Election 2004 Results
Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.
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2004 US House elections in Connecticut
Connecticut elected 5 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 2 seats and Republicans 3.
The closest was the 4th district, decided by 4.9 points: Christopher Shays (Republican) beat Diane Farrell (Democrat), 52.4% to 47.6%, a margin of 4.9 points and 14,160 votes.
In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 5 of the 8 counties and Democrats in 3. The largest, Fairfield, cast 372,705 votes and went to the Republican by 5.0 points. The closest was Tolland, where 1,603 votes separated the two parties.
Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.
Every district
| District | Democrat | Votes | Republican | Votes | Others | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John B. Larson | 198,802 (73.0%) | John M. Halstead | 73,601 (27.0%) | D+46.0 | |
| 2 | Jim Sullivan | 140,536 (45.8%) | Rob Simmons | 166,412 (54.2%) | 130 | R+8.4 |
| 3 | Rosa L. Delauro | 200,638 (72.4%) | Richter Elser | 69,160 (25.0%) | 7,182 | D+47.5 |
| 4 | Diane Farrell | 138,333 (47.6%) | Christopher Shays | 152,493 (52.4%) | 4 | R+4.9 |
| 5 | Theresa B. Gerratana | 107,438 (38.2%) | Nancy L. Johnson | 168,268 (59.8%) | 5,741 | R+21.6 |
The House vote in every county
| County | Democrat | Republican | Others | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield | 176,243 47.3% | 194,963 52.3% | 1,499 | 372,705 | R+5.0 |
| Hartford | 222,228 64.3% | 122,321 35.4% | 1,254 | 345,803 | D+28.9 |
| New Haven | 208,799 63.7% | 110,882 33.8% | 8,348 | 328,029 | D+29.9 |
| New London | 47,342 43.1% | 62,572 56.9% | 109,914 | R+13.9 | |
| Litchfield | 34,528 40.0% | 50,518 58.5% | 1,264 | 86,310 | R+18.5 |
| Middlesex | 44,158 57.8% | 31,641 41.4% | 558 | 76,357 | D+16.4 |
| Tolland | 31,831 48.8% | 33,434 51.2% | 65,265 | R+2.5 | |
| Windham | 20,618 46.6% | 23,603 53.4% | 44,221 | R+6.8 |
Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.
Connecticut in every House election we hold
| Year | Seats | House vote |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D 5, R 0 | D+18.4 |
| 2022 | D 5, R 0 | D+15.5 |
| 2020 | D 5, R 0 | D+21.3 |
| 2018 | D 5, R 0 | D+23.8 |
| 2016 | D 5, R 0 | D+26.8 |
| 2014 | D 5, R 0 | D+20.6 |
| 2012 | D 5, R 0 | D+30.8 |
| 2010 | D 5, R 0 | D+18.2 |
| 2008 | D 5, R 0 | D+31.9 |
| 2006 | D 4, R 1 | D+21.3 |
| 2004 | D 2, R 3 | D+10.9 |
| 2002 | D 2, R 3 | D+4.4 |
| 2000 | D 3, R 3 | D+7.9 |
| 1998 | D 4, R 2 | D+5.6 |
| 1996 | D 4, R 2 | D+13.6 |
| 1994 | D 3, R 3 | R+0.9 |
| 1992 | D 3, R 3 | R+3.8 |
| 1990 | D 3, R 3 | R+5.5 |