 Richard M. Nolan179,097 (50.2%) Stewart Mills177,088 (49.6%) 786 D+0.6

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Hennepin 378,593 57.2% 254,005 38.4% 29,231 661,829 D+18.8
Ramsey 160,896 61.5% 78,593 30.0% 22,149 261,638 D+31.5
Dakota 106,560 47.4% 100,780 44.8% 17,406 224,746 D+2.6
Anoka 72,619 40.6% 103,029 57.6% 3,134 178,782 R+17.0
Washington 62,336 45.4% 67,274 49.0% 7,744 137,354 R+3.6
Saint Louis 68,549 61.4% 42,889 38.4% 220 111,658 D+23.0
Olmsted 41,645 53.4% 36,337 46.6% 62 78,044 D+6.8
Stearns 29,567 38.7% 46,778 61.2% 130 76,475 R+22.5
Scott 27,788 38.1% 39,455 54.1% 5,694 72,937 R+16.0
Wright 20,135 29.9% 47,180 70.0% 80 67,395 R+40.1
Carver 17,921 33.0% 36,219 66.8% 101 54,241 R+33.7
Sherburne 13,894 29.9% 32,432 69.9% 74 46,400 R+40.0
Crow Wing 14,482 40.9% 20,873 58.9% 74 35,429 R+18.0
Blue Earth 18,177 55.5% 14,527 44.4% 40 32,744 D+11.1
Otter Tail 15,641 49.2% 16,151 50.8% 29 31,821 R+1.6
Rice 16,120 51.5% 14,294 45.7% 882 31,296 D+5.8
Chisago 13,189 44.8% 16,150 54.9% 79 29,418 R+10.1
Clay 18,316 64.4% 10,096 35.5% 47 28,459 D+28.9
Goodhue 9,946 39.5% 13,083 51.9% 2,167 25,196 R+12.5
Winona 14,362 57.1% 10,754 42.8% 30 25,146 D+14.3
Itasca 12,019 50.9% 11,541 48.9% 56 23,616 D+2.0
Kandiyohi 10,872 51.3% 10,313 48.6% 17 21,202 D+2.6
Douglas 9,960 47.0% 11,207 52.9% 19 21,186 R+5.9
Beltrami 11,230 53.6% 9,695 46.3% 32 20,957 D+7.3
Isanti 8,379 40.9% 12,020 58.7% 74 20,473 R+17.8
Benton 6,408 33.4% 12,765 66.4% 39 19,212 R+33.1
Steele 8,884 47.6% 9,771 52.3% 16 18,671 R+4.8
Carlton 10,311 56.9% 7,766 42.9% 37 18,114 D+14.0
McLeod 7,748 42.8% 10,326 57.1% 23 18,097 R+14.2
Nicollet 10,110 57.2% 7,544 42.7% 12 17,666 D+14.5
Mower 9,998 57.1% 7,510 42.9% 10 17,518 D+14.2
Morrison 6,349 36.9% 10,811 62.9% 33 17,193 R+26.0
Becker 8,743 51.9% 8,097 48.0% 13 16,853 D+3.8
Freeborn 8,386 52.9% 7,454 47.0% 6 15,846 D+5.9
Cass 6,287 40.0% 9,407 59.8% 34 15,728 R+19.8
Le Sueur 6,522 44.6% 8,078 55.3% 15 14,615 R+10.6
Polk 8,377 58.0% 6,046 41.9% 12 14,435 D+16.1
Brown 5,376 39.6% 8,182 60.3% 8 13,566 R+20.7
Pine 6,519 48.1% 6,991 51.6% 35 13,545 R+3.5
Mille Lacs 5,536 43.8% 7,056 55.9% 41 12,633 R+12.0
Meeker 5,349 44.8% 6,588 55.2% 4 11,941 R+10.4
Lyon 6,136 51.6% 5,752 48.3% 11 11,899 D+3.2
Todd 5,367 46.2% 6,243 53.7% 11 11,621 R+7.5
Wabasha 4,445 38.7% 6,066 52.8% 984 11,495 R+14.1
Hubbard 4,718 41.8% 6,560 58.1% 19 11,297 R+16.3
Fillmore 5,628 51.5% 5,286 48.4% 12 10,926 D+3.1
Dodge 4,601 44.1% 5,823 55.8% 5 10,429 R+11.7
Martin 3,641 35.0% 6,756 64.9% 7 10,404 R+29.9
Houston 5,438 52.7% 4,880 47.3% 10 10,328 D+5.4
Waseca 4,489 47.1% 5,027 52.8% 8 9,524 R+5.6
Aitkin 4,167 46.1% 4,862 53.8% 10 9,039 R+7.7
Nobles 3,833 45.6% 4,570 54.4% 4 8,407 R+8.8
Kanabec 3,435 43.1% 4,507 56.6% 25 7,967 R+13.5
Roseau 3,665 47.9% 3,978 52.0% 4 7,647 R+4.1
Sibley 3,225 42.7% 4,328 57.3% 4 7,557 R+14.6
Renville 3,966 53.2% 3,479 46.7% 8 7,453 D+6.5
Redwood 3,740 50.6% 3,649 49.3% 8 7,397 D+1.2
Faribault 2,884 39.4% 4,429 60.5% 3 7,316 R+21.1
Wadena 2,475 36.5% 4,284 63.3% 13 6,772 R+26.7
Pennington 3,876 58.8% 2,713 41.1% 8 6,597 D+17.6
Lake 3,714 57.6% 2,734 42.4% 4 6,452 D+15.2
Koochiching 3,245 51.7% 3,018 48.0% 18 6,281 D+3.6
Pope 3,463 55.9% 2,722 44.0% 5 6,190 D+12.0
Chippewa 3,593 58.8% 2,514 41.1% 5 6,112 D+17.7
Cottonwood 2,480 44.4% 3,103 55.5% 6 5,589 R+11.1
Jackson 2,180 40.1% 3,248 59.8% 3 5,431 R+19.7
Stevens 3,183 60.4% 2,087 39.6% 4 5,274 D+20.8
Yellow Medicine 2,851 54.9% 2,335 45.0% 4 5,190 D+9.9
Swift 2,982 60.3% 1,962 39.7% 3 4,947 D+20.6
Watonwan 2,417 49.0% 2,518 51.0% 4,935 R+2.0
Marshall 2,788 58.5% 1,977 41.5% 2 4,767 D+17.0
Rock 1,890 39.7% 2,866 60.2% 5 4,761 R+20.5
Pipestone 1,795 38.6% 2,854 61.3% 3 4,652 R+22.8
Murray 2,181 47.5% 2,412 52.5% 1 4,594 R+5.0
Clearwater 1,861 44.8% 2,293 55.2% 1 4,155 R+10.4
Lac Qui Parle 2,345 61.3% 1,480 38.7% 3 3,828 D+22.6
Grant 2,036 59.5% 1,380 40.4% 4 3,420 D+19.2
Cook 2,182 65.2% 1,159 34.6% 7 3,348 D+30.6
Wilkin 1,868 57.7% 1,369 42.3% 3,237 D+15.4
Norman 2,261 70.2% 956 29.7% 2 3,219 D+40.5
Lincoln 1,580 53.2% 1,388 46.8% 2,968 D+6.5
Big Stone 1,525 56.5% 1,174 43.5% 2,699 D+13.0
Kittson 1,569 66.3% 795 33.6% 2 2,366 D+32.7
Lake of the Woods 1,111 50.8% 1,073 49.1% 2 2,186 D+1.7
Mahnomen 1,376 67.1% 671 32.7% 4 2,051 D+34.4
Red Lake 1,163 62.1% 707 37.7% 4 1,874 D+24.3
Traverse 1,123 64.0% 632 36.0% 1 1,756 D+28.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Minnesota in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 4, R 4 D+0.9
2022 D 4, R 4 D+2.0
2020 D 4, R 4 D+2.5
2018 D 5, R 3 D+11.5
2016 D 5, R 3 D+3.5
2014 D 5, R 3 D+3.7
2012 D 5, R 3 D+12.5
2010 D 4, R 4 D+1.5
2008 D 5, R 3 D+19.4
2006 D 5, R 3 D+10.5
2004 D 4, R 4 D+6.0
2002 D 4, R 4 R+0.6
2000 D 5, R 3 D+10.2
1998 D 6, R 2 D+11.2
1996 D 6, R 2 D+13.3
1994 D 6, R 2 D+2.1
1992 D 6, R 2 D+10.9
1990 D 6, R 2 D+17.2