United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 728 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 US House elections in Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania elected 17 members of the House in 2022: Democrats won 9 seats and Republicans 8.

The closest was the 7th district, decided by 2.0 points: Susan Wild (Democrat) beat Lisa Scheller (Republican), 51.0% to 49.0%, a margin of 2.0 points and 5,837 votes.

In the House vote by county, Republicans led in 56 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 11. The largest, Allegheny, cast 562,827 votes and went to the Democrat by 17.2 points. The closest was Centre, where 175 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Every district

DistrictDemocratVotesRepublicanVotesOthersMargin
1 Ashley Ehasz165,809 (45.1%) Brian Fitzpatrick201,571 (54.9%) R+9.7
2 Brendan Boyle141,229 (75.7%) Aaron Bashir45,454 (24.3%) D+51.3
3 Dwight Evans249,967 (95.1%) none 12,778 D+95.1
4 Madeleine Dean224,799 (61.3%) Christian Nascimento141,986 (38.7%) D+22.6
5 Mary Gay Scanlon205,128 (65.1%) David Galluch110,058 (34.9%) D+30.2
6 Chrissy Houlahan190,386 (58.3%) Guy Ciarrocchi136,097 (41.7%) D+16.6
7 Susan Wild151,364 (51.0%) Lisa Scheller145,527 (49.0%) D+2.0
8 Matt Cartwright146,956 (51.2%) Jim Bognet139,930 (48.8%) D+2.5
9 Amanda Waldman92,622 (30.7%) Dan Meuser209,185 (69.3%) R+38.6
10 Shamaine Daniels145,215 (46.2%) Scott Perry169,331 (53.8%) R+7.7
11 Bob Hollister121,835 (38.5%) Lloyd Smucker194,991 (61.5%) R+23.1
12 Summer Lee184,674 (56.2%) Mike Doyle143,946 (43.8%) D+12.4
13 none John Joyce260,345 (100.0%) R+100.0
14 none Guy Reschenthaler230,865 (100.0%) R+100.0
15 Mike Molesevich91,729 (30.1%) Glenn Thompson213,417 (69.9%) R+39.9
16 Dan Pastore130,443 (40.6%) Mike Kelly190,546 (59.4%) R+18.7
17 Chris Deluzio193,615 (53.4%) Jeremy Shaffer169,013 (46.6%) D+6.8

The House vote in every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Allegheny 329,767 58.6% 233,060 41.4% 562,827 D+17.2
Philadelphia 405,629 86.6% 50,184 10.7% 12,778 468,591 D+75.9
Montgomery 260,485 63.3% 151,088 36.7% 411,573 D+26.6
Bucks 140,222 45.0% 171,655 55.0% 311,877 R+10.1
Chester 152,301 59.0% 105,966 41.0% 258,267 D+17.9
Delaware 154,968 62.2% 94,000 37.8% 248,968 D+24.5
Lancaster 92,466 41.3% 131,511 58.7% 223,977 R+17.4
York 67,061 36.0% 118,965 64.0% 186,026 R+27.9
Berks 70,258 47.3% 78,349 52.7% 148,607 R+5.4
Lehigh 73,756 54.2% 62,343 45.8% 136,099 D+8.4
Westmoreland 17,947 13.8% 112,245 86.2% 130,192 R+72.4
Northampton 66,657 51.5% 62,800 48.5% 129,457 D+3.0
Luzerne 52,447 45.2% 63,492 54.8% 115,939 R+9.5
Cumberland 48,604 42.6% 65,458 57.4% 114,062 R+14.8
Dauphin 58,919 51.7% 55,140 48.3% 114,059 D+3.3
Erie 56,423 53.4% 49,263 46.6% 105,686 D+6.8
Butler 31,850 34.2% 61,351 65.8% 93,201 R+31.7
Lackawanna 52,590 59.0% 36,483 41.0% 89,073 D+18.1
Beaver 30,575 41.8% 42,568 58.2% 73,143 R+16.4
Washington 0 0.0% 63,293 100.0% 63,293 R+100.0
Centre 30,783 49.9% 30,958 50.1% 61,741 R+0.3
Monroe 30,881 52.7% 27,675 47.3% 58,556 D+5.5
Lebanon 18,374 32.7% 37,802 67.3% 56,176 R+34.6
Schuylkill 16,316 29.5% 38,972 70.5% 55,288 R+41.0
Franklin 0 0.0% 53,203 100.0% 53,203 R+100.0
Lycoming 12,951 28.2% 32,959 71.8% 45,910 R+43.6
Mercer 16,153 36.0% 28,710 64.0% 44,863 R+28.0
Cambria 0 0.0% 44,754 100.0% 44,754 R+100.0
Blair 0 0.0% 40,655 100.0% 40,655 R+100.0
Lawrence 12,923 36.0% 22,984 64.0% 35,907 R+28.0
Adams 0 0.0% 34,978 100.0% 34,978 R+100.0
Crawford 10,538 31.9% 22,446 68.1% 32,984 R+36.1
Fayette 0 0.0% 32,739 100.0% 32,739 R+100.0
Northumberland 9,691 29.7% 22,986 70.3% 32,677 R+40.7
Clearfield 7,275 23.2% 24,079 76.8% 31,354 R+53.6
Armstrong 7,140 25.3% 21,062 74.7% 28,202 R+49.4
Somerset 0 0.0% 27,815 100.0% 27,815 R+100.0
Carbon 9,189 35.3% 16,844 64.7% 26,033 R+29.4
Indiana 552 2.1% 25,167 97.9% 25,719 R+95.7
Pike 10,030 40.3% 14,844 59.7% 24,874 R+19.4
Columbia 8,167 33.2% 16,459 66.8% 24,626 R+33.7
Bradford 6,040 26.2% 17,053 73.8% 23,093 R+47.7
Wayne 7,912 35.2% 14,571 64.8% 22,483 R+29.6
Venango 5,888 28.4% 14,868 71.6% 20,756 R+43.3
Bedford 0 0.0% 19,607 100.0% 19,607 R+100.0
Jefferson 3,485 19.7% 14,189 80.3% 17,674 R+60.6
Susquehanna 4,845 28.3% 12,281 71.7% 17,126 R+43.4
Perry 0 0.0% 16,534 100.0% 16,534 R+100.0
Tioga 3,648 22.2% 12,815 77.8% 16,463 R+55.7
Union 6,110 38.2% 9,881 61.8% 15,991 R+23.6
Warren 4,739 29.7% 11,235 70.3% 15,974 R+40.7
Huntingdon 0 0.0% 15,287 100.0% 15,287 R+100.0
Clarion 3,481 22.8% 11,762 77.2% 15,243 R+54.3
Snyder 3,967 26.1% 11,229 73.9% 15,196 R+47.8
McKean 3,487 23.8% 11,167 76.2% 14,654 R+52.4
Clinton 4,132 29.5% 9,879 70.5% 14,011 R+41.0
Mifflin 0 0.0% 14,004 100.0% 14,004 R+100.0
Elk 3,369 24.7% 10,249 75.3% 13,618 R+50.5
Wyoming 3,664 31.4% 8,014 68.6% 11,678 R+37.2
Greene 0 0.0% 10,209 100.0% 10,209 R+100.0
Juniata 0 0.0% 8,269 100.0% 8,269 R+100.0
Montour 2,879 36.8% 4,947 63.2% 7,826 R+26.4
Potter 1,224 17.4% 5,824 82.6% 7,048 R+65.3
Fulton 0 0.0% 5,619 100.0% 5,619 R+100.0
Sullivan 818 27.2% 2,184 72.8% 3,002 R+45.5
Forest 582 26.7% 1,600 73.3% 2,182 R+46.7
Cameron 432 23.0% 1,448 77.0% 1,880 R+54.0

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania in every House election we hold

YearSeatsHouse vote
2024 D 7, R 10 R+2.1
2022 D 9, R 8 R+5.2
2020 D 9, R 9 R+1.3
2018 D 9, R 9 D+10.3
2016 D 5, R 13 R+8.2
2014 D 5, R 13 R+11.0
2012 D 5, R 13 D+1.5
2010 D 7, R 12 R+3.8
2008 D 12, R 7 D+11.9
2006 D 11, R 8 D+12.4
2004 D 7, R 12 R+1.7
2002 D 7, R 12 R+15.4
2000 D 10, R 11 D+1.1
1998 D 11, R 10 R+3.2
1996 D 11, R 10 D+4.3
1994 D 11, R 10 R+10.1
1992 D 11, R 10 R+4.2
1990 D 11, R 12 R+9.1