United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com United States
Closest results
United States · Election results history · 2022 House · Tennessee
Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US House elections in Tennessee

Tennessee elected 9 members of the House in 2022: Democrats won 1 seats and Republicans 8.

The closest was the 5th district, decided by 13.5 points: Andy Ogles (Republican) beat Heidi Campbell (Democrat), 55.8% to 42.3%, a margin of 13.5 points and 29,910 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 93 of the 95 counties and Democrats in 2. The largest, Shelby, cast 196,548 votes and went to the Democrat by 17.1 points. The closest was Haywood, where 107 votes separated the two parties.

United States
Results
2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 1980 1979 1978 1977 1976 1975 1974 1973 1972 1971 1970 1969 1968 1967 1966 1965 1964 1963 1962 1961 1960 1959 1958 1957 1956 1955 1954 1953 1952 1951 1950 1949 1948 1947 1946 1945 1944 1943 1942 1941 1940 1939 1938 1937 1936 1935 1934 1933 1932 1931 1930 1929 1928 1927 1926 1925 1924 1923 1922 1921 1920 1919 1918 1917 1916 1915 1914 1913 1912 1911 1910 1909 1908 1907 1906 1905 1904 1903 1902 1901 1900 1899 1898 1897 1896 1895 1894 1893 1892 1891 1890 1889 1888 1887 1886 1885 1884 1883 1882 1881 1880 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1869 1868 1867 1866 1865
If only voted How this works
If the polls miss like

Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Cameron Parsons37,049 (19.7%) Diana Harshbarger147,241 (78.3%) 3,713 R+58.6
2 Mark Harmon66,673 (32.1%) Tim Burchett141,089 (67.9%) R+35.8
3 Meg Gorman60,334 (30.2%) Chuck Fleischmann136,639 (68.4%) 2,857 R+38.2
4 Wayne Steele44,648 (25.7%) Scott DesJarlais122,401 (70.6%) 6,388 R+44.8
5 Heidi Campbell93,648 (42.3%) Andy Ogles123,558 (55.8%) 4,069 R+13.5
6 Randal Cooper65,675 (33.7%) John Rose129,388 (66.3%) R+32.7
7 Odessa Kelly68,973 (38.1%) Mark Green108,421 (60.0%) 3,428 R+21.8
8 Lynnette Williams51,102 (24.3%) David Kustoff155,602 (74.0%) 3,611 R+49.7
9 Steve Cohen93,800 (70.0%) Charlotte Bergmann35,123 (26.2%) 4,995 D+43.8

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Shelby 112,323 57.1% 78,667 40.0% 5,558 196,548 D+17.1
Davidson 116,435 66.3% 56,963 32.4% 2,180 175,578 D+33.9
Knox 50,123 39.2% 77,873 60.8% 127,996 R+21.7
Hamilton 40,369 40.3% 58,556 58.5% 1,243 100,168 R+18.2
Williamson 26,982 31.8% 56,561 66.7% 1,278 84,821 R+34.9
Rutherford 26,611 36.4% 44,402 60.7% 2,158 73,171 R+24.3
Sumner 13,810 27.5% 36,471 72.5% 50,281 R+45.1
Wilson 12,801 29.0% 30,632 69.5% 672 44,105 R+40.4
Sullivan 8,871 21.1% 32,310 77.0% 784 41,965 R+55.9
Montgomery 15,064 37.3% 24,486 60.5% 890 40,440 R+23.3
Blount 9,472 24.0% 30,042 76.0% 39,514 R+52.1
Washington 9,827 28.8% 23,466 68.8% 808 34,101 R+40.0
Maury 8,888 29.3% 20,687 68.2% 772 30,347 R+38.9
Bradley 4,167 16.9% 20,136 81.6% 366 24,669 R+64.7
Madison 8,233 34.7% 15,076 63.5% 423 23,732 R+28.8
Sevier 3,908 17.2% 18,406 81.0% 414 22,728 R+63.8
Anderson 6,715 31.9% 13,969 66.4% 350 21,034 R+34.5
Cumberland 3,676 17.9% 16,903 82.1% 20,579 R+64.3
Loudon 4,037 20.6% 15,543 79.4% 19,580 R+58.8
Putnam 4,788 25.3% 14,124 74.7% 18,912 R+49.4
Robertson 3,843 21.5% 13,638 76.4% 369 17,850 R+54.9
Greene 2,896 17.0% 13,884 81.4% 273 17,053 R+64.4
Roane 3,339 21.2% 12,080 76.9% 296 15,715 R+55.6
Tipton 3,076 20.9% 11,120 75.6% 510 14,706 R+54.7
Carter 2,402 16.9% 11,447 80.7% 336 14,185 R+63.8
Fayette 3,149 22.4% 10,693 76.1% 203 14,045 R+53.7
Hawkins 1,974 14.3% 11,571 83.9% 241 13,786 R+69.6
Coffee 2,541 18.9% 9,904 73.6% 1,012 13,457 R+54.7
Dickson 3,139 23.5% 9,918 74.4% 279 13,336 R+50.8
McMinn 2,022 15.8% 10,577 82.6% 204 12,803 R+66.8
Jefferson 2,052 16.1% 10,489 82.0% 244 12,785 R+66.0
Hamblen 2,370 18.6% 10,168 79.9% 185 12,723 R+61.3
Gibson 2,406 19.6% 9,619 78.6% 220 12,245 R+58.9
Monroe 1,761 15.0% 9,813 83.6% 171 11,745 R+68.6
Cheatham 3,105 26.7% 8,342 71.7% 188 11,635 R+45.0
Franklin 2,485 22.2% 8,310 74.1% 420 11,215 R+51.9
Bedford 1,798 17.6% 7,942 77.9% 453 10,193 R+60.3
Lawrence 1,461 15.4% 7,714 81.2% 323 9,498 R+65.8
Lincoln 1,388 15.5% 7,360 82.2% 206 8,954 R+66.7
Marshall 2,012 23.2% 6,488 74.8% 178 8,678 R+51.6
Warren 1,828 21.4% 6,211 72.7% 500 8,539 R+51.3
Henry 1,539 18.5% 6,408 76.8% 394 8,341 R+58.4
Dyer 1,261 15.4% 6,784 82.8% 147 8,192 R+67.4
Weakley 1,402 17.4% 6,498 80.7% 150 8,050 R+63.3
Cocke 1,185 15.0% 6,488 82.4% 202 7,875 R+67.3
Obion 1,125 14.6% 6,476 84.2% 94 7,695 R+69.5
Marion 1,594 21.0% 5,783 76.0% 229 7,606 R+55.1
Rhea 1,094 14.4% 6,320 83.4% 161 7,575 R+69.0
Campbell 1,206 16.1% 6,204 83.0% 61 7,471 R+66.9
Giles 1,574 21.4% 5,593 76.0% 194 7,361 R+54.6
Carroll 1,206 17.0% 5,707 80.5% 177 7,090 R+63.5
White 1,121 16.2% 5,801 83.8% 6,922 R+67.6
McNairy 989 14.4% 5,751 83.8% 125 6,865 R+69.4
Claiborne 977 14.6% 5,695 85.4% 6,672 R+70.7
Henderson 807 12.5% 5,573 86.2% 87 6,467 R+73.7
Hardin 782 12.3% 5,515 86.7% 64 6,361 R+74.4
Hickman 1,109 19.2% 4,571 79.3% 83 5,763 R+60.1
Overton 1,105 19.5% 4,565 80.5% 5,670 R+61.0
Grainger 676 12.6% 4,705 87.4% 5,381 R+74.9
Hardeman 1,873 35.4% 3,331 63.0% 87 5,291 R+27.6
Smith 889 17.3% 4,247 82.7% 5,136 R+65.4
Unicoi 840 16.5% 4,149 81.4% 107 5,096 R+64.9
Fentress 600 11.9% 4,438 88.1% 5,038 R+76.2
Johnson 687 13.8% 4,209 84.3% 97 4,993 R+70.5
DeKalb 902 18.8% 3,897 81.2% 4,799 R+62.4
Polk 721 15.3% 3,928 83.3% 66 4,715 R+68.0
Macon 607 12.9% 4,098 87.1% 4,705 R+74.2
Lauderdale 1,295 27.7% 3,258 69.8% 114 4,667 R+42.1
Morgan 595 13.0% 3,885 85.0% 89 4,569 R+72.0
Humphreys 905 20.3% 3,360 75.5% 186 4,451 R+55.2
Chester 611 13.7% 3,764 84.7% 71 4,446 R+70.9
Sequatchie 615 14.7% 3,442 82.4% 119 4,176 R+67.7
Union 617 15.2% 3,451 84.8% 4,068 R+69.7
Benton 736 18.1% 3,229 79.5% 95 4,060 R+61.4
Haywood 1,861 47.9% 1,968 50.7% 56 3,885 R+2.8
Stewart 621 16.1% 3,124 80.8% 120 3,865 R+64.8
Cannon 654 18.0% 2,985 82.0% 3,639 R+64.1
Scott 391 10.9% 3,191 88.8% 11 3,593 R+77.9
Wayne 370 10.7% 3,042 87.7% 55 3,467 R+77.1
Lewis 654 19.3% 2,671 78.9% 60 3,385 R+59.6
Bledsoe 442 13.2% 2,836 84.5% 80 3,358 R+71.3
Grundy 450 13.6% 2,500 75.3% 369 3,319 R+61.8
Decatur 521 15.9% 2,696 82.4% 55 3,272 R+66.5
Crockett 501 15.6% 2,662 82.9% 50 3,213 R+67.3
Meigs 511 16.4% 2,520 80.9% 84 3,115 R+64.5
Jackson 637 20.8% 2,424 79.2% 3,061 R+58.4
Houston 513 21.0% 1,872 76.7% 57 2,442 R+55.7
Trousdale 447 21.5% 1,635 78.5% 2,082 R+57.1
Moore 279 13.7% 1,675 82.4% 80 2,034 R+68.6
Pickett 326 17.0% 1,591 83.0% 1,917 R+66.0
Perry 317 17.0% 1,518 81.6% 25 1,860 R+64.6
Van Buren 315 17.4% 1,491 82.6% 1,806 R+65.1
Clay 327 18.9% 1,402 81.1% 1,729 R+62.2
Hancock 155 12.0% 1,113 86.3% 22 1,290 R+74.3
Lake 218 19.6% 862 77.6% 31 1,111 R+58.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Tennessee in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 1, R 8 R+31.0
2022 D 1, R 8 R+30.3
2020 D 2, R 7 R+20.4
2018 D 2, R 7 R+20.1
2016 D 2, R 7 R+28.4
2014 D 2, R 7 R+29.2
2012 D 2, R 7 R+25.1
2010 D 2, R 7 R+26.5
2008 D 5, R 4 D+9.5
2006 D 5, R 4 D+3.6
2004 D 5, R 4 R+5.8
2002 D 5, R 4 R+4.1
2000 D 4, R 5 R+9.3
1998 D 4, R 5 R+6.3
1996 D 4, R 5 R+1.8
1994 D 4, R 5 R+11.4
1992 D 6, R 3 D+8.4
1990 D 6, R 3 D+11.3