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Election 2004 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2004 US House elections in Tennessee

Tennessee elected 9 members of the House in 2004: Democrats won 5 seats and Republicans 4.

The closest was the 4th district, decided by 11.3 points: Lincoln Davis (Democrat) beat Janice Bowling (Republican), 54.8% to 43.5%, a margin of 11.3 points and 28,466 votes.

In the House vote by county, Democrats led in 52 of the 95 counties and Republicans in 43. The largest, Shelby, cast 338,904 votes and went to the Democrat by 21.5 points. The closest was Maury, where 13 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Graham Leonard56,361 (24.1%) William L. Jenkins172,543 (73.9%) 4,656 R+49.7
2 John Greene52,155 (19.1%) John J. Duncan215,795 (79.1%) 4,978 R+60.0
3 John Wolfe84,295 (32.8%) Zach Wamp166,154 (64.7%) 6,187 R+31.9
4 Lincoln Davis138,459 (54.8%) Janice Bowling109,993 (43.5%) 4,194 D+11.3
5 Jim Cooper168,970 (69.3%) Scott Knapp74,978 (30.7%) 15 D+38.5
6 Bart Gordon167,448 (64.2%) Nick Demas87,523 (33.6%) 5,671 D+30.7
7 none Marsha Blackburn232,404 (100.0%) R+100.0
8 John S. Tanner173,623 (74.3%) James L. Hart59,853 (25.6%) 91 D+48.7
9 Harold E. Ford, Jr.190,648 (82.0%) Ruben E. Fort41,578 (17.9%) 166 D+64.2

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 205,881 60.7% 132,857 39.2% 166 338,904 D+21.5
Davidson 147,343 68.1% 68,925 31.9% 15 216,283 D+36.3
Knox 33,323 19.7% 132,470 78.5% 2,948 168,741 R+58.8
Hamilton 49,253 36.6% 82,429 61.3% 2,847 134,529 R+24.7
Rutherford 50,550 63.8% 26,406 33.3% 2,301 79,257 D+30.5
Williamson 3,810 5.7% 62,329 93.8% 312 66,451 R+88.1
Sullivan 15,007 25.6% 42,614 72.8% 927 58,548 R+47.2
Sumner 33,511 57.6% 23,413 40.2% 1,249 58,173 D+17.4
Blount 7,820 17.0% 37,177 81.0% 891 45,888 R+64.0
Washington 11,247 26.9% 29,588 70.7% 1,028 41,863 R+43.8
Wilson 22,244 54.4% 18,436 45.1% 181 40,861 D+9.3
Montgomery 6,204 16.3% 31,844 83.7% 38,048 R+67.4
Madison 27,858 75.8% 8,883 24.2% 36,741 D+51.6
Bradley 8,976 25.9% 24,943 72.1% 678 34,597 R+46.2
Anderson 7,564 25.7% 20,981 71.3% 891 29,436 R+45.6
Maury 14,349 49.1% 14,336 49.1% 533 29,218 level
Sevier 5,052 18.5% 21,479 78.8% 738 27,269 R+60.2
Putnam 15,362 61.3% 9,273 37.0% 412 25,047 D+24.3
Robertson 14,136 61.2% 8,576 37.1% 397 23,109 D+24.1
Cumberland 11,863 52.4% 10,474 46.3% 307 22,644 D+6.1
Greene 5,287 23.7% 16,660 74.6% 385 22,332 R+50.9
Roane 11,920 53.8% 9,862 44.5% 361 22,143 D+9.3
Tipton 12,392 59.3% 8,494 40.7% 3 20,889 D+18.7
Hamblen 5,864 28.1% 14,623 70.2% 350 20,837 R+42.0
Carter 4,583 22.2% 15,684 75.8% 419 20,686 R+53.7
Coffee 9,237 47.7% 9,855 50.9% 273 19,365 R+3.2
Hawkins 4,220 22.0% 14,647 76.4% 304 19,171 R+54.4
Gibson 15,158 80.8% 3,599 19.2% 1 18,758 D+61.6
Loudon 2,897 15.5% 15,513 83.1% 254 18,664 R+67.6
McMinn 3,684 20.7% 13,642 76.8% 433 17,759 R+56.1
Franklin 9,233 56.2% 6,918 42.1% 272 16,423 D+14.1
Dickson 9,989 61.7% 6,209 38.3% 2 16,200 D+23.3
Jefferson 4,177 27.0% 10,724 69.4% 558 15,459 R+42.4
Monroe 3,373 22.0% 11,642 76.0% 296 15,311 R+54.0
Lawrence 8,281 54.7% 6,646 43.9% 218 15,145 D+10.8
Warren 8,300 59.4% 5,271 37.7% 398 13,969 D+21.7
Dyer 9,788 73.7% 3,445 25.9% 51 13,284 D+47.7
Obion 11,016 85.2% 1,900 14.7% 7 12,923 D+70.5
Weakley 10,384 80.6% 2,491 19.3% 10 12,885 D+61.3
Cheatham 5,518 43.5% 7,180 56.5% 12,698 R+13.1
Henry 10,143 80.2% 2,499 19.8% 11 12,653 D+60.4
Campbell 7,525 59.6% 4,927 39.0% 176 12,628 D+20.6
Bedford 7,979 64.6% 3,997 32.3% 382 12,358 D+32.2
Lincoln 5,434 45.4% 6,329 52.9% 198 11,961 R+7.5
Carroll 8,796 78.2% 2,459 21.8% 11,255 D+56.3
Marion 6,390 57.0% 4,606 41.1% 208 11,204 D+15.9
Cocke 2,086 19.0% 8,577 78.2% 312 10,975 R+59.1
Giles 6,125 56.4% 4,544 41.8% 197 10,866 D+14.5
Rhea 3,219 31.6% 6,727 65.9% 255 10,201 R+34.4
Marshall 7,205 71.4% 2,697 26.7% 184 10,086 D+44.7
Claiborne 3,121 33.4% 5,897 63.1% 327 9,345 R+29.7
White 5,183 56.6% 3,835 41.8% 147 9,165 D+14.7
Fayette 0 0.0% 8,395 100.0% 8,395 R+100.0
Lauderdale 6,310 77.5% 1,831 22.5% 1 8,142 D+55.0
Overton 5,733 77.5% 1,596 21.6% 68 7,397 D+55.9
Smith 5,448 74.8% 1,751 24.0% 82 7,281 D+50.8
Scott 4,732 65.6% 2,385 33.1% 96 7,213 D+32.5
Hickman 3,198 44.7% 3,845 53.7% 113 7,156 R+9.0
Humphreys 5,399 76.6% 1,647 23.4% 7,046 D+53.3
Haywood 5,872 85.1% 1,025 14.9% 6,897 D+70.3
Morgan 4,468 64.8% 2,380 34.5% 47 6,895 D+30.3
Henderson 0 0.0% 6,712 100.0% 6,712 R+100.0
Macon 4,649 69.8% 1,937 29.1% 78 6,664 D+40.7
Benton 5,252 79.4% 1,366 20.6% 6,618 D+58.7
Polk 2,674 40.6% 3,797 57.6% 122 6,593 R+17.0
Unicoi 1,473 22.4% 4,973 75.7% 122 6,568 R+53.3
McNairy 0 0.0% 6,554 100.0% 6,554 R+100.0
Fentress 4,416 67.4% 2,090 31.9% 47 6,553 D+35.5
DeKalb 4,899 75.0% 1,528 23.4% 104 6,531 D+51.6
Grainger 1,921 29.5% 4,295 66.0% 288 6,504 R+36.5
Hardin 0 0.0% 6,336 100.0% 6,336 R+100.0
Johnson 1,402 23.1% 4,544 74.9% 120 6,066 R+51.8
Union 1,954 33.7% 3,733 64.4% 106 5,793 R+30.7
Crockett 4,126 76.8% 1,245 23.2% 5,371 D+53.6
Stewart 3,672 70.2% 1,556 29.7% 4 5,232 D+40.4
Cannon 3,843 73.9% 1,250 24.1% 104 5,197 D+49.9
Lewis 2,762 56.3% 2,041 41.6% 101 4,904 D+14.7
Sequatchie 2,478 51.6% 2,237 46.5% 91 4,806 D+5.0
Grundy 3,250 67.9% 1,485 31.0% 49 4,784 D+36.9
Bledsoe 2,145 45.6% 2,487 52.9% 70 4,702 R+7.3
Jackson 3,551 78.1% 955 21.0% 43 4,549 D+57.1
Lake 3,696 89.6% 430 10.4% 4,126 D+79.2
Meigs 1,416 35.6% 2,471 62.2% 85 3,972 R+26.6
Hardeman 0 0.0% 3,946 100.0% 3,946 R+100.0
Chester 0 0.0% 3,731 100.0% 3,731 R+100.0
Wayne 0 0.0% 3,486 100.0% 3,486 R+100.0
Houston 2,335 77.3% 685 22.7% 1 3,021 D+54.6
Trousdale 2,367 78.8% 587 19.5% 49 3,003 D+59.3
Clay 2,080 72.5% 750 26.2% 37 2,867 D+46.4
Decatur 0 0.0% 2,755 100.0% 2,755 R+100.0
Moore 1,163 43.3% 1,490 55.4% 35 2,688 R+12.2
Pickett 1,675 64.5% 899 34.6% 21 2,595 D+29.9
Van Buren 1,382 61.5% 848 37.8% 16 2,246 D+23.8
Hancock 358 16.9% 1,711 80.9% 45 2,114 R+64.0
Perry 0 0.0% 1,524 100.0% 1,524 R+100.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 8 R+31.0
2022 D 1, R 8 R+30.3
2020 D 2, R 7 R+20.4
2018 D 2, R 7 R+20.1
2016 D 2, R 7 R+28.4
2014 D 2, R 7 R+29.2
2012 D 2, R 7 R+25.1
2010 D 2, R 7 R+26.5
2008 D 5, R 4 D+9.5
2006 D 5, R 4 D+3.6
2004 D 5, R 4 R+5.8
2002 D 5, R 4 R+4.1
2000 D 4, R 5 R+9.3
1998 D 4, R 5 R+6.3
1996 D 4, R 5 R+1.8
1994 D 4, R 5 R+11.4
1992 D 6, R 3 D+8.4
1990 D 6, R 3 D+11.3