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United States · Election results history · 2004 House · Arizona
Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 US House elections in Arizona

Arizona elected 8 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 6.

The closest was the 2nd district, decided by 20.7 points: Trent Franks (Republican) beat Randy Camacho (Democrat), 59.2% to 38.5%, a margin of 20.7 points and 57,854 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 12 of the 15 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Maricopa, cast 1,086,165 votes and went to the Republican by 38.6 points. The closest was Yuma, where 22 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Paul Babbitt91,776 (36.2%) Rick Renzi148,315 (58.5%) 13,260 R+22.3
2 Randy Camacho107,406 (38.5%) Trent Franks165,260 (59.2%) 6,637 R+20.7
3 none John B. Shadegg181,012 (80.1%) 44,962 R+80.1
4 Ed Pastor77,150 (70.1%) Don Karg28,238 (25.7%) 4,639 D+44.5
5 Elizabeth Rogers102,363 (38.2%) J. D. Hayworth159,455 (59.5%) 6,189 R+21.3
6 none Jeff Flake202,882 (79.4%) 52,695 R+79.4
7 Raul M. Grijalva108,868 (62.1%) Joseph Sweeney59,066 (33.7%) 7,503 D+28.4
8 Eva Bacal109,963 (36.2%) Jim Kolbe183,363 (60.4%) 10,443 R+24.2

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Maricopa 278,725 25.7% 697,926 64.3% 109,514 1,086,165 R+38.6
Pima 160,582 45.9% 177,005 50.6% 12,298 349,885 R+4.7
Yavapai 28,480 33.4% 52,009 61.0% 4,787 85,276 R+27.6
Pinal 14,951 24.9% 37,908 63.2% 7,087 59,946 R+38.3
Mohave 19,361 35.5% 33,457 61.4% 1,703 54,521 R+25.9
Coconino 24,655 48.1% 24,392 47.5% 2,261 51,308 D+0.5
Cochise 15,679 36.5% 25,189 58.6% 2,140 43,008 R+22.1
Yuma 17,271 48.0% 17,249 47.9% 1,491 36,011 D+0.1
Navajo 9,149 28.8% 20,976 66.0% 1,658 31,783 R+37.2
Apache 9,670 40.8% 13,184 55.6% 838 23,692 R+14.8
Gila 6,085 29.8% 13,085 64.1% 1,241 20,411 R+34.3
Santa Cruz 7,644 67.9% 3,287 29.2% 327 11,258 D+38.7
Graham 2,499 23.8% 7,501 71.3% 519 10,519 R+47.6
La Paz 1,831 39.2% 2,547 54.6% 288 4,666 R+15.3
Greenlee 944 31.5% 1,876 62.6% 176 2,996 R+31.1

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Arizona in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 3, R 6 R+4.0
2022 D 3, R 6 R+13.2
2020 D 5, R 4 R+0.3
2018 D 5, R 4 D+1.7
2016 D 4, R 5 R+9.5
2014 D 4, R 5 R+16.3
2012 D 5, R 4 R+8.5
2010 D 3, R 5 R+11.1
2008 D 5, R 3 D+1.6
2006 D 4, R 4 R+9.6
2004 D 2, R 6 R+28.3
2002 D 2, R 6 R+17.6
2000 D 1, R 5 R+20.3
1998 D 1, R 5 R+16.6
1996 D 1, R 5 R+20.6
1994 D 1, R 5 R+22.1
1992 D 3, R 3 R+11.2
1990 D 1, R 4 R+28.6