United States Presidential election7 Nov 2028in 729 days Senate D 97% House D 58% Calendar Track record Research
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Election 2022 Results

Each election opens in its own mode: the forecast before the votes are counted, the live count while races are still too close to call, and the results once every race is decided.

2022 Pennsylvania governor election

Josh Shapiro (Democrat) beat Doug Mastriano (Republican) in Pennsylvania in 2022, 56.5% to 41.7%, a margin of 14.8 points and 792,695 votes.

The Democratic hold continued from 2018, when Thomas W Wolf won.

Republicans led in 50 of the 67 counties and Democrats in 17. The largest, Allegheny, cast 572,813 votes and went to the Democrat by 39.0 points. The closest was Montour, where 397 votes separated the two parties.

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Early projection, based on early and incomplete polling: the likely matchups, each weighted by the betting markets' odds of both nominations, not a result. Each county is its 2024 presidential margin moved by its state's projected swing; set a national vote and every state, district and county moves by the same amount from our projection. Colours run in 100 steps from a safe Republican to a safe Democratic margin. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

Governor

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Josh Shapiro won Democratic 3,031,032 56.5%
Doug Mastriano Republican 2,238,337 41.7%
All other candidates 96,560 1.8%
Total5,365,929

Every county

CountyDemocratRepublicanOthersTotalMargin
Allegheny 393,386 68.7% 169,913 29.7% 9,514 572,813 D+39.0
Philadelphia 426,885 85.7% 65,293 13.1% 6,082 498,260 D+72.6
Montgomery 285,712 69.2% 121,289 29.4% 6,015 413,016 D+39.8
Bucks 185,339 59.0% 122,982 39.2% 5,720 314,041 D+19.9
Chester 160,796 62.3% 92,585 35.9% 4,644 258,025 D+26.4
Delaware 170,162 67.8% 76,880 30.6% 3,813 250,855 D+37.2
Lancaster 108,233 48.3% 112,040 50.0% 3,995 224,268 R+1.7
York 83,649 44.9% 98,622 52.9% 4,205 186,476 R+8.0
Westmoreland 77,152 45.9% 87,804 52.3% 3,012 167,968 R+6.3
Berks 78,757 50.9% 72,185 46.6% 3,876 154,818 D+4.2
Lehigh 79,991 58.7% 53,468 39.2% 2,875 136,334 D+19.5
Northampton 72,269 55.6% 54,928 42.3% 2,704 129,901 D+13.3
Luzerne 57,598 49.6% 56,326 48.5% 2,140 116,064 D+1.1
Cumberland 61,319 52.9% 52,280 45.1% 2,403 116,002 D+7.8
Dauphin 68,585 60.0% 43,580 38.1% 2,233 114,398 D+21.9
Erie 63,081 59.7% 40,433 38.3% 2,085 105,599 D+21.4
Washington 45,030 48.1% 47,052 50.3% 1,535 93,617 R+2.2
Butler 40,065 42.9% 51,546 55.2% 1,850 93,461 R+12.3
Lackawanna 54,442 61.3% 32,697 36.8% 1,704 88,843 D+24.5
Beaver 36,917 50.4% 34,777 47.5% 1,568 73,262 D+2.9
Franklin 21,612 33.1% 42,731 65.4% 1,007 65,350 R+32.3
Centre 35,653 57.5% 25,201 40.6% 1,163 62,017 D+16.9
Monroe 32,009 54.4% 25,604 43.5% 1,214 58,827 D+10.9
Lebanon 23,646 41.9% 31,731 56.2% 1,089 56,466 R+14.3
Cambria 22,885 40.7% 32,381 57.5% 1,015 56,281 R+16.9
Schuylkill 21,203 38.2% 33,008 59.5% 1,224 55,435 R+21.3
Blair 17,716 35.2% 31,823 63.2% 795 50,334 R+28.0
Fayette 20,120 42.9% 26,165 55.8% 592 46,877 R+12.9
Adams 18,821 40.5% 26,819 57.7% 819 46,459 R+17.2
Lycoming 15,643 33.8% 29,755 64.3% 887 46,285 R+30.5
Mercer 18,282 40.3% 26,273 58.0% 776 45,331 R+17.6
Lawrence 15,918 44.2% 19,471 54.0% 656 36,045 R+9.9
Northumberland 12,052 36.6% 19,094 57.9% 1,805 32,951 R+21.4
Crawford 12,609 38.4% 19,541 59.5% 679 32,829 R+21.1
Indiana 13,032 39.8% 19,179 58.6% 531 32,742 R+18.8
Somerset 9,473 29.1% 22,559 69.3% 544 32,576 R+40.2
Clearfield 10,326 32.9% 20,525 65.3% 560 31,411 R+32.5
Armstrong 9,523 33.5% 18,419 64.7% 515 28,457 R+31.3
Carbon 10,743 40.9% 14,943 56.9% 578 26,264 R+16.0
Pike 10,339 41.1% 14,371 57.2% 423 25,133 R+16.0
Columbia 10,148 41.1% 13,959 56.5% 596 24,703 R+15.4
Bradford 7,389 31.5% 15,529 66.1% 561 23,479 R+34.7
Wayne 8,466 37.2% 13,868 61.0% 409 22,743 R+23.8
Bedford 4,721 21.2% 17,198 77.4% 301 22,220 R+56.2
Venango 7,777 37.2% 12,741 60.9% 401 20,919 R+23.7
Perry 6,912 34.2% 12,928 63.9% 400 20,240 R+29.7
Huntingdon 5,597 30.3% 12,579 68.2% 272 18,448 R+37.8
Jefferson 5,038 28.3% 12,433 69.8% 349 17,820 R+41.5
Susquehanna 5,768 33.3% 11,153 64.4% 395 17,316 R+31.1
Mifflin 5,119 30.4% 11,460 68.0% 268 16,847 R+37.6
Tioga 4,494 27.0% 11,840 71.1% 324 16,658 R+44.1
Union 6,898 42.8% 8,897 55.2% 318 16,113 R+12.4
Warren 6,032 37.5% 9,704 60.4% 328 16,064 R+22.9
Clarion 5,114 33.2% 10,019 65.0% 274 15,407 R+31.8
Snyder 4,867 31.7% 10,215 66.5% 278 15,360 R+34.8
McKean 4,392 29.9% 10,082 68.5% 238 14,712 R+38.7
Clinton 5,293 37.6% 8,512 60.5% 268 14,073 R+22.9
Elk 4,843 35.4% 8,597 62.9% 238 13,678 R+27.4
Greene 5,142 39.1% 7,706 58.6% 291 13,139 R+19.5
Wyoming 4,519 38.4% 6,966 59.1% 292 11,777 R+20.8
Juniata 2,761 28.3% 6,851 70.1% 156 9,768 R+41.9
Montour 3,640 46.3% 4,037 51.4% 180 7,857 R+5.1
Potter 1,513 21.3% 5,235 73.7% 357 7,105 R+52.4
Fulton 1,128 17.9% 5,092 81.0% 67 6,287 R+63.1
Sullivan 1,024 33.9% 1,923 63.6% 76 3,023 R+29.7
Forest 825 37.6% 1,340 61.1% 27 2,192 R+23.5
Cameron 639 33.8% 1,200 63.5% 51 1,890 R+29.7

Margin: the Democrat's share of all votes minus the Republican's. Sources and how the results were checked.

Pennsylvania governor elections we hold

YearWinnerMargin
2022 Josh Shapiro (D) D+14.8
2018 Thomas W Wolf (D) D+17.1
2014 Thomas W. Wolf (D) D+9.9
2010 Tom Corbett (R) R+9.0
2006 Edward G. Rendell (D) D+20.7
2002 Edward G. Rendell (D) D+9.0
1998 Tom Ridge (R) R+26.4
1994 Tom Ridge (R) R+5.5
1990 Robert Casey (D) D+35.3
1986 Robert Casey (D) D+2.3
1982 Richard Thornburgh (R) R+2.7
1978 Richard Thornburgh (R) R+6.1
1974 Milton J. Shapp (D) D+8.6
1970 Milton J. Shapp (D) D+13.5
1966 Raymond P. Shafer (R) R+6.0
1962 William W. Scranton (R) R+11.1
1958 David L. Lawrence (D) D+1.9
1954 George M. Leader (D) D+7.5
1950 John S. Fine (R) R+2.4
1946 James H. Duff (R) R+17.8
1942 Edward Martin (R) R+8.5
1938 Arthur H. James (R) R+7.6
1934 George H. Earle (D) D+2.2
1930 Gifford Pinchot (R) R+2.8
1926 John Stuchell Fisher (R) R+49.0
1922 Gifford Pinchot (R) R+17.1
1918 William Cameron Sproul (R) R+27.3
1914 Martin Grove Brumbaugh (R) R+12.2
1910 John K. Tener (R) R+28.7
1906 Edwin Sydney Stuart (R) R+4.8
1902 Samuel W. Pennypacker (R) R+13.0
1898 William A. Stone (R) R+12.1
1894 Daniel H. Hastings (R) R+25.3
1890 Robert E. Pattison (D) D+1.8
1886 James A. Beaver (R) R+5.2
1882 Robert E. Pattison (D) D+5.4
1878 Henry Martyn Hoyt (R) R+3.2
1875 John Frederick Hartranft (R) R+2.0
1872 John Frederick Hartranft (R) R+5.3
1869 John White Geary (R) R+0.8
1866 John White Geary (R) R+2.9