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Election 2016 Results

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2016 US House elections in Arizona

Arizona elected 9 members of the House in 2016: Democrats won 4 seats and Republicans 5.

The closest was the 1st district, decided by 7.3 points: Tom O'Halleran (Democrat) beat Paul Babeu (Republican), 50.7% to 43.4%, a margin of 7.3 points and 20,474 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 9 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 6. The largest, Maricopa, cast 1,451,526 votes and went to the Republican by 13.4 points. The closest was Greenlee, where 43 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Tom O'Halleran142,219 (50.7%) Paul Babeu121,745 (43.4%) 16,746 D+7.3
2 Matt Heinz135,873 (43.0%) Martha McSally179,806 (57.0%) R+13.9
3 Raúl M. Grijalva148,973 (98.6%) Jaime Vasquez332 (0.2%) 1,730 D+98.4
4 Mikel Weisser81,296 (28.5%) Paul A. Gosar203,487 (71.5%) R+42.9
5 Talia Fuentes114,940 (35.9%) Andy Biggs205,184 (64.1%) R+28.2
6 W. John Williamson122,866 (37.9%) David Schweikert201,578 (62.1%) R+24.3
7 Ruben Gallego119,465 (75.2%) Eve Nunez39,286 (24.7%) 60 D+50.5
8 none Trent Franks204,942 (68.5%) 94,029 R+68.6
9 Kyrsten Sinema169,055 (60.9%) Dave Giles108,350 (39.0%) 102 D+21.9

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 578,955 39.9% 773,672 53.3% 98,899 1,451,526 R+13.4
Pima 211,624 54.3% 174,425 44.7% 3,900 389,949 D+9.5
Pinal 49,533 39.6% 71,491 57.2% 3,946 124,970 R+17.6
Yavapai 35,081 32.3% 71,065 65.3% 2,615 108,761 R+33.1
Mohave 18,697 24.9% 56,207 74.8% 239 75,143 R+49.9
Coconino 33,918 59.5% 18,962 33.3% 4,144 57,024 D+26.2
Cochise 15,715 31.7% 33,679 68.0% 129 49,523 R+36.3
Yuma 26,182 63.9% 14,633 35.7% 185 41,000 D+28.2
Navajo 19,160 49.3% 16,926 43.5% 2,817 38,903 D+5.7
Apache 17,906 65.8% 7,573 27.8% 1,727 27,206 D+38.0
Gila 7,729 35.4% 13,619 62.3% 501 21,849 R+27.0
Santa Cruz 12,774 99.1% 0 0.0% 115 12,889 D+99.1
Graham 4,315 36.6% 6,715 57.0% 760 11,790 R+20.4
La Paz 1,641 29.6% 3,901 70.3% 7 5,549 R+40.7
Greenlee 1,454 45.7% 1,497 47.0% 232 3,183 R+1.4

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 3, R 6 R+4.0
2022 D 3, R 6 R+13.2
2020 D 5, R 4 R+0.3
2018 D 5, R 4 D+1.7
2016 D 4, R 5 R+9.5
2014 D 4, R 5 R+16.3
2012 D 5, R 4 R+8.5
2010 D 3, R 5 R+11.1
2008 D 5, R 3 D+1.6
2006 D 4, R 4 R+9.6
2004 D 2, R 6 R+28.3
2002 D 2, R 6 R+17.6
2000 D 1, R 5 R+20.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.6
1996 D 1, R 5 R+20.6
1994 D 1, R 5 R+22.1
1992 D 3, R 3 R+11.2
1990 D 1, R 4 R+28.6