Election 2004 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2004 US House elections in New York
New York elected 29 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 20 seats and Republicans 9.
The closest was the 27th district, decided by 1.3 points: Brian M. Higgins (Democrat) beat Nancy A. Naples (Republican), 47.8% to 46.6%, a margin of 1.3 points and 3,774 votes.
In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 42 of the 62 counties and Democrats in 20. The largest, Kings, cast 625,175 votes and went to the Democrat by 60.7 points. The closest was Tioga, where 252 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Every district
| District | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Others | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timothy H. Bishop | 156,354 (49.8%) | William M. Manger, Jr. | 121,855 (38.8%) | 35,757 | D+11.0 |
| 2 | Steve Israel | 161,593 (57.0%) | Richard Hoffman | 80,950 (28.6%) | 40,937 | D+28.5 |
| 3 | Blair H. Mathies | 100,737 (31.9%) | Peter T. King | 171,259 (54.2%) | 44,129 | R+22.3 |
| 4 | Carolyn McCarthy | 159,969 (56.2%) | James A. Garner | 94,141 (33.1%) | 30,420 | D+23.1 |
| 5 | Gary L. Ackerman | 119,726 (58.0%) | Stephen Graves | 46,867 (22.7%) | 39,940 | D+35.3 |
| 6 | Gregory W. Meeks | 129,688 (70.1%) | none | 55,269 | D+70.1 | |
| 7 | Joseph Crowley | 104,275 (58.8%) | Joseph Cinquemain | 24,548 (13.8%) | 48,629 | D+44.9 |
| 8 | Jerrold Nadler | 162,082 (64.4%) | Peter Hort | 39,240 (15.6%) | 50,328 | D+48.8 |
| 9 | Anthony D. Weiner | 113,025 (55.8%) | Gerard J. Cronin | 45,451 (22.4%) | 44,082 | D+33.4 |
| 10 | Edolphus Towns | 136,113 (69.7%) | Harvey R. Clarke | 11,099 (5.7%) | 48,029 | D+64.0 |
| 11 | Major R. Owens | 144,999 (71.8%) | none | 57,028 | D+71.8 | |
| 12 | Nydia M. Velázquez | 107,796 (66.0%) | Paul A. Rodriguez | 17,166 (10.5%) | 38,382 | D+55.5 |
| 13 | Frank J. Barbaro | 78,500 (36.0%) | Vito Fossella | 112,934 (51.8%) | 26,461 | R+15.8 |
| 14 | Carolyn B. Maloney | 186,688 (68.1%) | Anton Srdanovic | 43,623 (15.9%) | 43,732 | D+52.2 |
| 15 | Charles B. Rangel | 161,351 (73.8%) | Kenneth P. Jefferson, Jr. | 12,355 (5.7%) | 44,902 | D+68.2 |
| 16 | José E. Serrano | 111,638 (75.4%) | Ali Mohamed | 5,610 (3.8%) | 30,875 | D+71.6 |
| 17 | Eliot L. Engel | 140,530 (61.0%) | Matt I. Brennan | 40,524 (17.6%) | 49,207 | D+43.4 |
| 18 | Nita M. Lowey | 170,715 (58.8%) | Richard A. Hoffman | 73,975 (25.5%) | 45,525 | D+33.3 |
| 19 | Michael Jaliman | 87,429 (28.5%) | Sue W. Kelly | 175,401 (57.2%) | 43,903 | R+28.7 |
| 20 | Doris F. Kelly | 96,630 (29.8%) | John E. Sweeney | 188,753 (58.2%) | 38,777 | R+28.4 |
| 21 | Michael R. McNulty | 194,033 (62.2%) | Warren Redlich | 80,121 (25.7%) | 37,700 | D+36.5 |
| 22 | Maurice D. Hinchey | 167,489 (58.3%) | William A. Brenner | 81,881 (28.5%) | 38,031 | D+29.8 |
| 23 | Robert J. Johnson | 66,448 (25.1%) | John M. McHugh | 160,079 (60.4%) | 38,485 | R+35.3 |
| 24 | Jeffrey A. Miller | 85,140 (29.7%) | Sherwood Boehlert | 143,000 (49.9%) | 58,546 | R+20.2 |
| 25 | none | James T. Walsh | 189,063 (59.9%) | 126,817 | R+59.9 | |
| 26 | Jack Davis | 125,613 (39.1%) | Thomas M. Reynolds | 157,466 (49.0%) | 38,001 | R+9.9 |
| 27 | Brian M. Higgins | 143,332 (47.8%) | Nancy A. Naples | 139,558 (46.6%) | 16,809 | D+1.3 |
| 28 | Louise McIntosh Slaughter | 159,655 (60.9%) | Michael D. Laba | 54,543 (20.8%) | 48,022 | D+40.1 |
| 29 | Samara Barend | 110,241 (36.0%) | John Randy Kuhl | 136,883 (44.7%) | 58,946 | R+8.7 |
The House vote in every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings | 449,916 72.0% | 70,202 11.2% | 105,057 | 625,175 | D+60.7 |
| New York | 457,076 79.1% | 76,099 13.2% | 44,902 | 578,077 | D+65.9 |
| Suffolk | 323,837 58.2% | 232,413 41.8% | 556,250 | D+16.4 | |
| Nassau | 294,586 53.0% | 255,627 46.0% | 5,569 | 555,782 | D+7.0 |
| Queens | 376,831 76.5% | 81,678 16.6% | 34,371 | 492,880 | D+59.9 |
| Erie | 227,050 53.6% | 175,567 41.4% | 21,127 | 423,744 | D+12.1 |
| Westchester | 217,287 62.6% | 118,003 34.0% | 11,729 | 347,019 | D+28.6 |
| Monroe | 141,740 43.1% | 126,052 38.4% | 60,849 | 328,641 | D+4.8 |
| Bronx | 239,246 85.8% | 27,340 9.8% | 12,097 | 278,683 | D+76.0 |
| Onondaga | 0 0.0% | 129,439 56.7% | 98,888 | 228,327 | R+56.7 |
| Richmond | 53,959 37.3% | 90,865 62.7% | 144,824 | R+25.5 | |
| Albany | 97,169 74.0% | 34,090 26.0% | 131,259 | D+48.1 | |
| Rockland | 65,665 50.2% | 39,761 30.4% | 25,381 | 130,807 | D+19.8 |
| Orange | 49,221 40.9% | 71,160 59.1% | 120,381 | R+18.2 | |
| Saratoga | 31,666 28.7% | 64,780 58.8% | 13,814 | 110,260 | R+30.0 |
| Dutchess | 41,007 37.9% | 64,747 59.8% | 2,436 | 108,190 | R+21.9 |
| Oneida | 27,080 26.5% | 52,367 51.3% | 22,669 | 102,116 | R+24.8 |
| Niagara | 46,950 51.5% | 34,618 38.0% | 9,540 | 91,108 | D+13.5 |
| Broome | 50,126 60.0% | 31,103 37.2% | 2,334 | 83,563 | D+22.8 |
| Ulster | 54,066 68.2% | 25,153 31.8% | 79,219 | D+36.5 | |
| Rensselaer | 35,303 51.0% | 29,411 42.5% | 4,500 | 69,214 | D+8.5 |
| Schenectady | 42,867 68.9% | 19,349 31.1% | 62,216 | D+37.8 | |
| Chautauqua | 24,457 43.1% | 32,297 56.9% | 56,754 | R+13.8 | |
| Ontario | 18,031 36.9% | 21,972 44.9% | 8,887 | 48,890 | R+8.1 |
| Oswego | 14,338 33.1% | 28,918 66.9% | 43,256 | R+33.7 | |
| Steuben | 11,044 26.1% | 26,619 63.0% | 4,598 | 42,261 | R+36.9 |
| Putnam | 11,609 29.0% | 28,461 71.0% | 40,070 | R+42.1 | |
| Chemung | 15,692 40.4% | 18,876 48.6% | 4,299 | 38,867 | R+8.2 |
| Wayne | 0 0.0% | 26,447 68.4% | 12,211 | 38,658 | R+68.4 |
| Tompkins | 23,471 60.8% | 12,976 33.6% | 2,127 | 38,574 | D+27.2 |
| Cayuga | 8,935 24.0% | 16,329 43.9% | 11,963 | 37,227 | R+19.9 |
| St. Lawrence | 10,048 27.0% | 27,147 73.0% | 37,195 | R+46.0 | |
| Jefferson | 6,957 19.5% | 28,641 80.5% | 35,598 | R+60.9 | |
| Cattaraugus | 12,197 37.6% | 15,001 46.2% | 5,284 | 32,482 | R+8.6 |
| Warren | 7,811 24.3% | 19,976 62.1% | 4,356 | 32,143 | R+37.8 |
| Columbia | 10,891 35.2% | 17,166 55.5% | 2,895 | 30,952 | R+20.3 |
| Herkimer | 7,160 24.1% | 14,920 50.2% | 7,619 | 29,699 | R+26.1 |
| Clinton | 9,818 33.6% | 19,422 66.4% | 29,240 | R+32.8 | |
| Otsego | 8,772 33.4% | 13,650 52.0% | 3,834 | 26,256 | R+18.6 |
| Sullivan | 17,779 67.8% | 8,456 32.2% | 26,235 | D+35.5 | |
| Livingston | 9,851 37.7% | 16,282 62.3% | 26,133 | R+24.6 | |
| Washington | 6,621 25.5% | 15,646 60.2% | 3,726 | 25,993 | R+34.7 |
| Madison | 8,958 36.0% | 15,907 64.0% | 24,865 | R+27.9 | |
| Genesee | 10,211 41.2% | 14,561 58.8% | 24,772 | R+17.6 | |
| Greene | 6,343 28.1% | 13,853 61.4% | 2,379 | 22,575 | R+33.3 |
| Tioga | 10,270 46.6% | 10,522 47.7% | 1,258 | 22,050 | R+1.1 |
| Delaware | 6,845 31.8% | 11,285 52.4% | 3,411 | 21,541 | R+20.6 |
| Cortland | 6,501 30.7% | 11,584 54.7% | 3,088 | 21,173 | R+24.0 |
| Chenango | 5,837 28.1% | 12,349 59.5% | 2,561 | 20,747 | R+31.4 |
| Allegany | 5,709 29.6% | 9,557 49.6% | 4,005 | 19,271 | R+20.0 |
| Fulton | 8,364 46.0% | 9,832 54.0% | 18,196 | R+8.1 | |
| Montgomery | 11,827 66.5% | 5,970 33.5% | 17,797 | D+32.9 | |
| Wyoming | 6,475 38.4% | 10,383 61.6% | 16,858 | R+23.2 | |
| Essex | 5,059 30.8% | 10,809 65.7% | 573 | 16,441 | R+35.0 |
| Franklin | 5,273 33.3% | 10,554 66.7% | 15,827 | R+33.4 | |
| Orleans | 6,084 41.1% | 8,120 54.9% | 584 | 14,788 | R+13.8 |
| Seneca | 4,041 29.0% | 6,835 49.0% | 3,065 | 13,941 | R+20.0 |
| Schoharie | 7,215 56.4% | 5,588 43.6% | 12,803 | D+12.7 | |
| Yates | 3,078 28.8% | 6,251 58.4% | 1,368 | 10,697 | R+29.7 |
| Lewis | 2,125 21.0% | 7,984 79.0% | 10,109 | R+58.0 | |
| Schuyler | 2,752 32.2% | 4,930 57.7% | 860 | 8,542 | R+25.5 |
| Hamilton | 692 22.1% | 2,445 77.9% | 3,137 | R+55.9 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
New York in every House election we hold
| Year | Seats | House vote |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D 19, R 7 | D+14.7 |
| 2022 | D 15, R 11 | D+11.7 |
| 2020 | D 19, R 8 | D+25.7 |
| 2018 | D 21, R 6 | D+35.8 |
| 2016 | D 18, R 9 | D+27.0 |
| 2014 | D 18, R 9 | D+11.6 |
| 2012 | D 21, R 6 | D+26.6 |
| 2010 | D 21, R 8 | D+15.5 |
| 2008 | D 26, R 3 | D+29.2 |
| 2006 | D 23, R 6 | D+31.1 |
| 2004 | D 20, R 9 | D+16.6 |
| 2002 | D 19, R 10 | D+3.5 |
| 2000 | D 19, R 12 | D+10.4 |
| 1998 | D 18, R 13 | D+8.5 |
| 1996 | D 18, R 13 | D+10.6 |
| 1994 | D 17, R 14 | R+0.8 |
| 1992 | D 18, R 13 | D+5.1 |
| 1990 | D 21, R 13 | D+4.6 |